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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Rangers vs Kilmarnock

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time3:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

15'
D. Cornelius⚽
Normal Goal → J. Tavernier
38'
John Souttar🟨
Yellow Card
39'
G. Stanger⚽
Normal Goal → G. Kiltie
43'
Bojan Miovski⚽
Goal cancelled
45+1'
Marcus Dackers🟨
Yellow Card
46'
B. Miovski🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Moore
46'
L. Mayo🔄
Substitution 1 → Z. Williams
46'
J. Brandon🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Brown
51'
Danilo Pereira⚽
Normal Goal → J. Meghoma
62'
D. Gassama🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Aarons
62'
M. Diomande🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Barron
69'
Danilo Pereira🔄
Substitution 4 → Chermiti
69'
B. Anderson🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Tiffoney
72'
Chermiti⚽
Normal Goal
76'
Dominic Thompson🟨
Yellow Card
77'
R. Deas🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Brannan
81'
T. Aasgaard🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Cameron

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots7
4Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox1
9Fouls13
8Corner Kicks2
2Offsides0
74Ball Possession26
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
575Total passes198
514Passes accurate129
89Passes %65

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleWon

Rangers vs Kilmarnock: Home Woes Meet Away Form

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
58%
Odds
1.96
Model EV
+13.7%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Rangers at home against Kilmarnock - on paper, you'd think it's a straightforward home win, but the numbers tell a very different story, mate. Rangers are having a right old time of it at their own gaff. Just look at this - only…

Umery UnderdogLost

Kilmarnock Ready to Bite at Ibrox

The pickKilmarnock win

Chance
22%
Odds
9.50
Model EV
+109.0%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we're looking at a fascinating matchup where the little puppy might just have its day. Despite the odds suggesting otherwise, Kilmarnock arrive at Ibrox in better form and actually sitting above Rangers in the Premiership table! Let's…

Value VinnyWon

Rangers vs Kilmarnock: Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
54%
Odds
1.96
Model EV
+5.8%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookies have Rangers as heavy favorites at 1.36, but the statistical reality tells a different story. Rangers sit 6th in the table with just one win in eight league games, scoring a paltry 0.8 goals per game…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Rangers

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Kilmarnock

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Rangers at home vs Kilmarnock away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+148Rangers
Venue edge
+340Rangers
Rating period
Match snapshot
Rangers versus Kilmarnock: long term Elo, before the match
RangersHomeRatingKilmarnockAway
Strength
1,670Overall1,521
1,746Match venue1,406
1,746At home1,563
1,685Away1,406
Attack & defence
1,599Attack1,475
1,596Defence1,553
1,624Home attack1,483
1,631Away attack1,426
1,658Home defence1,583
1,569Away defence1,487
Match profile
2,057Goal environment1,637
1,748Home goals1,632
1,808Away goals1,505
1,521Possession1,480
Specialist ratings
1,543Set-piece attack1,481
1,541Set-piece defence1,482
1,593Close games1,463
1,694Winning margin1,529

Match venue compares Rangers at home with Kilmarnock away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RangersRangers1:1

Starting XI

1Jack ButlandG
13Derek CorneliusD
30Jayden MeghomaM
28Bojan MiovskiF
5John SouttarD
11Thelo AasgaardM
99DaniloF
2James TavernierD
10Mohammed DiomandeM
43Nicolas RaskinM
23Djeidi GassamaM

KilmarnockKilmarnock1:1

Starting XI

30Eddie BeachG
6Robbie DeasD
3Dominic ThompsonM
9Marcus DackersF
5Lewis MayoD
11Greg KiltieM
19Bruce AndersonF
14George StangerD
8Bradley LyonsM
12David WatsonM
2Jamie BrandonM