Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 14:00
Premiership
Scotland
Scotland
Full Time

Match Timeline

18'
D. N'Lundulu
Normal Goal
41'
Shamal George🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Z. Sapsford
Normal Goal
60'
Craig Sibbald🟨
Yellow Card
67'
L. Stephenson🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Trapanovski
71'
J. Ayunga🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Mandron
73'
I. Iovu🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Naamo
77'
Z. Sapsford🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Fatah
82'
Nikolaj Möller
Penalty confirmed
83'
Alexander Gogić🟥
Red Card
84'
A. Fatah
Penalty
85'
C. McMenamin🔄
Substitution 2 → R. King
85'
M. O'Hara🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Taylor
85'
D. N'Lundulu🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Dijksteel
90'
N. Moller🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Stirton
90'
C. Sibbald
Normal Goal → N. Moller

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal14
12Total Shots23
1Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox17
5Shots outsidebox6
7Fouls10
4Corner Kicks12
3Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
290Total passes328
191Passes accurate223
66Passes %68

Starting Lineups

Dundee UtdDundee Utd1:1

Starting XI

1Yevhenii KucherenkoG
23Krisztián KeresztesD
11Will FerryM
9Zachary SapsfordF
3Bert EsselinkD
14Craig SibbaldM
77Nikolaj MöllerF
4Iurie IovuD
8Panutche CamaráM
5Vicko ŠeveljM
21Luca StephensonM

ST MirrenST Mirren1:1

Starting XI

1Shamal GeorgeG
21Miguel FreckletonD
24Declan JohnM
11Jonah AyungaF
13Alexander GogićD
6Mark O'HaraM
14Dan N'LunduluF
22Marcus FraserD
25Keanu BaccusM
88Killian PhillipsM
10Conor McMenaminM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Form: D-D-L-W-D
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Form: L-L-W-D-W
Record
2 W
5 D
3 L
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
0.8
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.4

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1452
Average
1514
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1430
↓ Momentum (-22)
1535
↑ Momentum (+21)
Expected Outcome
28%
Home Win
32%
Draw
40%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1438
Attack
1449
1511
Defence
1585
Recent Form
1418
Attack
1449
1497
Defence
1628
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Tayside Tussle: Low-Scoring Affair Expected
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+10.8%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this Premiership clash between Dundee Utd and ST Mirren. Both teams are sitting pretty close in the table - United in 4th with 10 points and the Buddies in 7th with 9 points. But don't let those positions fool you, this could be tighter than a new pair of boots! Looking at recent form, both sides have been drawing more than a bored accountant. Dundee Utd have picked up 5 draws in their last 10 games, including some crackers like 2-2 against Rangers and 3-3 with Hibernian. They're scoring goals for fun (1.70 per game) but also leaking them at the same rate. At home, they've been mixed - lost 0-2 to Kilmarnock but drew 1-1 with Livingston. ST Mirren, on the other hand, have been more conservative. They've only managed 0.80 goals per game recently, which is less exciting than watching paint dry. Their away form shows they struggle to score on the road - just 1.00 per game away from home. They did beat Falkirk 2-1 away recently but got hammered 0-2 by Kilmarnock in their last away trip. The head-to-head is pretty even with 4 wins each for United and Mirren, plus one draw. But the Buddies won the last meeting 2-0, so they've got some bragging rights. When you dig into the stats, United take more shots (13.56 vs 9.25) and have better accuracy (42.2% vs 32%), but they're facing a team that's defensively solid away from home. ST Mirren only concede 1.40 per game on their travels. Both teams have been showing declining goal trends recently, and with United's leaky home defense (1.60 conceded per game) facing Mirren's toothless away attack (1.00 scored per game), this has all the makings of a cagey affair. The goal expectancy sits at 2.7 total goals, which is right on the line. Given ST Mirren's struggles to score away and both teams' recent defensive improvements, I'm leaning towards this staying under 2.5 goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected at Tannadice
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+3.1%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm getting excited about this Scottish Premiership clash! Dundee Utd have been serving up some absolute goal-fests recently, and that's exactly what I love to see. Let's talk numbers, because they don't lie. Dundee Utd are averaging 1.7 goals scored AND 1.7 goals conceded per game - that's the kind of symmetry that gets my heart pumping! Their recent form reads like a goal scorer's dream: 2-2 with Rangers, 3-3 thriller against Hibernian, 2-2 with Rapid Vienna. Seven of their last ten matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, and at home they're averaging a juicy 3.0 total goals per game. Now, ST Mirren might look a bit tighter on paper with their 0.8 goals scored average, but away from home they're conceding 1.4 goals per game. When you combine Dundee's home attacking prowess (1.40 goals per home game) with Mirren's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, we've got ourselves a recipe for goal action. The head-to-head stats might suggest a tighter game historically, but form is temporary and class is permanent - and right now, Dundee Utd's form screams goals! The goal expectancies are sitting at 1.40 for the home side and 1.30 for the visitors, giving us a tasty 2.70 expected goals total. Both teams have been finding the net regularly too - Dundee Utd have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Mirren are at 50%. With odds of 1.91 for Over 2.5 goals, I'm seeing some serious value here. The fair probability is around 52-53%, and given Dundee's recent high-scoring exploits, I like our chances of seeing plenty of goal action. This is exactly the kind of match that gets The Big O excited - open, attacking football with both teams likely to contribute to the scoreboard. Life's definitely too short for nil-nil draws!

