Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 17:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

6'
D. Heymans⚽
Normal Goal
15'
R. Mirisola⚽
Normal Goal
37'
Y. Okou⚽
Normal Goal → N. Gillot
41'
Tobias Okiki Lawal🟨
Yellow Card
43'
J. Afriyie⚽
Normal Goal → N. Gillot
45'
J. Ito⚽
Normal Goal → D. Heymans
50'
Z. El Ouahdi⚽
Normal Goal → D. Heymans
58'
I. Bangoura🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Sattlberger
68'
T. Lawal⚽
Own Goal
69'
R. Mirisola🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Sor
71'
M. Ashimeru🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Soumare
73'
Jordi Liongola🟨
Yellow Card
80'
J. Ito🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Nsingi
80'
J. Kongolo🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Bibout
80'
J. Ito🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Sadick
85'
Bryan Soumaré🟨
Yellow Card
86'
A. Bibout⚽
Normal Goal → K. Karetsas
87'
S. Lahssaini🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Gueulette
88'
J. Liongola🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Maes
90'
N. Nsingi⚽
Normal Goal
90'
W. Faye⚽
Normal Goal → N. Gillot

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal5
18Total Shots14
4Blocked Shots2
16Shots insidebox12
2Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls9
10Corner Kicks3
0Offsides4
45Ball Possession55
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
346Total passes443
260Passes accurate353
75Passes %80
1.64expected_goals2.69
-2goals_prevented-2

Starting Lineups

RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1:1

Starting XI

21Marcos Hernán PeanoG
13Maxence MaisonneuveD
3Nolan GillotM
18Majeed AshimeruF
22Jerry AfriyieF
99Yllan OkouD
23Joël ItoM
7Pape Moussa FallF
4Wagane FayeD
15Sami LahssainiM
11Jordi LiongolaM

GenkGenk1:1

Starting XI

26Tobias Okiki LawalG
18Joris KayembeD
21Ibrahima Sory BangouraM
10Junya ItoM
29Robin MirisolaF
6Matte SmetsD
38Daan HeymansM
44Josue Ndenge KongoloD
8Bryan HeynenM
77Zakaria El OuahdiD
20Konstantinos KaretsasM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière
Form: W-D-D-L-D
Genk
Genk
Form: L-W-W-L-W
Record
2 W
5 D
3 L
•
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.5

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
RAAL La Louvière versus Genk: long term ELO, before the match
RAAL La LouvièreHomeRatingGenkAway
Strength
1,507.8Overall1,642.7
1,472.5Match venue1,610.4
1,472.5At home1,664.5
1,523.2Away1,610.4
Attack & defence
1,463.3Attack1,570.3
1,558.3Defence1,584.7
1,441.4Home attack1,573.6
1,506.3Away attack1,557.4
1,531.7Home defence1,620.5
1,537.6Away defence1,554.4
Match profile
1,466.7Goal environment2,235
1,471.7Home goals1,886.7
1,495Away goals1,848.3
1,457.9Possession1,533.2
Specialist ratings
1,485.7Set-piece attack1,497.8
1,485.7Set-piece defence1,498.2
1,493.2Close games1,603.3
1,513Winning margin1,652.1

Match venue compares RAAL La Louvière at home with Genk away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

RAAL La Louvière vs Genk: Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+17.0%
Confidence:60

Hello friends, Pajimon here! Greetings from South Africa, where we love football, BBQ, and a cold beer. Today we focus on the Jupiler Pro League clash between RAAL La Louvière and Genk. I don't talk politics or racism, just pure football analysis and winning. Genk is currently sitting in 7th place with 41 points, while RAAL La Louvière is in 13th with 30 points. The form gap is clear: Genk has 6 wins in their last 10 games, whereas RAAL has managed only 2 wins in the same period. Genk's points per game (1.80) is significantly higher than RAAL's (1.10). The goal expectancy for this fixture is strong. The mathematical analysis suggests an average of 3.12 total goals (Home 1.50 + Away 1.62). This points towards a high-scoring game. RAAL La Louvière has been drawing a lot (5 draws in last 10), but Genk's away attacking output is solid at 2.00 goals per game. One factor to consider is fatigue. Genk played in the Europa League just 3 days ago, while RAAL has had 7 days of rest. However, Genk's quality on the pitch usually overcomes minor fatigue issues. The odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.95. Based on the goal expectancy of 3.12, the probability of seeing 3 or more goals is around 60%. This offers positive value compared to the implied 51% probability in the odds. The head-to-head record shows a 1-1 draw in their last meeting. Dis soos 'n sonsondergang, 'n mooi dag, maar die bal moet nog rol (Like a sunset, a nice day, but the ball must still roll). We are looking for goals here. Key Points: - Genk is higher in the table (7th vs 13th) with better recent form (6W vs 2W). - Goal expectancy suggests 3.12 total goals. - Genk has 3 days rest, RAAL has 7 days rest. - Odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.95, offering value if true probability is 60%. - Recent H2H was a 1-1 draw. Summary: The data supports a high-scoring affair despite Genk's slight fatigue. Over 2.5 Goals is the recommendation.

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