Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time4:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

31'
Promise OmochereπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Luke Thomas
33'
Jack SparkesπŸŸ₯
Red Card
34'
Ryan Loft
Missed Penalty
40'
Geraldo Bajrami🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Tom Lockyer🟨
Yellow Card
45+3'
Luke Southwood🟨
Yellow Card
45+9'
Alfie Kilgour⚽
Own Goal
46'
Geraldo BajramiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Harry Forster
46'
Shaqai FordeπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Ollie Dewsbury
48'
Ollie Dewsbury🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Harry Forster⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Scott Malone
56'
Luke ThomasπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Bryant Akono Bilongo
57'
Tom LockyerπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Stephan Negru
69'
Scott Malone⚽
Normal Goal
76'
Scott MaloneπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Louis Flower
78'
Kyle Scott🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Joel CotterillπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Josh McEachran
81'
Gavan HolohanπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Reece Brown
81'
Ryan LoftπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Kabongo Tshimanga
81'
Louie WatsonπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Kaheim Dixon
86'
Louis Flower⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Reece Brown

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal1
14Total Shots4
5Blocked Shots0
9Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox0
13Fouls14
5Corner Kicks3
5Offsides0
74Ball Possession26
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
691Total passes236
613Passes accurate134
89Passes %57

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogWon

Crawley Town Ready to Bite Back Against Rovers

The pickCrawley Town win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.38
Model EV
+7.1%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we're looking at a classic tale of the little puppy versus the bigger dog, and I've sniffed out some delightful value here! While Bristol Rovers sit comfortably mid-table in 16th place with 17 points, our Crawley Town pups are scrapping…

PajimonLost

Both Teams To Score In League Two Clash

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Right then, let's fire up the BBQ and look at this League Two showdown! Crawley Town are rock bottom of the table with just 9 points from 13 games, while Bristol Rovers sit in 16th with 17 points. On paper, there's a clear gap, but football's not played on paper, is it?…

Value VinnyLost

Bristol Rovers Away Win Offers Hidden Value

The pickBristol Rovers win

Chance
46%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+28.8%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The market has this wrong, and that's where value hunters like me thrive. Bristol Rovers arrive as clear favorites in terms of quality and form, sitting 7 places above Crawley in the League Two table with nearly…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Crawley Town

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Bristol Rovers

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Crawley Town at home vs Bristol Rovers away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within League Two

Overall edge
+96Bristol Rovers
Venue edge
+32Bristol Rovers
Rating period
Match snapshot
Crawley Town versus Bristol Rovers: long term Elo, before the match
Crawley TownHomeRatingBristol RoversAway
Strength
1,451Overall1,547
1,481Match venue1,513
1,481At home1,588
1,452Away1,513
Attack & defence
1,463Attack1,483
1,496Defence1,537
1,476Home attack1,479
1,463Away attack1,505
1,532Home defence1,592
1,468Away defence1,512
Match profile
1,730Goal environment1,508
1,572Home goals1,488
1,658Away goals1,520
1,520Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,496Set-piece attack1,513
1,496Set-piece defence1,512
1,441Close games1,572
1,447Winning margin1,527

Match venue compares Crawley Town at home with Bristol Rovers away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Crawley TownCrawley Town1:1

Starting XI

34Joseph WollacottG
28Josh FlintD
2Scott MaloneM
8Gavan HolohanF
21Ryan LoftF
3Dion ConroyD
6Max AndersonM
27Louie WatsonF
5Charlie BarkerD
4Geraldo BajramiM
17Kyle ScottM

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1:1

Starting XI

1Luke SouthwoodG
3Jack SparkesD
22Kamil ContehM
9Promise OmochereF
5Alfie KilgourD
24Alfie ChangM
29Fabrizio CavegnF
12Tom LockyerD
14Joel CotterillM
7Shaqai FordeF
35Kacper ŁopataD