Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 17:15
HNL
Croatia
Croatia
Full Time

Match Timeline

9'
Ville Koski🟨
Yellow Card
36'
J. Prsir
Normal Goal → I. Pozo
40'
Žan Trontelj🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Dario Marešić🟨
Yellow Card
60'
A. Jay🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Prevljak
64'
L. Vrzic🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Les
72'
Jurica Pršir🟨
Yellow Card
73'
M. Nasraoui🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Kumar
78'
S. Lawal🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Bangura
78'
D. Djuric🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Agada
82'
J. Prsir🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Pavicic
82'
O. Bakic🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Durakovic
90+1'
Iker Pozo🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
F. Cuic🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Pelko

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal8
12Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox7
1Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls13
2Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
43Ball Possession57
3Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
407Total passes533
307Passes accurate445
75Passes %83

Starting Lineups

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica1:1

Starting XI

71Davor MatijašG
19Marijan ČabrajaM
36Ante KaveljM
20Luka VrzićD
9Filip ČuićF
4Jakov FilipovićD
8Iker PozoM
10Jurica PrširF
45Stefan PerićD
7Ognjen BakićF
22Žan TronteljD

Istra 1961Istra 19611:1

Starting XI

1Franko KolićG
4Dario MarešićD
97Advan KadušićM
17Emil FrederiksenF
21Ville KoskiD
8Antonio MaurićM
70Salim Fago LawalF
3Mohamed NasraouiD
5Josip RadoševićM
22Danijel Dejan DjuricF
23Alejandro JayM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
Form: D-W-W-L-L
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
Form: W-L-D-W-L
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.1
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:3.7
Conceded
Home:1.9
Away:0.7
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1544
Average
1605
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1549
↑ Momentum (+5)
1674
↑ Momentum (+69)
Expected Outcome
28%
Home Win
32%
Draw
40%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1473
Attack
1519
1515
Defence
1600
Recent Form
1489
Attack
1550
1492
Defence
1605
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Gorica vs Istra: Goal Fest Incoming?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

Alright boets, let's get down to business with this HNL clash! Gorica might be sitting 7th in the table, but these ouens have been scoring goals for fun lately - 21 in their last 10 games to be exact! Problem is, they've also been leaking them at home, conceding nearly 2 goals per game on their own patch. Istra 1961 are sitting pretty in 4th spot, 4 points ahead of today's hosts. They've been grinding out results with that solid 1.2 goals scored and conceded average. But here's the thing - they just beat Dinamo Zagreb 2-1! That's the kind of result that puts a proper spring in your step, hey. Now, let's talk about the head-to-head. Gorica actually dominates this matchup at home with a 75% win rate (3-1-0 record). But their last meeting was that 0-1 loss to Istra back in August. Funny how that works, isn't it? Gorica's recent form is a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde situation. They're putting 6 past Rudes in the cup and 4 past Lokomotiva, but then getting hammered 3-1 by Hajduk, Varazdin, and Rijeka at home. It's like they save their best for the road and forget how to defend in front of their own fans! Istra have been more consistent, especially away from home where they're winning 40% of their games. That 2-1 win at Dinamo shows they can turn up on the big stage. The stats are screaming goals here. Gorica's home games average nearly 3.3 goals total (1.43 scored + 1.86 conceded). Istra's away games are averaging 2.4 goals. Both teams have been scoring and conceding regularly - Gorica with 80% BTTS rate and Istra with 70%. Looking at the betting odds, BTTS Yes at 1.80 looks like proper value. Both teams are finding the net consistently, both have defensive issues, and the goal expectancy is sitting at 2.84 total goals. This has all the makings of a proper goal-fest! Key Points: - Gorica scoring 2.1 goals per game but conceding 1.86 at home - Istra just beat Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 - massive confidence booster - Both teams have high BTTS percentages (80% and 70%) - Goal expectancy points to 2.84 total goals - Gorica's home form is poor despite recent goal-scoring spree I'm backing both teams to score here. The stats don't lie - both sides are finding the net regularly and both have defensive vulnerabilities. Should be a cracker of a match!

