Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

20'
Luke Young⚽
Normal Goal
39'
Jaden WarnerπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ James Clarke
57'
Isaac Hutchinson🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Luke Young⚽
Normal Goal
62'
Courtney Baker-RichardsonπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Michael Reindorf
63'
Michael SpellmanπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Gerard Garner
71'
Habeeb Ogunneye🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Jordan ThomasπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Ryan Broom
77'
Jake BickerstaffπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Tom Taylor
82'
Ethon ArcherπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ George Harmon
88'
Isaac HutchinsonπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Liam Kinsella
90+4'
Lee Jenkins🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
Gerard Garner🟨
Yellow Card
90+7'
Cameron Antwi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
10Total Shots10
0Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox5
10Fouls10
3Corner Kicks3
1Offsides0
58Ball Possession42
4Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
472Total passes355
375Passes accurate274
79Passes %77

Starting Lineups

Newport CountyNewport CountyUnknown

Starting XI

28Jordan WrightG
22Habeeb OgunneyeD
15Lee JenkinsD
32Jaden WarnerD
12Joe ThomasD
44Sammy BraybrookeM
11Cameron AntwiM
7Bobby KamwaM
14Kai WhitmoreM
21Michael SpellmanM
9Courtney Baker-RichardsonF

CheltenhamCheltenhamUnknown

Starting XI

1Joe DayG
2Arkell Jude-BoydD
5James WilsonD
24Sam SherringD
27Jonathan TomkinsonD
8Luke YoungM
26Ben StevensonM
21Isaac HutchinsonM
11Jordan ThomasF
20Jake BickerstaffF
22Ethon ArcherF

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Newport County
Newport County
Form: W-W-L-L-L
Cheltenham
Cheltenham
Form: D-L-W-L-L
Record
2 W
1 D
7 L
β€’
2 W
2 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
0.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
2.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:0.5
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.7

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1414
Average
1506
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1335
↓ Momentum (-79)
1445
↓ Momentum (-61)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
30%
Draw
44%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1420
Attack
1453
1446
Defence
1455
Recent Form
1381
Attack
1414
1433
Defence
1425
Post-Match Changes
-12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Bottom-Table Battle: Cheltenham to Snatch Victory
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.10
Expected Value:+11.6%
Confidence:65

Oh, what a delightful bottom-of-the-table clash we have here! Two teams struggling at the foot of League Two, but as your friendly underdog enthusiast, I see potential where others see despair. Newport County hosts Cheltenham in what promises to be a fascinating battle between the league's two lowest-scoring teams. Let's look at the home side first. Newport County have been having a rough time at their own ground, with a staggering 0% home win rate from their last five matches at home. They've been conceding 2.20 goals per game on their own patch, which is quite concerning. However, they did show some spirit recently with back-to-back 1-0 away wins against Accrington ST and Cardiff in the EFL Trophy. Those clean sheets suggest there's some fight left in these puppies! Now for our visitors, Cheltenham. Yes, they're rock bottom of the table, but I see signs of life! They grabbed a creditable 1-1 draw against high-flying Gillingham in their last outing, showing they can compete with the league's better teams. They also notched a solid 2-0 home win over Fleetwood Town recently. Their away form has been challenging, but sometimes the best time to back an underdog is when they're at their lowest point - that's where the real value hides! The head-to-head record actually favors Cheltenham, who have won 4 of the 8 meetings between these sides. Newport's home record against Cheltenham is particularly poor - just 1 win in 5 home encounters. Both teams are struggling for goals, with Newport averaging 0.90 per game and Cheltenham just 0.60, but sometimes in these relegation battles, one moment of quality can decide everything. Given Newport's dreadful home form and Cheltenham's slightly better recent results against decent opposition, I'm backing the visitors to cause an upset. The odds of 3.10 for an away win represent excellent value for a team that, despite their league position, has shown they can compete.

Read Full Preview β†’