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📝 Match Preview

Can the Buddies Bark Louder Away From Home?
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.90
Expected Value:+16.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Two teams sitting neck and neck in the Premiership table, both with identical points per game (1.10) and similar recent form records. But my underdog senses are tingling, and I'm here to tell you why the visitors might just have their day in the sun! Let's look at the numbers, shall we? Dundee Utd might be sitting pretty in 4th place with 10 points, but they've been quite the goal-fest team - scoring 1.7 goals per game while also conceding the same amount. Their recent results show this inconsistency perfectly: a thrilling 3-3 draw with Hibernian, a 2-2 stalemate against Rangers, but also a disappointing 0-2 home loss to Kilmarnock. They're certainly not afraid to entertain, but that defensive vulnerability gives me hope for the underdogs! Now, enter ST Mirren - our plucky visitors sitting in 7th place with 9 points. Sure, they only score 0.8 goals per game on average, but have you seen their defensive record? Just 1.00 goals conceded per game is rather impressive! They've been grinding out results like true underdogs should - that 1-2 win at Falkirk shows they can travel and get results, while their draws against Rangers (1-1) and Heart Of Midlothian (1-1) prove they're not afraid of the big names. The head-to-head record tells an interesting story too - Dundee Utd might have the edge overall (4 wins to 3), but at home it's actually quite balanced with a 2-1-2 record. And remember, ST Mirren won the last meeting 2-0! The bookies have Dundee Utd as slight favorites at 2.30, but I think they're underestimating our traveling Buddies. What really excites me is ST Mirren's away form - they've got a 20% win rate and 40% draw rate on their travels. Combined with Dundee Utd's home record showing more losses (40%) than wins (20%), and I see a recipe for an upset! The odds of 2.90 for an away win just seem too generous for a team that's been so defensively solid and competitive against top opposition.

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📝 Match Preview

Tactical Battle Awaits at Tannadice
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+5.1%

In the grand tapestry of Scottish football, some matches weave patterns of chaos, while others create designs of caution. This encounter, young Skywalker, falls into the latter category. Dundee Utd, sitting fourth in the Premiership with 10 points from eight games, have mastered the art of the draw. Four stalemates in eight league matches speak of a team that neither conquers nor surrenders easily. Their recent form reveals this balanced nature - a 2-2 draw with Rangers, 1-1 with Livingston, yet also a 0-2 defeat to Kilmarnock. At home, they average 1.40 goals scored but concede 1.60, suggesting their defensive fortress has cracks. ST Mirren, three places below with 9 points, mirror their opponents' points-per-game average of 1.10, yet walk a different path. Where Dundee Utd embraces chaos (averaging 3.4 total goals per game), Mirren seeks order (just 1.8 total goals). Recent results show this defensive philosophy - 0-1 loss to Aberdeen, 0-2 loss to Kilmarnock, but also a disciplined 1-0 victory over Dundee. The head-to-head chronicles tell a consistent tale. The last five meetings have all stayed under 2.5 goals, with scores of 0-2, 1-0, 2-0, 1-0, and 1-0. This is not coincidence, but pattern. When these forces meet, attacking adventure gives way to defensive wisdom. Both teams arrive with equal rest (seven days) and similar recent workloads. The goal expectancy of 1.40 for the home side and 1.30 for visitors suggests a total of 2.70 goals - hovering right on the line between over and under. Remember, the wise bettor sees beyond the odds to the truth beneath. In this battle of near-equals, where one side attacks freely and the other defends resolutely, the path of least goals often emerges victorious.