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Incoming: Gorica vs Istra 1961
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+12.8%
Confidence:65

Get ready for some serious goal action, folks! The Big O is getting excited about this HNL showdown, and the numbers are screaming "OVER!" HNK Gorica has been an absolute goal machine recently, averaging 2.10 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches. But here's the juicy part - they're also leaking goals at 1.50 per game! That's the kind of defensive generosity that makes The Big O's heart race. Their recent form reads like a goal-fest highlight reel: a 4-1 demolition of Lokomotiva Zagreb, a stunning 6-0 cup thrashing of Rudes, and even in defeats, they're keeping things interesting with 1-3 scorelines against top teams. Istra 1961 might look more conservative on paper with 1.20 goals scored and conceded per game, but don't let that fool you. They've been involved in some tasty encounters lately - a 2-1 victory over Dinamo Zagreb shows they can score against the best, and their Both Teams To Score rate sits at 70% over their last 10 matches. The real kicker here is Gorica's home form. They're conceding 1.86 goals per game on their own patch! That's practically rolling out the red carpet for goals. Combine that with their 80% Both Teams To Score rate in recent games, and we've got all the ingredients for a spectacular. Sure, the head-to-head has been tight historically, but that 3-2 thriller back in April 2025 proves these teams can produce fireworks when the mood strikes. With goal expectancies pointing to 2.84 total goals and both sides showing defensive vulnerabilities, The Big O is smelling a goal bonanza! Key Points: • Gorica averaging 2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in last 10 games • Both Teams To Score in 80% of Gorica's recent matches • Gorica conceding 1.86 goals per game at home • Istra's 70% Both Teams To Score rate in recent games • Goal expectancies total 2.84, leaning over the 2.5 line • Recent high-scoring results include 4-1 and 6-0 victories for Gorica The Big O's Verdict: This has all the makings of a goal spectacular. Both teams have shown they can score and concede, the home side's defensive record is particularly generous, and the odds offer value. Time to embrace the goals!

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📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: Both Teams Shall Score
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

In the grand tapestry of HNL, two forces converge on this day. HNK Gorica, though lower in the standings at 7th place with 15 points, carries the wisdom of recent victories - a 4-1 triumph over Lokomotiva Zagreb and a magnificent 6-0 cup victory against Rudes. Yet their home fortress has shown cracks, with defeats of 1-3 to Hajduk Split, Varazdin, and Rijeka marring their domestic campaign. Istra 1961, sitting 4th with 19 points, arrives with the balance of a true Jedi - steady and consistent. Their recent 2-1 victory over Dinamo Zagreb speaks volumes of their power. Away from home, they maintain a 40% win rate, scoring and conceding in equal measure at 1.2 goals per game. The head-to-head history reveals an interesting paradox - Gorica has historically dominated at home against Istra with a 3-1-0 record, yet their last encounter ended 0-1 in Istra's favor. The Force of goals flows strongly in recent times, with both teams finding the net in 70-80% of their recent matches. Gorica's home defense has been porous, conceding 1.86 goals per game on their own turf, while Istra's away attack averages exactly 1.2 goals. The statistical winds suggest both sides shall breach the other's defenses in this encounter. Key Points: • Gorica's home form concerns: only 28.57% win rate at home despite decent overall form • Istra's consistency: higher league position and better away form (40% win rate) • Both teams score frequently: 80% for Gorica, 70% for Istra in recent matches • Historical H2H low-scoring trend clashes with current high-scoring form • Goal expectancy suggests 2.84 total goals in this match The path of wisdom leads us to believe that both teams will find the net in this encounter. The defensive vulnerabilities of Gorica at home, combined with Istra's ability to score away, creates a scenario where goals flow from both sides. Though history suggests caution, the present moment speaks of attacking intent and defensive lapses.

