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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Heart Of Midlothian vs Celtic

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Match Timeline

8'
D. Murray⚽
Own Goal
12'
C. McGregor⚽
Normal Goal → K. Tierney
52'
A. Kyziridis⚽
Normal Goal
55'
L. Shankland
Penalty
60'
R. Hatate🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Balikwisha
60'
J. Kenny🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Yamada
60'
S. Tounekti🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Forrest
65'
Alexandros Kyziridis🟨
Yellow Card
70'
O. McEntee🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Steinwender
70'
A. Kyziridis🔄
Substitution 2 → Ageu
70'
B. Nygren🔄
Substitution 4 → L. McCowan
75'
Arne Engels🟨
Yellow Card
80'
C. Braga🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Magnusson
86'
Craig Halkett🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Stuart Findlay🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
S. Kingsley🔄
Substitution 4 → J. McCart
90+1'
L. Shankland🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Kabangu
90+4'
Harry Milne🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox4
2Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls10
5Corner Kicks9
1Offsides3
35Ball Possession65
4Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
284Total passes528
184Passes accurate431
65Passes %82

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Hearts Fire vs Celtic Struggle - Time for an Upset?

The pickHeart Of Midlothian win

Chance
58%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+91.4%

Ag man, this one's lekker! Hearts are absolutely on fire right now, sitting pretty at the top of the table unbeaten in 10 games. They've been smashing teams left and right - 3-0 at Kilmarnock, 2-0 at Rangers, 3-0 vs Falkirk. That's proper football right there! Celtic on the…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Hearts vs Celtic: Battle of Form vs History

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Much to ponder, this match presents. The force of current form clashes with the power of historical dominance. Heart Of Midlothian, atop the league they stand, undefeated in eight league matches. Seven victories, one draw, their path illuminated. Two point three goals per game…

Mr SimpleWon

Hearts Flying High vs Struggling Celtic

The pickHeart Of Midlothian win

Chance
45%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+48.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one! Hearts are absolutely flying at the top of the table, and Celtic are coming to town looking a bit shaky. Hearts have been absolutely sensational this season - 8 wins from 8 league games, scoring goals for fun and keeping it tight…

Value VinnyWon

Hearts vs Celtic: Value Found in Market Overreaction

The pickHeart Of Midlothian win

Chance
55%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+81.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the numbers. The bookies have priced this match completely wrong, and that's where value hunters like me thrive. Heart Of Midlothian are operating at an 80% win rate over their last 10 matches, scoring 2.3 goals per game while keeping 60%…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Heart Of Midlothian

8W 2D 0L2.60 pts/game

Celtic

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Heart Of Midlothian at home vs Celtic away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+129Celtic
Venue edge
+144Celtic
Rating period
Match snapshot
Heart Of Midlothian versus Celtic: long term Elo, before the match
Heart Of MidlothianHomeRatingCelticAway
Strength
1,667Overall1,796
1,611Match venue1,755
1,611At home1,861
1,578Away1,755
Attack & defence
1,573Attack1,678
1,628Defence1,691
1,567Home attack1,742
1,523Away attack1,656
1,595Home defence1,716
1,582Away defence1,657
Match profile
1,682Goal environment2,525
1,643Home goals2,028
1,538Away goals1,997
1,506Possession1,536
Specialist ratings
1,519Set-piece attack1,546
1,518Set-piece defence1,544
1,560Close games1,658
1,705Winning margin1,832

Match venue compares Heart Of Midlothian at home with Celtic away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1:1

Starting XI

25Alexander SchwolowG
3Stephen KingsleyD
89Alexandros KyziridisM
10Cláudio BragaF
19Stuart FindlayD
6Beni BaningimeM
9Lawrence ShanklandF
4Craig HalkettD
14Cameron DevlinM
31Oisin McEnteeD
18Harry MilneM

CelticCeltic1:1

Starting XI

1Kasper SchmeichelG
63Kieran TierneyD
41Reo HatateM
23Sebastian TounektiF
5Liam ScalesD
42Callum McGregorM
24Johnny KennyF
47Dane MurrayD
27Arne EngelsM
8Benjamin NygrenF
51Colby DonovanD