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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Cheltenham vs Notts County

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–2

Match Timeline

23'
Alassana Jatta⚽
Normal Goal → Tom Iorpenda
27'
Tyrese Hall⚽
Normal Goal → Nick Tsaroulla
45+1'
Nick Tsaroulla🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Isaac Hutchinson⚽
Normal Goal
67'
Tom Iorpenda🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Conor Grant🔄
Substitution 1 → Matthew Dennis
76'
Jacob Bedeau🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Keanan Bennetts🔄
Substitution 2 → Maziar Kouhyar
87'
Jake Bickerstaff🔄
Substitution 1 → Hakeeb Adelakun
88'
Tom Iorpenda🔄
Substitution 3 → Oliver Norburn
90'
Ethon Archer🔄
Substitution 2 → Josh Martin

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal8
7Total Shots17
4Blocked Shots5
4Shots insidebox11
3Shots outsidebox6
12Fouls11
5Corner Kicks7
0Offsides3
46Ball Possession54
0Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
379Total passes455
302Passes accurate365
80Passes %80

Tipster preview

Umery UnderdogLost

Cheltenham Ready to Bite Top-Five Notts County

The pickCheltenham win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.90
Model EV
+36.5%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! Little Cheltenham, sitting 20th in the league, gets to host the fancy fifth-placed Notts County. But don't let those league positions fool you - these little puppies have some serious bite recently! Just look at…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cheltenham

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Notts County

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Cheltenham at home vs Notts County away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+73Notts County
Venue edge
+28Cheltenham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cheltenham versus Notts County: long term Elo, before the match
CheltenhamHomeRatingNotts CountyAway
Strength
1,449Overall1,522
1,519Match venue1,491
1,519At home1,520
1,449Away1,491
Attack & defence
1,415Attack1,525
1,482Defence1,550
1,452Home attack1,534
1,424Away attack1,505
1,529Home defence1,550
1,479Away defence1,514
Match profile
1,498Goal environment1,870
1,487Home goals1,648
1,512Away goals1,722
1,488Possession1,515
Specialist ratings
1,430Set-piece attack1,463
1,432Set-piece defence1,464
1,547Close games1,421
1,416Winning margin1,554

Match venue compares Cheltenham at home with Notts County away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CheltenhamCheltenham1:1

Starting XI

1Joe DayG
27Jonathan TomkinsonD
26Ben StevensonM
22Ethon ArcherM
20Jake BickerstaffF
5James WilsonD
21Isaac HutchinsonM
24Sam SherringD
8Luke YoungM
14Ryan BroomD
11Jordan ThomasM

Notts CountyNotts County1:1

Starting XI

1Kelle RoosG
4Jacob BedeauD
47Keanan BennettsM
26Tyrese HallF
29Alassana JattaF
12Lucas NessD
20Scott RobertsonM
11Conor GrantF
28Lewis MacariD
14Tom IorpendaM
25Nick TsaroullaM