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📝 Match Preview

Gorica vs Istra: Both Teams To Score Analysis
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+35.0%

This HNL clash between HNK Gorica and Istra 1961 presents an intriguing betting opportunity despite the contrasting league positions. Gorica sits 7th with 15 points, while Istra occupies 4th with 19 points, but the recent form patterns suggest a more evenly matched encounter than the table indicates. Gorica's recent form has been characterized by high-scoring affairs and defensive vulnerability. In their last 10 matches, they've found the net 21 times (2.1 per game) while conceding 15 (1.5 per game). Notably, both teams have scored in 80% of their recent matches, highlighting their inability to keep clean sheets. Their home form has been particularly concerning with just a 28.57% win rate, though they've shown explosive potential in victories like the 4-1 win against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and the 6-0 cup triumph over Rudes. Istra 1961 presents a more consistent but less explosive profile. They've scored 12 and conceded 12 in their last 10 games (1.2 per game each), with both teams scoring in 70% of their matches. Their away form shows a balanced 40% win rate, and they've demonstrated resilience against top opposition, notably beating Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 in their most recent outing. However, they've also shown defensive frailties, keeping clean sheets in only 20% of recent matches. The head-to-head record heavily favors Gorica at home, with a perfect 3-1-0 record (75% win rate) against Istra on their own turf. However, the most recent meeting saw Istra claim a 1-0 away victory in August, suggesting the historical advantage may be diminishing. Statistical analysis reveals both teams struggle defensively, with Gorica managing only a 10% clean sheet rate and Istra just 20%. The goal expectancy figures (Home 1.31, Away 1.53) further support the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Given these patterns, the Both Teams To Score market offers the most compelling value, as the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides combined with their consistent scoring records create a high-probability scenario.

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📝 Match Preview

Gorica vs Istra: Goal Fest on the Cards?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+8.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Croatian scrap between Gorica and Istra 1961. It's a proper mid-table battle with both sides looking to climb the ladder, but the numbers tell us this could be a right old goal-fest! Gorica are sitting in 7th with 15 points, and blimey, they know how to find the net! They're banging in 2.10 goals per game over their last 10 matches - that's some serious firepower. But here's the rub, mate - they're also letting in 1.50 per game with only one clean sheet in 10. They're like a pub team that loves attacking but forgets to defend! Their recent form is all over the shop too - they'll hammer someone 4-1 or 6-0, then turn around and lose 1-3 three times on the bounce at home. Istra, sitting pretty in 4th with 19 points, are a bit more measured. They're not as explosive going forward (1.20 goals per game), but they're more solid at the back (1.20 conceded). They've had some decent results lately, including a cracking 2-1 win over Dinamo Zagreb. They're consistent, if not spectacular. Now, here's where it gets interesting. Historically, Gorica have bossed this fixture at home - 3 wins, 1 draw, no losses. But Istra nicked it 1-0 in the last meeting back in August. Most of their head-to-heads have been tight, low-scoring affairs, but both teams' recent form suggests we might see something different this time. Both sides are scoring for fun recently - Gorica have both teams scoring in 80% of their games, while Istra are at 70%. When you've got two teams that love a goal but can't keep a clean sheet to save their lives, you're usually in for some entertainment! The goal expectancy is sitting at 2.84, which suggests we're in for more than a few chances. Gorica might have poor home form recently, but they still score plenty at home (1.43 per game), and Istra are decent on their travels (1.20 per game away). Key Points: • Gorica score 2.10 goals per game but concede 1.50 - proper end-to-end stuff! • Both teams have high BTTS rates (Gorica 80%, Istra 70%) • Gorica historically dominate at home vs Istra (75% win rate) • Istra won the last meeting 1-0, breaking the home dominance • Goal expectancy suggests 2.84 goals in this match Look, when you've got two sides that both love scoring but can't defend, and the odds are offering decent value for both teams to score, it's worth a punt. This has all the makings of a proper Croatian classic with goals at both ends!

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