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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Livingston vs Dundee Utd

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time1:3HT 0–1

Match Timeline

33'
Z. Sapsford⚽
Normal Goal
45'
Daniel Finlayson🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Macaulay Tait🟨
Yellow Card
59'
M. Sylla🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Susoho
59'
S. May🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Yengi
60'
L. Smith🔄
Substitution 3 → C. McLennan
64'
J. Bokila🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Muirhead
70'
S. Pittman🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Brenet
70'
D. Naamo🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Eskesen
75'
Z. Sapsford🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Fatah
75'
O. Stirton🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Watters
79'
Connor McLennan🟨
Yellow Card
82'
K. Trapanovski🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Dolcek
84'
Mahamadou Susoho🟨
Yellow Card
86'
R. McGowan⚽
Own Goal
90'
A. Fatah⚽
Normal Goal
90'
C. McLennan⚽
Normal Goal → C. Montano

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal10
2Shots off Goal8
10Total Shots22
2Blocked Shots4
4Shots insidebox18
6Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls11
2Corner Kicks7
1Offsides1
56Ball Possession44
4Yellow Cards0
7Goalkeeper Saves5
453Total passes337
328Passes accurate237
72Passes %70

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Bottom vs Draw Specialists: Goals on the Menu?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Alright, let's braai this one up! We've got the Premiership's bottom side Livingston hosting the draw specialists Dundee United in what promises to be a proper Scottish winter clash. Livingston are rooted to the foot of the table with just one win all season, while Dundee United…

The Big "O"Won

A Festive Feast of Goals in Livingston?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
53%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+11.3%

Alright, let's talk about a match that, on paper, has the potential to deliver the kind of excitement I live for. It's the Premiership's bottom side, Livingston, hosting a Dundee United team that loves a good draw. Now, I know what you're thinking—'The Big O' is getting excited…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

The Draw, A Path to Value It Is

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.25
Model EV
+13.8%

At the bottom of the table, Livingston finds itself. A lonely place, it is. Only one win in eighteen matches, a points tally of just nine. Yet, at home, goals they have scored—1.40 per game. But conceded many more—2.20 per game. In their last ten, no victories they have claimed…

Mr SimpleLost

Bottom Meets Draw Specialists in Premiership Scrap

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.25
Model EV
+13.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Livingston are propping up the table with just one win all season, while Dundee United are sitting pretty in eighth, but my word they love a draw. Ten draws from nineteen games tells you everything you need to know about them …

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Livingston

0W 3D 7L0.30 pts/game

Dundee Utd

1W 6D 3L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Livingston at home vs Dundee Utd away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+155Dundee Utd
Venue edge
+33Dundee Utd
Rating period
Match snapshot
Livingston versus Dundee Utd: long term Elo, before the match
LivingstonHomeRatingDundee UtdAway
Strength
1,376Overall1,531
1,458Match venue1,491
1,458At home1,487
1,352Away1,491
Attack & defence
1,430Attack1,474
1,445Defence1,532
1,447Home attack1,455
1,392Away attack1,463
1,506Home defence1,512
1,418Away defence1,528
Match profile
1,520Goal environment1,727
1,432Home goals1,655
1,588Away goals1,572
1,488Possession1,472
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,472
1,497Set-piece defence1,473
1,403Close games1,561
1,371Winning margin1,523

Match venue compares Livingston at home with Dundee Utd away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LivingstonLivingston1:1

Starting XI

28Jérôme PriorG
26Cristian MontanoD
24Mohammad SyllaM
17Stevie MayF
27Danny WilsonD
25Macaulay TaitM
18Jeremy BokilaF
5Ryan McGowanD
8Scott PittmanM
15Lewis SmithF
19Daniel FinlaysonD

Dundee UtdDundee Utd1:1

Starting XI

25Dave RichardsG
23Krisztián KeresztesD
11Will FerryM
7Kristijan TrapanovskiF
3Bert EsselinkD
14Craig SibbaldM
34Owen StirtonF
37Sam Cleall-HardingD
21Luca StephensonM
9Zachary SapsfordF
22Dario NaamoM