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Match analysis

CroatiaHNL

Istra 1961 vs Vukovar

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this HNL fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

10'
E. Frederiksen⚽
Normal Goal → S. Lawal
13'
R. Gonzalez⚽
Normal Goal → L. Banovec
46'
M. Heister🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Taraba
59'
V. Rozic🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Mauric
59'
I. Ayuma🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Prevljak
69'
S. Loncar🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Djuric
85'
V. Koski🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Jay
88'
A. Jurilj🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Caic
89'
Jakov Puljić🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
J. Puljic🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Spoljaric

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal7
12Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox7
10Fouls6
4Corner Kicks8
3Offsides2
56Ball Possession44
0Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
447Total passes347
363Passes accurate252
81Passes %73

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Expected When Istra Hosts Leaky Vukovar

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
56%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+6.4%

Get ready for some serious goal action, folks! The Big O is getting excited about this matchup, and you should too. When Istra 1961 welcomes Vukovar to town, we're looking at a recipe for goal-scoring fireworks that'll have the scoreboard working overtime. Let's talk numbers…

PajimonLost

Istra 1961 vs Vukovar: Goals on the Menu

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+14.0%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this clash! Istra 1961 sitting pretty in 6th with 15 points, while Vukovar are scraping the barrel down in 10th with just 9 points. There's a proper gap between these two sides, and I'm smelling value here. Istra's been decent at…

Umery UnderdogLost

Vukovar Ready to Bark Again After Dinamo Upset

The pickVukovar win

Chance
22%
Odds
6.50
Model EV
+43.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes will be on Istra 1961 sitting comfortably in 6th place, my attention is firmly fixed on those plucky underdogs from Vukovar. Let me tell you why these little puppies might just have another surprise in store! First…

Mr SimpleWon

Istra vs Vukovar: Both Teams to Score?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
2.04
Model EV
+22.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this HNL clash between Istra 1961 and Vukovar. The home side are sitting pretty in 6th with 15 points, while Vukovar are propping up the table in 10th with just 9 points. But don't let that league position fool you - this could be closer…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
57%
Odds
2.04
Model EV
+16.3%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're pointing squarely at value in the Both Teams to Score market. Let's break down why the bookies have got this one wrong. Istra 1961 sit comfortably mid-table with 15 points, while Vukovar languish near the bottom on just 9 points. That…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Istra 1961

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Vukovar

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Istra 1961 at home vs Vukovar away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within HNL

Overall edge
+99Istra 1961
Venue edge
+128Istra 1961
Rating period
Match snapshot
Istra 1961 versus Vukovar: long term Elo, before the match
Istra 1961HomeRatingVukovarAway
Strength
1,596Overall1,497
1,595Match venue1,467
1,595At home1,512
1,476Away1,467
Attack & defence
1,482Attack1,487
1,593Defence1,502
1,515Home attack1,505
1,405Away attack1,472
1,597Home defence1,511
1,564Away defence1,476
Match profile
1,410Goal environment1,505
1,420Home goals1,502
1,490Away goals1,503
1,496Possession1,494
Specialist ratings
1,493Set-piece attack1,492
1,494Set-piece defence1,492
1,560Close games1,496
1,605Winning margin1,493

Match venue compares Istra 1961 at home with Vukovar away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Istra 1961Istra 19611:1

Starting XI

1Franko KolićG
26Marcel HeisterD
18Israel AyumaM
7Vinko RozićM
4Dario MarešićD
5Josip RadoševićM
70Salim Fago LawalF
21Ville KoskiD
10Stjepan LončarM
17Emil FrederiksenM
3Mohamed NasraouiD

VukovarVukovar1:1

Starting XI

1Marino BulatG
7Kerim ÇalhanoğluD
77Eniss ShabaniM
28Lovro BanovecM
21Jakov PuljićF
16Kristijan PavičićD
8David MejíaM
10Robin GonzálezM
34Mario TadićD
19Alen JuriljM
91Mario TičinovićD