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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Celtic vs Motherwell

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time3:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

7'
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain🟨
Yellow Card
32'
E. Just⚽
Normal Goal β†’ C. Slattery
38'
Yang Hyun-Jun⚽
Normal Goal
46'
S. TounektiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ T. Cvancara
50'
Colby Donovan🟨
Yellow Card
62'
B. NygrenπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ L. McCowan
63'
Reo Hatate🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Elijah Just🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Daizen Maeda
Penalty confirmed
71'
Emmanuel LongeloπŸŸ₯
Red Card
72'
Calum Ward🟨
Yellow Card
72'
T. Cvancara
Penalty
78'
C. DonovanπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ A. Ralston
78'
K. TierneyπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ M. Saracchi
78'
A. Oxlade-ChamberlainπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ P. Bernardo
78'
L. FadingerπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ O. Priestman
78'
I. SaidπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ E. Bjorgolfsson
79'
Yang Hyun-Jun⚽
Normal Goal
82'
Anthony Ralston🟨
Yellow Card
83'
T. SparrowπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ J. McGhee
83'
E. JustπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ S. Nicholson
90+1'
T. MaswanhiseπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ L. Ross

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
13Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox6
10Fouls10
2Corner Kicks3
0Offsides3
47Ball Possession53
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
482Total passes562
418Passes accurate497
87Passes %88
2.14expected_goals0.52
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonLost

Celtic vs Motherwell: Steelmen Value at Parkhead

The pickMotherwell win

Chance
25%
Odds
5.00
Model EV
+25.0%

Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and fire up the braai because we've got a lekker Scottish Premiership clash coming up this Saturday afternoon. Celtic hosting Motherwell at Parkhead, and let me tell you, this is nogal a tricky one to call - but where there's uncertainty, there's…

Value VinnyLost

Celtic's Home Woes Offer Motherwell Value at 5.00

The pickMotherwell win

Chance
28%
Odds
5.00
Model EV
+40.0%

The market has priced this Scottish Premiership clash as if Celtic are still the dominant force at Parkhead, offering a stingy 1.67 on the hosts. I’m here to tell you that number is mathematical nonsense given the current form profiles. Celtic’s recent home record makes for grim…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Celtic

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Motherwell

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Celtic at home vs Motherwell away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Premiership

Overall edge
+93Celtic
Venue edge
+297Celtic
Rating period
Match snapshot
Celtic versus Motherwell: long term Elo, before the match
CelticHomeRatingMotherwellAway
Strength
1,723Overall1,630
1,804Match venue1,507
1,804At home1,598
1,733Away1,507
Attack & defence
1,644Attack1,537
1,616Defence1,649
1,700Home attack1,548
1,637Away attack1,475
1,689Home defence1,608
1,603Away defence1,558
Match profile
2,573Goal environment1,943
2,048Home goals1,830
2,025Away goals1,613
1,567Possession1,538
Specialist ratings
1,573Set-piece attack1,493
1,571Set-piece defence1,493
1,635Close games1,501
1,747Winning margin1,666

Match venue compares Celtic at home with Motherwell away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CelticCeltic1:1

Starting XI

12V. SinisaloG
63K. TierneyD
41R. HatateM
23S. TounektiM
38D. MaedaF
5L. ScalesD
21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
8B. NygrenM
43B. ArthurD
13Yang Hyun-JunM
51C. DonovanD

MotherwellMotherwell1:1

Starting XI

13C. WardG
45E. LongeloD
12L. FadingerM
21E. JustF
16P. McGinnD
8C. SlatteryM
18T. MaswanhiseF
2S. O'DonnellD
20E. WattM
90I. SaidF
7T. SparrowD