Skip to main content

Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time1:3HT 0–2

Match Timeline

3'
Tom Lowery🟨
Yellow Card
16'
T. Maswanhise⚽
Normal Goal β†’ E. Longelo
21'
Johnny Koutroumbis🟨
Yellow Card
26'
T. Maswanhise⚽
Normal Goal
45+2'
Callum Hendry🟨
Yellow Card
46'
T. LoweryπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ B. Lyons
49'
S. Tiffoney⚽
Normal Goal β†’ B. Anderson
57'
Callum Slattery🟨
Yellow Card
63'
E. LongeloπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ L. Gordon
63'
C. HendryπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ A. Stamatelopoulos
63'
C. SlatteryπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ E. Just
66'
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
Penalty confirmed
68'
A. Stamatelopoulos
Penalty
71'
G. KiltieπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ M. Watkins
71'
B. AndersonπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ T. John-Jules
77'
T. MaswanhiseπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ T. Sparrow
79'
Z. WilliamsπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ M. Dackers
79'
J. BrownπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ B. Brannan
80'
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Liam Gordon🟨
Yellow Card
89'
L. FadingerπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ O. Priestman

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
18Total Shots12
4Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox11
8Shots outsidebox1
15Fouls12
3Corner Kicks3
3Offsides3
41Ball Possession59
1Yellow Cards5
2Goalkeeper Saves3
339Total passes501
255Passes accurate410
75Passes %82

Tipster previews (4)

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Expected at Rugby Park!

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+5.1%

Alright folks, The Big O is here and I'm sensing goals, goals, goals! Kilmarnock have been about as solid as a chocolate teapot defensively lately - shipping 20 goals in their last 10 games at a tasty 2.00 per game. Even at home, they're still letting in 1.60 goals per match…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Battle Of Form And Fortune At Rugby Park

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+5.0%

In the grand tapestry of Scottish football, the forces of Kilmarnock and Motherwell converge once more. Much to ponder, this match presents. The home side, struggling deeply in the recent past, finds themselves adrift in the lower reaches of the Premiership table. Their last ten…

Value VinnyWon

Mathematical Value Points to Motherwell Away Win

The pickMotherwell win

Chance
47%
Odds
2.40
Model EV
+12.8%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The market appears to be mispricing this fixture based on historical head-to-head patterns rather than current reality. Kilmarnock's recent form is alarming - just 2 wins from their last 10 matches, with a paltry…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Kilmarnock

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Motherwell

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Kilmarnock at home vs Motherwell away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Premiership

Overall edge
+51Motherwell
Venue edge
+59Kilmarnock
Rating period
Match snapshot
Kilmarnock versus Motherwell: long term Elo, before the match
KilmarnockHomeRatingMotherwellAway
Strength
1,474Overall1,525
1,546Match venue1,486
1,546At home1,512
1,392Away1,486
Attack & defence
1,453Attack1,507
1,515Defence1,508
1,469Home attack1,519
1,423Away attack1,471
1,580Home defence1,496
1,460Away defence1,500
Match profile
1,647Goal environment1,970
1,627Home goals1,847
1,520Away goals1,623
1,476Possession1,520
Specialist ratings
1,494Set-piece attack1,509
1,494Set-piece defence1,508
1,451Close games1,511
1,472Winning margin1,528

Match venue compares Kilmarnock at home with Motherwell away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

KilmarnockKilmarnock1:1

Starting XI

20T. OluwayemiG
6R. DeasD
3D. ThompsonM
11G. KiltieF
4Z. WilliamsD
18T. LoweryM
17S. TiffoneyF
5L. MayoD
12D. WatsonM
19B. AndersonF
15J. BrownM

MotherwellMotherwell1:1

Starting XI

13C. WardG
45E. LongeloD
12L. FadingerM
90I. SaidM
66C. HendryF
57S. WelshD
20E. WattM
8C. SlatteryM
16P. McGinnD
18T. MaswanhiseM
22J. KoutroumbisD