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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Hibernian vs Rangers

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

5'
Danilo Pereira⚽
Normal Goal → Chermiti
10'
Christopher Cadden🟨
Yellow Card
23'
C. Cadden🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Chaiwa
30'
Jayden Meghoma🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Grant Hanley🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Derek Cornelius🟨
Yellow Card
46'
J. Meghoma🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Tavernier
46'
Danilo Pereira🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Gassama
55'
Connor Barron🟨
Yellow Card
64'
K. Bowie🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Youan
64'
T. Klidje🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Boyle
64'
D. Barlaser🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Hoilett
65'
M. Moore🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Aasgaard
77'
Chermiti🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Miovski
89'
J. McGrath🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Campbell
90+1'
D. Cornelius🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Fernandez

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal1
7Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox3
2Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls16
5Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
49Ball Possession51
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
423Total passes446
348Passes accurate382
82Passes %86
1.38expected_goals0.47

Tipster previews (3)

Umery UnderdogLost

Hibs Ready to Bark Against Struggling Rangers

The pickHibernian win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.70
Model EV
+13.4%

Oh, what a delightful opportunity we have here! The little puppies of Hibernian are getting overlooked once again, priced as underdogs at home despite sitting pretty in 3rd place in the Premiership table. That's exactly the kind of value that makes my tail wag! Let's look at the…

Mr SimpleLost

Hibs vs Rangers: Both Teams to Score?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Edinburgh showdown. Hibs are sitting pretty in 3rd with 14 points, while Rangers are lagging behind in 5th on 12 - just two points separating these two, so it's all to play for. Hibs have been decent lately, haven't they? Two cracking…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in Goals Market at Easter Road

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookies have priced this up tight, but I've spotted an edge in the goals market that's too good to ignore. Hibernian sit third in the table with a solid defensive record (1.40 goals conceded per game) but…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Hibernian

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Rangers

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Hibernian at home vs Rangers away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+53Rangers
Venue edge
+96Rangers
Rating period
Match snapshot
Hibernian versus Rangers: long term Elo, before the match
HibernianHomeRatingRangersAway
Strength
1,627Overall1,679
1,589Match venue1,685
1,589At home1,749
1,537Away1,685
Attack & defence
1,591Attack1,612
1,578Defence1,596
1,611Home attack1,633
1,503Away attack1,631
1,540Home defence1,654
1,565Away defence1,569
Match profile
1,668Goal environment2,062
1,647Home goals1,753
1,522Away goals1,808
1,497Possession1,525
Specialist ratings
1,488Set-piece attack1,549
1,488Set-piece defence1,548
1,523Close games1,593
1,658Winning margin1,706

Match venue compares Hibernian at home with Rangers away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

HibernianHibernian1:1

Starting XI

1Raphael SallingerG
15Jack IredaleD
22Daniel BarlaserM
19Nicky CaddenM
18Thibault KlidjeF
4Grant HanleyD
17Jamie McGrathM
9Kieron BowieF
33Rocky Bushiri KirangaD
20Josh MulliganM
12Christopher CaddenM

RangersRangers1:1

Starting XI

1Jack ButlandG
13Derek CorneliusD
30Jayden MeghomaM
47Mikey MooreF
9Youssef ChermitiF
5John SouttarD
43Nicolas RaskinM
99DaniloF
24Nasser DjigaD
8Connor BarronM
3Max AaronsM