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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time3:3HT 0–0

Match Timeline

28'
Fraser Taylor🟨
Yellow Card
53'
Fraser Taylor
Penalty confirmed
55'
M. Fraser⚽
Normal Goal β†’ M. Fraser
59'
A. JensenπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Karlsson
68'
A. AouchicheπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ M. Lazetic
71'
D. Polvara⚽
Normal Goal
73'
M. Lazetic⚽
Normal Goal
77'
J. RichardsonπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ C. McMenamin
78'
F. TaylorπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ L. Donnelly
78'
S. TanserπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ R. King
78'
K. BaccusπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ D. N'Lundulu
80'
M. MandronπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ E. Mooney
82'
J. Ayunga⚽
Normal Goal β†’ M. Freckleton
85'
M. Lazetic⚽
Normal Goal β†’ S. Armstrong
89'
S. ArmstrongπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ S. Nilsen
89'
T. KeskinenπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ G. Molloy
90'
R. King⚽
Normal Goal β†’ C. McMenamin

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
18Total Shots15
5Blocked Shots8
13Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls16
8Corner Kicks6
1Offsides1
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
472Total passes231
393Passes accurate145
83Passes %63

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Aberdeen to Handle Struggling ST Mirren at Home

The pickAberdeen win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Alright folks, let's get down to business! Aberdeen hosting ST Mirren, and honestly, this looks like a mismatch waiting to happen. The Dons are sitting pretty in 7th with 17 points, while ST Mirren are languishing down in 11th with just 10 points - that's a massive gap in the…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in Home Win Despite H2H History

The pickAberdeen win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+16.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookmakers have Aberdeen at 2.00 for the home win, implying a 50% chance. My calculations suggest this is where the value lies. Aberdeen's recent form tells a compelling story. They've secured five wins in their…

Mr SimpleLost

Dons Look To Stumble On Against Struggling Saints

The pickAberdeen win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and ST Mirren. The Dons are sitting pretty in 7th spot with 17 points, while the Saints are languishing down in 11th with just 10 points to their name. It's a proper mid-table battle this…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Aberdeen

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

ST Mirren

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Aberdeen at home vs ST Mirren away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Premiership

Overall edge
+34Aberdeen
Venue edge
+106Aberdeen
Rating period
Match snapshot
Aberdeen versus ST Mirren: long term Elo, before the match
AberdeenHomeRatingST MirrenAway
Strength
1,529Overall1,495
1,566Match venue1,460
1,566At home1,499
1,459Away1,460
Attack & defence
1,406Attack1,455
1,590Defence1,541
1,477Home attack1,441
1,378Away attack1,470
1,592Home defence1,565
1,529Away defence1,494
Match profile
1,470Goal environment1,490
1,445Home goals1,337
1,525Away goals1,653
1,489Possession1,488
Specialist ratings
1,484Set-piece attack1,510
1,484Set-piece defence1,509
1,561Close games1,511
1,528Winning margin1,490

Match venue compares Aberdeen at home with ST Mirren away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AberdeenAberdeen1:1

Starting XI

1Dimitar MitovG
5Mats KnoesterD
28Alexander JensenM
16Stuart ArmstrongF
15Kevin NisbetF
22Jack MilneD
8Dante PolvaraM
81Topi KeskinenF
2Nicky DevlinD
7Adil AouchicheM
38Dylan LobbanM

ST MirrenST Mirren1:1

Starting XI

1Shamal GeorgeG
21Miguel FreckletonD
3Scott TanserM
9Mikael MandronF
13Alexander GogićD
30Fraser TaylorM
11Jonah AyungaF
22Marcus FraserD
25Keanu BaccusM
88Killian PhillipsM
2Jayden RichardsonM