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Match analysis

Scotland flagScotlandPremiership

Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time2:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

38'
KilmarnockG. Kiltie⚽
Normal Goal
46'
KilmarnockT. Lowery🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Thompson
48'
DundeeCharlie Reilly🟨
Yellow Card
53'
DundeeYan Dhanda🟨
Yellow Card
53'
KilmarnockJack Thomson🟨
Yellow Card
54'
KilmarnockBradley Lyons🟨
Yellow Card
57'
DundeeA. Hay⚽
Normal Goal → C. Reilly
63'
KilmarnockDominic Thompson🟨
Yellow Card
66'
KilmarnockG. Kiltie🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Brannan
69'
KilmarnockBen Brannan🟨
Yellow Card
72'
DundeeC. Reilly⚽
Normal Goal
73'
DundeeC. Reilly🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Acquah
73'
KilmarnockB. Anderson🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Deas
73'
KilmarnockD. Watson🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Polworth
79'
KilmarnockJ. Brown🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Watkins
89'
DundeeT. Yogane🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Samuels
90+5'
DundeeY. Dhanda🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Digby

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal1
26Total Shots8
9Blocked Shots3
16Shots insidebox7
10Shots outsidebox1
12Fouls17
7Corner Kicks5
1Offsides0
57Ball Possession43
2Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves4
463Total passes355
382Passes accurate264
83Passes %74

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"The Big "O"Won

Bottom Half Battle Set for a Goal-Fest?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
53%
Odds
2.28
Model EV
+20.8%

Alright, let's get straight to the point. We have two teams sitting 10th and 11th in the Premiership, both leaking goals like a sieve and desperately needing points. For a tipster who lives for goals and excitement, this smells like a prime opportunity for the Big O. Dundee and…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Basement Battle: Can Dundee Sink Struggling Killie?

The pickDundee win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+23.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Dundee versus Kilmarnock. It's not exactly the glamour tie of the weekend, is it? This is a proper old-fashioned relegation six-pointer. Tenth versus eleventh, both on negative sixteen goal difference, both desperate for the…

Value VinnyValue VinnyWon

Basement Battle Boasts BTTS Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+7.2%

When two teams with a combined one win in their last twenty matches meet, the casual punter might run for the hills. Not me. I see a market ripe for correction. Dundee and Kilmarnock are propping up the Premiership table, and their recent form reads like a cautionary tale…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

DundeeDundee

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

KilmarnockKilmarnock

0W 3D 7L0.30 pts/game

Per game

Dundee at home vs Kilmarnock away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+1Dundee
Venue edge
+52Dundee
Rating period
Match snapshot
Dundee versus Kilmarnock: long term Elo, before the match
DundeeDundeeHomeRatingKilmarnockKilmarnockAway
Strength
1,443Overall1,442
1,449Match venue1,397
1,449At home1,510
1,409Away1,397
Attack & defence
1,454Attack1,420
1,475Defence1,511
1,501Home attack1,441
1,421Away attack1,418
1,455Home defence1,552
1,474Away defence1,480
Match profile
1,812Goal environment1,638
1,645Home goals1,627
1,667Away goals1,512
1,465Possession1,469
Specialist ratings
1,422Set-piece attack1,475
1,425Set-piece defence1,476
1,429Close games1,440
1,442Winning margin1,436

Match venue compares Dundee at home with Kilmarnock away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

DundeeDundee1:1

Starting XI

1Jon McCrackenG
7Drey WrightD
48Ethan HamiltonM
17Tony YoganeM
11Ashley HayF
5Billy KoumetioD
28Callum JonesM
22Luke GrahamD
21Yan DhandaM
4Ryan AstleyD
18Charlie ReillyM

KilmarnockKilmarnock1:1

Starting XI

20Toby OluwayemiG
3Dominic ThompsonD
8Bradley LyonsM
24Tyreece John-JulesM
19Bruce AndersonF
25Ethan BrownD
18Tom LoweryM
5Lewis MayoD
12David WatsonM
15James BrownD
11Greg KiltieM