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Right then, let's have a proper look at this top-of-the-table clash! Celtic and Hearts are locked together on 32 points at the summit, but don't let that fool you - there's a right old story brewing here. Celtic have been absolutely bossing it at home this season, winning 80% of their matches on their own patch. They're banging in 2.4 goals per game at home while barely letting anyone score - just 0.4 goals conceded per game. Recent form's been tidy too: wins against Dundee (1-0), Hibs (2-1 away), and even a cracking 3-1 victory over Feyenoord in Europe. Hearts, on the other hand, have been struggling on their travels. Just a 25% win rate away from home, and their recent form's gone a bit cold. They've drawn three of their last four away games - 1-1 with Kilmarnock, 0-0 at Motherwell, and 2-2 at ST Mirren. They even lost 1-0 to Aberdeen in their last away trip. Not exactly the form of table-toppers on the road, is it? Now, I know what you're thinking - Hearts beat Celtic 3-1 in the reverse fixture back in October. But that was at their place, and that makes all the difference. Celtic's home record against Hearts is proper decent - 75% win rate, and they've kept three clean sheets in four home meetings. The stats don't lie here. Celtic average nearly 2.5 goals at home, Hearts barely manage 1.25 on the road. Celtic concede less than half a goal at home, Hearts let in nearly one per game away. The numbers are pointing one way, and that's towards a Celtic win. Both teams are level on points, but Celtic have a game in hand. A win here puts them clear at the top, and you can bet they'll be up for it. Hearts' away form suggests they might struggle to contain Celtic's attack, especially with the home crowd behind them. The odds of 1.50 for a Celtic home win look about right to me, maybe even a bit generous given how strong they've been at home. Sometimes the simplest bet is the best one, and this feels like one of those occasions.
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Alright boets, this is the big one! Two teams locked on 32 points at the top of the Premiership, and someone's going to walk away with bragging rights. Celtic have been absolutely lethal at home this season - 80% win rate and banging in 2.40 goals per game while barely letting anything in (just 0.40 conceded). Their recent form is solid too, wins against Dundee, Hibernian, and even a nice 3-1 away victory over Feyenoord in Europe. But hold on, Hearts aren't here to make up numbers! They're sitting top of the table for a reason, and they actually beat Celtic 3-1 last time these two met. The problem for Hearts is their away form has gone a bit cold lately - only 25% win rate on the road and just 1.25 goals per game away from home. Their recent results show they're struggling to turn draws into wins, with three draws in their last five matches. When you look at the stats, this screams goals. Celtic at home are like a braai on a Saturday afternoon - hot and ready to fire! They've scored 4 goals twice at home recently. Hearts might be tight at the back away from home, but they've still managed to find the net in most of their away trips. The head-to-head record shows 5 of the last 8 meetings had over 2.5 goals, and with both teams needing the win to go top alone, I expect an open game. Celtic's home attack (2.40 goals per game) against Hearts' away defense (0.75 conceded) suggests we'll see goals. Add in Hearts' ability to score away (1.25 per game) against Celtic's home defense (0.40 conceded), and you've got the recipe for a proper goal fest!
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Oh, what a delightful treat we have here! While everyone's looking at Celtic as the big favorite at 1.50 odds, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for Heart Of Midlothian at a whopping 6.00! Let me tell you why these 'little puppies' might just have their day. First, let's look at the league table - and oh, what a surprise! Heart Of Midlothian are sitting pretty at the TOP of the Premiership with 32 points, same as Celtic but with an extra game played. That's right, the team priced at 6.00 is actually leading the pack! How wonderful is that? The most delicious piece of evidence comes from their last meeting on October 26th. Hearts traveled to Celtic Park and walked away with a smashing 3-1 victory! They didn't just win; they outplayed Celtic on their own turf. That result shows these underdogs have absolutely no fear. What really makes my tail wag is Hearts' defensive record. In their last 10 games, they've conceded only 6 goals - that's just 0.6 goals per game! They've kept clean sheets in half of their matches, which is remarkable consistency. Celtic, by contrast, have been leaking goals at twice that rate (1.0 per game). Now, I'll admit Hearts' recent form has been a bit sleepy with two draws and a loss, and they've only scored 0.33 goals per game in their last three matches. But sometimes the best underdog bets come when a good team is temporarily out of favor! The head-to-head record shows this isn't a one-sided affair. While Celtic have won more historically, Hearts have proven they can compete, winning 3 of the last 8 meetings including that recent 3-1 triumph. At 6.00 odds, the bookmakers are giving Hearts about a 16.7% chance. But for a team that's top of the league, has a superior defense, and just beat this opponent convincingly? My optimistic heart tells me their real chances are closer to 22-25%! This is exactly the kind of value I love - a genuinely good team being underestimated because they're playing away. Hearts have shown they can handle Celtic's home advantage, and with that defensive solidity, they're always in with a shout.
