Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 17:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

27'
Cheick Keita🟨
Yellow Card
41'
J. Erenbjerg
Normal Goal → J. Opoku
56'
T. Claes🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Lofolomo
66'
E. Camara🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Szymczak
71'
Aiham Ousou🟨
Yellow Card
79'
J. Opoku🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Mbaye
80'
B. Nyssen🔄
Substitution 3 → B. De Jaegere
80'
J. Gaudin🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Nzita
80'
P. Pflucke🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Colassin
85'
Brent Gabriel🟨
Yellow Card
86'
A. Bernier🔄
Substitution 4 → Y. Cisse
90'
L. Lemoine🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Paugain

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots4
4Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox3
7Fouls9
4Corner Kicks10
1Offsides4
37Ball Possession63
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
330Total passes538
253Passes accurate453
77Passes %84
0.85expected_goals0.99
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1:1

Starting XI

13Brent GabrielG
31Lukas WillenD
39Marley AkéM
10Jeppe ErenbjergF
22Joseph OpokuF
5Jakob KiilerichD
8Thomas ClaesM
18Anosike EmentaF
4Laurent LemoineD
40Dirk AsareM
19Benoit NyssenM

CharleroiCharleroi1:1

Starting XI

30Mohamed KonéG
23Jules GaudinD
5Etienne CamaraM
17Antoine BernierM
21Aurélien ScheidlerF
95Cheick KeitaD
22Yassine TitraouiM
8Jakob Napoleon RomsaasM
4Aiham OusouD
14Patrick PflückeM
27Lewin BlumD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
Form: L-L-L-L-L
Charleroi
Charleroi
Form: L-D-L-L-L
Record
2 W
0 D
8 L
2 W
2 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
1.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.8
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1458
Average
1552
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1476
↑ Momentum (+19)
1537
↓ Momentum (-15)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
30%
Draw
44%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1505
Attack
1517
1459
Defence
1556
Recent Form
1503
Attack
1544
1466
Defence
1521
Post-Match Changes
+15
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi: Big O Preview
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+9.9%
Confidence:70

Greetings, goal-gazers! It's your boy The Big O here, and let's be honest—life is simply too short for nil-nil affairs. When I see a fixture like Zulte Waregem hosting Charleroi, I don't see a boring defensive slugfest; I see a potential fireworks display. And the data? It's singing the song of goals. Let's dig into the history books. The head-to-head record between these two is a goal-fest. In their last 9 meetings, both teams scored in 7 of them. That's a 77.8% strike rate for BTTS. Even better, Over 2.5 Goals landed in 6 of those 9 games. These teams know how to open up the floodgates when they meet. Looking at recent form, Zulte Waregem hasn't been scoring at a high rate, averaging 1.30 goals per game over the last 10, but their defense is a sieve, conceding 2.10 goals per game. Charleroi is similar; they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded. Both teams are leaking goals, which is music to my ears. The last 10 games for Zulte saw BTTS hit in 60% of matches, and Charleroi's recent form shows the same 60% rate. The odds on BTTS - Yes are sitting at 1.57. This implies a probability of roughly 63.7%. But when I look at the H2H record (77.8% BTTS) and combine it with the recent goal trends, I estimate the true probability is much higher, likely hovering around 70% or more. That gap creates value that can survive a healthy margin of error. The goal expectancy model suggests a combined 2.80 expected goals. That's right on the cusp of 3. But the H2H average is 3.33 goals per game. This clash has all the ingredients for a high-scoring thriller. **Key Points:** * **H2H Goal Fest**: 7 out of 9 H2H matches saw Both Teams Score. * **Defensive Leaks**: Zulte Waregem concedes 2.10 goals/game; Charleroi concedes 1.90. * **Recent Form**: Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in their last 10 games. * **Odds Value**: BTTS Yes at 1.57 offers value against the H2H trend. * **Goal Expectancy**: Combined xG of 2.80 supports an Over 2.5 or BTTS angle. **The Big O Verdict:** With the data screaming goals and the H2H history backing it up, I'm not looking at Under markets. The value lies in the goals. My pick is **Both Teams to Score - Yes**. Key Points: - H2H: 7/9 matches saw both teams score. - Zulte Waregem: Conceding 2.10 goals/game. - Charleroi: Conceding 1.90 goals/game. - Odds: BTTS Yes at 1.57.

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📝 Match Preview

Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi: Over 2.5 Goals Prediction
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%
Confidence:65

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Zulte Waregem and Charleroi face off in the Jupiler Pro League on 2026-03-22. A battle of the lower table, it is. Zulte Waregem sits in 14th place with 29 points. Charleroi is 11th with 34 points. Both teams struggle, yes. But the goals flow like the Force. Look at the Head-to-Head. Nine times they have met. Six times Over 2.5 Goals happened. 66.7% is the rate. Last meeting was 2025-09-20, result 2-1. Goals are abundant in their history. Zulte Waregem's defense is leaky, yes. They concede 2.10 goals per game in their last 10. Charleroi concedes 1.90 goals per game. Both teams have 60% Both Teams Scored rate in recent form. Goal Expectancy says 2.80 goals total. 1.30 for Home, 1.50 for Away. The math supports the Over. Odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.70. Implied probability is 58.8%. My estimate is higher. 65% chance, I calculate based on H2H and defensive stats. The market consensus fair probability is 55.26%. There is value here, there is. Zulte Waregem's home form is poor. 40% win rate. Charleroi away is also 40% win rate. It is a tight contest for the win market. But for goals, the path is clear. Zulte Waregem scores 1.30 goals per game. Charleroi scores 1.40 goals per game. Combined recent goal average is high. 3.40 total goals for Zulte, 3.30 for Charleroi. Hedge your bets, you should. Do or do not bet, there is no try. The Over 2.5 Goals is the choice. Confidence is high. Probability of success is 65%. Odds are 1.70. The Force is strong with the goals. Over 2.5 Goals, I say.

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