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📝 Match Preview

Tayside Goal Fest or Paisley Shutout?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+8.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Dundee Utd welcome ST Mirren to Tayside, and on paper, these two are neck and neck in the table - just one point separating them. But blimey, do they play different styles of football! Dundee Utd are what you'd call 'entertaining' - they're averaging 1.7 goals scored AND 1.7 conceded per game. Their recent reads like a goal machine's dream: 2-2 with Rangers, 1-1 with Livingston, that bonkers 3-3 with Hibernian. Fact is, both teams have scored in 70% of their last 10 games. When you watch United, you're guaranteed goals, just not necessarily in the right net! ST Mirren, on the other hand, are the complete opposite. They're all about that defensive solidity - just 0.8 goals scored per game but only 1 conceded. Recent away form shows the story: 0-1 at Aberdeen, 0-2 at Kilmarnock. They're not exactly lighting it up going forward, are they? Head-to-head, it's pretty even - 8 matches, 4 wins for United, 3 for Mirren. Last time out, Mirren nicked it 2-0. At home, United have won 40% of these encounters. The stats tell us United average 1.4 goals at home, Mirren 1.0 on their travels. Both concede around 1.4-1.6 respectively. The goal expectancy for this one sits at 1.40 vs 1.30, suggesting we might see a few goals. Looking at the odds, Both Teams to Score Yes is priced at 1.75. Given United's games are almost always open affairs (that 70% BTTS rate is telling), and even though Mirren don't score many, they should get chances against a United defense that's been about as solid as a chocolate teapot recently. Key Points: * Dundee Utd have seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 games * ST Mirren average just 0.8 goals scored per game but only 1 conceded * United's recent games: 2-2, 1-1, 3-3 - always goals in them * Mirren's away form shows struggles to score: 0-1, 0-2 in recent trips * Head-to-head record is evenly matched over 8 encounters The way I see it, you're getting decent value on BTTS Yes here. United's games are virtually guaranteed to have goals at both ends, and while Mirren aren't prolific, they'll get opportunities against this leaky defense. At 1.75, it's worth a punt for an entertaining afternoon.

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📝 Match Preview

Value Found in BTTS Market for Tayside Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+5.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Both sides arrive with identical points-per-game records (1.10) over their last 10 matches, but their attacking profiles tell different stories. Dundee Utd have been involved in some thrillers recently - that 3-3 draw with Hibernian and 2-2 stalemate with Rangers show they're anything but defensive. They're averaging 1.7 goals scored and conceded per game, with a 70% both teams to score rate. ST Mirren, meanwhile, have taken a more measured approach. They're scoring just 0.8 goals per game but keeping things tighter at the back with only 1.0 conceded. Their recent form shows lower-scoring affairs, but they've still managed to find the net in 50% of their matches. The head-to-head record is evenly balanced (4-1-3 to Dundee Utd), but crucially, four of the last five meetings have gone under 2.5 goals. However, the goal expectancies for this match (1.40 for home, 1.30 for away) suggest we're in for goals. Dundee Utd's home form is concerning - just 20% win rate at their own patch - but they consistently contribute to high-scoring games. ST Mirren's away record mirrors this with identical win/draw/loss percentages. The bookmakers have priced this as a coin flip in the match result market, but the real value lies elsewhere. When you combine Dundee Utd's attacking intent (70% BTTS) with ST Mirren's ability to score on the road (1.0 away goals per game), the mathematics point toward both teams finding the net.

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