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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Tranmere vs Chesterfield

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

12'
Omari Patrick⚽
Own Goal
26'
Ryan Stirk🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Chey Dunkley🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Liam Mandeville🔄
Substitution 1 → Ronan Darcy
70'
James Berry🔄
Substitution 2 → Dylan Duffy
78'
Cameron Norman🔄
Substitution 1 → Jayden Joseph
78'
Charlie Whitaker🔄
Substitution 2 → Taylan Harris
78'
Josh Davison🔄
Substitution 3 → Sol Solomon
89'
Lee Bonis🔄
Substitution 3 → Will Grigg
90+3'
Connor Jennings⚽
Normal Goal → Billy Blacker

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots9
5Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls14
4Corner Kicks6
3Offsides3
56Ball Possession44
0Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
386Total passes295
270Passes accurate183
70Passes %62

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Tranmere Ready to Bite Higher-Ranked Chesterfield

The pickTranmere win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+17.8%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While the table might suggest Chesterfield should have the upper hand sitting pretty in 6th place, I've got my nose twitching with excitement about our underdog friends at Tranmere. Let me tell you why this little puppy could surprise…

Mr CertaintyWon

Tranmere vs Chesterfield: BTTS Value Analysis

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+16.9%

This League Two clash presents an intriguing puzzle between two teams with contrasting fortunes but similar defensive vulnerabilities. Chesterfield sits comfortably in 6th place with 22 points, while Tranmere languishes in 18th with just 14 points, highlighting an 8-point gap in…

Mr SimpleWon

Tranmere vs Chesterfield: Goals Galore on the Cards?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two scrap between Tranmere and Chesterfield. On paper, it looks like a mismatch - Chesterfield sitting pretty in 6th with 22 points, while Tranmere are languishing down in 18th with just 14. But football's not played on paper…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Tranmere

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Chesterfield

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Tranmere at home vs Chesterfield away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+53Chesterfield
Venue edge
+58Tranmere
Rating period
Match snapshot
Tranmere versus Chesterfield: long term Elo, before the match
TranmereHomeRatingChesterfieldAway
Strength
1,465Overall1,518
1,501Match venue1,443
1,501At home1,558
1,417Away1,443
Attack & defence
1,481Attack1,515
1,485Defence1,513
1,441Home attack1,535
1,462Away attack1,455
1,564Home defence1,539
1,437Away defence1,501
Match profile
1,358Goal environment1,558
1,408Home goals1,543
1,450Away goals1,515
1,497Possession1,526
Specialist ratings
1,472Set-piece attack1,506
1,473Set-piece defence1,506
1,490Close games1,490
1,477Winning margin1,515

Match venue compares Tranmere at home with Chesterfield away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

TranmereTranmere1:1

Starting XI

13Joe MurphyG
3Patrick BroughD
11Omari PatrickM
7Charlie WhitakerF
10Josh DavisonF
5Nathan SmithD
24Billy BlackerM
18Connor JenningsF
2Cameron NormanD
6Richard SmallwoodM
30Aaron McGowanM

ChesterfieldChesterfield1:1

Starting XI

1Zac HemmingG
19Lewis GordonD
8Ryan StirkM
28James BerryM
10Lee BonisF
6Kyle McFadzeanD
4Tom NaylorM
7Liam MandevilleM
22Chey DunkleyD
24Dilan MarkandayM
20Vontae Daley-CampbellD