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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time3:1HT 3–0

Match Timeline

7'
E. Williams⚽
Normal Goal → C. Miller
9'
Ethan Williams⚽
Goal confirmed
22'
R. MacIver⚽
Normal Goal
32'
R. MacIver🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Graham
38'
C. Miller⚽
Normal Goal → E. Williams
46'
R. McKenzie🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Brown
46'
M. Dackers🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Lowery
46'
B. Brannan🔄
Substitution 3 → T. John-Jules
49'
Tyreece John-Jules🟨
Yellow Card
69'
T. John-Jules⚽
Normal Goal
70'
E. Williams🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Agyeman
70'
K. Wilson🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Ross
77'
C. Miller🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Tait
77'
H. Cartwright🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Arfield
86'
R. Deas🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Kiltie

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots9
1Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox8
5Shots outsidebox1
15Fouls14
2Corner Kicks6
1Offsides3
48Ball Possession52
0Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
354Total passes365
263Passes accurate267
74Passes %73

Tipster previews (4)

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Expected When Falkirk Host Kilmarnock

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.87
Model EV
+8.5%

Alright, my fellow goal-lovers, The Big O is here to give you the inside scoop on what promises to be an absolute thriller at Falkirk! When these two sides meet, the net bulges - it's just that simple. Let's talk numbers, because numbers don't lie and neither does The Big O when…

Umery UnderdogLost

Can Kilmarnock Shock Falkirk on the Road?

The pickKilmarnock win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.85
Model EV
+34.8%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Two teams sitting neck and neck in the Premiership table, both looking to climb higher and prove their worth. As your friendly neighborhood underdog enthusiast, I've got my eye firmly on the visitors today! Falkirk comes into this game…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Battle of Mid-Table Minds

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

In the grand tapestry of the Premiership, two sides find themselves intertwined in the middle reaches, their paths crossing once more. Falkirk, sitting seventh with twelve points, welcomes Kilmarnock, just two points behind in eighth. Close they are in the table, but different…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in BTTS Market for Mid-Table Clash

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
61%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+5.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Falkirk sits 7th with 12 points, Kilmarnock 8th with 10 - we're dealing with two evenly matched sides in the Premiership's middle tier. The bookies have Falkirk as slight favorites at 2.08, but the real value lies…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Falkirk

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Kilmarnock

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Falkirk at home vs Kilmarnock away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+21Falkirk
Venue edge
+102Falkirk
Rating period
Match snapshot
Falkirk versus Kilmarnock: long term Elo, before the match
FalkirkHomeRatingKilmarnockAway
Strength
1,514Overall1,494
1,505Match venue1,403
1,505At home1,546
1,504Away1,403
Attack & defence
1,492Attack1,464
1,485Defence1,540
1,510Home attack1,469
1,482Away attack1,430
1,498Home defence1,580
1,486Away defence1,478
Match profile
1,520Goal environment1,637
1,512Home goals1,627
1,508Away goals1,510
1,504Possession1,478
Specialist ratings
1,498Set-piece attack1,484
1,498Set-piece defence1,485
1,535Close games1,451
1,506Winning margin1,499

Match venue compares Falkirk at home with Kilmarnock away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FalkirkFalkirk1:1

Starting XI

19Scott BainG
28Filip LissahD
8Brad SpencerM
24Ethan WilliamsM
9Ross MaclverF
5Liam HendersonD
17Henry CartwrightM
29Calvin MillerM
20Connor AllanD
22Kyrell WilsonM
2Keelan AdamsD

KilmarnockKilmarnock1:1

Starting XI

20Toby OluwayemiG
3Dominic ThompsonD
8Bradley LyonsM
17Scott TiffoneyM
19Bruce AndersonF
6Robbie DeasD
7Rory McKenzieM
9Marcus DackersF
14George StangerD
12David WatsonM
26Ben BrannanD