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This top-of-the-table Premiership clash presents a fascinating tactical puzzle between two evenly matched sides on points. Celtic, sitting second with 32 points, host league leaders Heart Of Midlothian who also have 32 points but with a game in hand. The recent form trends tell contrasting stories - Celtic have been impressive with 7 wins from their last 10 games, including dominant home performances like the 4-0 victory over Kilmarnock and a hard-fought 1-0 win against Dundee. Their home record this season is formidable, boasting an 80% win rate while averaging 2.4 goals scored and conceding just 0.4 goals per game at their own ground. Heart Of Midlothian arrive in Glasgow having lost their attacking edge recently. Despite their league position, their away form raises concerns - only 25% win rate on the road with just 1.25 goals scored per game. More troubling is their current slump: only one win in their last five matches, with three draws and a loss. Their recent away games have been particularly low-scoring affairs, including 0-0 at Motherwell and 1-0 loss at Aberdeen. The 3-1 victory over Celtic in October stands as an outlier rather than the current trend. The head-to-head record shows Celtic's historical dominance at home (75% win rate), though Hearts' recent win at Celtic Park demonstrates they can cause problems. However, the defensive statistics point toward a tight encounter. Celtic's home defense has been exceptional, keeping clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 home matches. Hearts' away attack has been blunt, failing to score in two of their last four away games. Key Points: ⢠Celtic's home defense concedes only 0.4 goals per game ⢠Hearts' away attack averages just 1.25 goals per game ⢠Hearts have won only 1 of their last 5 matches ⢠Celtic have kept 3 clean sheets in last 5 home games ⢠Both teams have strong defensive records this season ⢠Recent trends show Hearts' goal-scoring declining Given Celtic's defensive solidity at home and Hearts' recent attacking struggles on the road, this match has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring, tactical battle where at least one team is likely to keep a clean sheet.
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In the grand tapestry of Scottish football, two forces stand equal at the summit. Thirty-two points each they possess, yet different paths they have walked. Celtic, with fewer games played but more victories, strike with the fury of ten wins. Hearts, with more games but fewer defeats, show the patience of nine victories and five draws. Recent form reveals much about the soul of each team. Celtic finds strength at home, where 80% of battles they win. A fortress it has become, conceding but 0.40 goals per game while scoring 2.40. Their recent victories speak of growing power - 1-0 against Dundee, 2-1 at Hibernian, 3-1 over Feyenoord. Yet even the strongest can fall, as the 3-1 defeat to Hearts in their last encounter reminds us. Hearts, though leading the table, show signs of weariness on their travels. Away from home, only 25% of games they win. Recent struggles are evident - 1-1 with Kilmarnock, 0-0 at Motherwell, 1-0 loss to Aberdeen. Their attacking fire dims on the road, averaging but 1.25 goals per game away, and in recent times, this flame flickers ever weaker. The head-to-head tale favors Celtic on their own soil - three victories in four home meetings. Yet the last chapter saw Hearts triumph 3-1, a memory that lingers like a shadow. In this meeting of equals, the wise observer sees not a clash of titans producing goals aplenty, but rather a tactical chess match. Celtic's home defensive solidity against Hearts' away conservatism suggests a contest of patience rather than explosion. The force of defense may prevail over the temptation of attack. Key Points: - Both teams level on 32 points at top of Premiership - Celtic dominant at home (80% win rate, 0.40 goals conceded per game) - Hearts struggling away (25% win rate, declining attacking form) - Celtic's home defense vs Hearts' away attack points to low-scoring affair - Last meeting saw Hearts win 3-1, but Celtic historically strong at home vs Hearts - Recent trends show Celtic improving defensively, Hearts declining offensively The path of wisdom leads us to expect not a goal festival, but a measured contest where defense holds sway. The numbers speak of a game where goals will be precious and few.
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The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming value here. While Hearts may sit top of the table on goal difference, the statistical reality tells a different story. Celtic's home form is simply dominant - an 80% win rate at their own patch, averaging 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. That's not just good; that's mathematically significant. Hearts' away form tells the opposite tale. A mere 25% win rate on the road, and more concerning, their recent attacking output has dried up completely. Just 0.33 goals per game across their last three away matches - that's a statistical red flag. Yes, they beat Celtic 3-1 in October, but that's an outlier in the broader home/away context. Celtic's recent results show consistent scoring against various opposition levels: 4-0 vs Kilmarnock, 4-0 vs Falkirk, and solid away wins at Hibernian (2-1) and Feyenoord (3-1). Their defensive record at home is exceptional - only 4 goals conceded in 10 home games with 4 clean sheets. The market appears to be overvaluing Hearts' league position and that single H2H victory while undervaluing Celtic's fortress-like home statistics. With Celtic averaging 2.4 goals at home and Hearts managing just 1.25 away, the goal expectancy heavily favors the hosts. This is precisely the kind of situation where value hunters thrive - when public perception (Hearts top of the table) clashes with statistical reality (Celtic's home dominance). The odds compilers have left the door slightly ajar, and that's all we need.
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