Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 15:00
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

25'
James GoldingπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Louis Moult
35'
Michael MorrisonπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Mamadou Jobe
37'
Korey Smith🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Louis AppΓ©rΓ©πŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Elias Kachunga
54'
Emre Tezgel⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Tommi O'Reilly
62'
Liam BennettπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Sullay Kaikai
69'
Glenn McConnellπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Ben Knight
82'
Mamadou Jobe⚽
Normal Goal
82'
Louis MoultπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Josh March
90+5'
Owen Lunt🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Josh March🟨
Yellow Card
90+7'
Ben Knight
Penalty

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal0
16Total Shots5
1Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox0
10Fouls11
10Corner Kicks1
1Offsides2
59Ball Possession41
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
372Total passes268
253Passes accurate145
68Passes %54

Starting Lineups

Cambridge UnitedCambridge UnitedUnknown

Starting XI

1Jake EastwoodG
2Liam BennettD
5Michael MorrisonD
6Kelland WattsD
3Ben PurringtonD
8Korey SmithM
38George HoddleM
7James BrophyM
27Glenn McConnellM
15Adam MayorM
9Louis AppΓ©rΓ©F

CreweCreweUnknown

Starting XI

1Tom BoothG
2Lewis BillingtonD
18James ConnollyD
16James GoldingD
3Reece HutchinsonD
14Charlie FinneyM
8Conor ThomasM
26Tommi O'ReillyM
19Owen LuntM
20Calum AgiusM
36Emre TezgelF

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Cambridge United
Cambridge United
Form: W-D-D-W-W
Crewe
Crewe
Form: D-D-W-W-L
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
β€’
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.4
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.3

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1543
Average
1502
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1578
↑ Momentum (+35)
1488
↓ Momentum (-14)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1454
Attack
1485
1583
Defence
1524
Recent Form
1459
Attack
1511
1608
Defence
1491
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: Cambridge United vs Crewe
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+7.2%

In the vast expanse of League Two, two forces converge, separated by mere points in the great table. Cambridge United, tenth they stand with 26 points, while Crewe, eighth with 27, follows closely behind. The path to enlightenment, similar it has been for both - 1.70 points per game they have gathered in their last ten encounters. The home fortress of Cambridge United, strong it has become. In their last five home battles, victorious they have been in 80% of contests. Defensively solid, conceding only 0.40 goals per game on their own soil. Clean sheets in half of their home matches, a testament to their defensive discipline. Recent victories against Barrow (2-0) and Chester (3-0) show their capability. Yet Crewe, with their attacking ways, cannot be underestimated. Away from home, 1.50 goals per game they have scored. In their travels, successful they have been in 50% of recent away contests. The 3-3 draw with Chesterfield and 3-1 victory over Shrewsbury demonstrate their offensive potential. The historical records speak volumes. In eight meetings, Cambridge United has prevailed five times, with only one defeat. At home against Crewe, unbeaten they remain (2 wins, 1 draw). The last encounter, 1-0 to Cambridge, suggests a pattern of tight, defensive battles. The force of statistics reveals interesting truths. Cambridge, with 30% both teams scoring at home, faces Crewe with 70% BTTS in away matches. A conflict of styles this presents. The goal expectancies suggest 1.52 for Cambridge and 0.95 for Crewe - total of 2.47 goals, pointing towards a controlled affair. In football, as in life, balance is key. The defensive solidity of Cambridge at home against Crewe's away scoring form creates a fascinating tactical puzzle. The odds suggest Cambridge as favorites at 2.25, but the wise bettor looks deeper. Key Points: - Cambridge United boast 80% home win rate in last 5 games - Cambridge concede only 0.40 goals per game at home - Crewe score 1.50 goals per game away from home - Historical dominance: Cambridge 5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss vs Crewe - Cambridge unbeaten at home vs Crewe (2-1-0 record) - Both teams average identical 1.70 points per game recently - 4 of 8 head-to-head meetings have gone under 2.5 goals - Cambridge keep clean sheets in 50% of home games - Crewe see both teams score in 70% of away games The path to betting wisdom reveals itself through careful observation. The defensive strength of Cambridge at home, combined with the historical low-scoring nature of this fixture, points towards a controlled, tactical battle. The force of under 2.5 goals at 1.65 offers value for those who see beyond the surface.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Cambridge's Home Fortress vs Crewe's Travels
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+46.3%

Alright boet, let's break down this League Two clash! Cambridge United and Crewe are neck and neck in the table, but there's a massive difference when it comes to home and away form. Cambridge have been absolute bosses at home this season - winning 80% of their last 5 home games and only letting in 0.4 goals per match at their own patch. That's tighter than a new pair of boots! They've kept clean sheets in half their recent games and showed real quality beating Bromley 2-1 at home. Their defense has been solid too, with that 0-0 draw against Salford City showing they can handle the better teams. Crewe, on the other hand, are a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side. They score more goals (1.80 per game vs Cambridge's 1.30) but their defense is leakier than a braai with no lid - conceding 1.40 per game. Away from home, they're decent with a 50% win rate, but they still let in 1.25 goals per away match. That recent 3-3 draw with Chesterfield shows they can be involved in high-scoring games, but also that their defense can be exposed. The head-to-head tells a clear story - Cambridge have dominated this fixture with 5 wins in 8 meetings. At home against Crewe, they're unbeaten with 2 wins and a draw. That's the kind of consistency that gets my attention! Looking at the recent form, Cambridge's home performances have been rock solid. They've beaten Barrow 2-0 away, kept clean sheets against Barnet and Salford City, and generally look tough to break down. Crewe have been scoring goals but also conceding plenty, which could play right into Cambridge's hands. The stats show Cambridge average fewer shots (9.88 vs 13.67) but are more efficient defensively. At home, they're averaging 1.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded - that's championship-winning form right there! With both teams on 26-27 points, this is a proper six-pointer, but Cambridge's home advantage gives them the edge. Their defensive record at home is too good to ignore, and Crewe's tendency to concede away makes me think Cambridge can nick this.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Crewe Ready to Bite at Cambridge's Fortress
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.20
Expected Value:+21.6%

Oh, what a delightful League Two encounter we have here! While many might look at Cambridge United's formidable home record and see a clear favorite, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for our visitors from Crewe. Let me tell you why the little puppies might just have their day! First, let's talk about form parity - both teams are absolutely neck-and-neck with identical 1.70 points per game over their last 10 matches. Cambridge might sit 10th versus Crewe's 8th, but that's just a single point separating these two evenly matched sides. The bookmakers have Cambridge as favorites at 2.25, but I believe they're overlooking some crucial factors. Now, here's where it gets really interesting for us underdog lovers! Crewe has been absolutely firing on all cylinders offensively, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Cambridge's 1.3. Look at their recent results - a thrilling 3-3 draw with Chesterfield, a 3-1 victory over Shrewsbury, and a 3-2 win against Grimsby. These aren't just wins; they're statements of attacking intent! Meanwhile, Cambridge has been grinding out results with more defensive solidity, including two 0-0 draws in their last four league games. Yes, Cambridge's home fortress is impressive with an 80% win rate and only 0.4 goals conceded per game at home. But Crewe's away form shouldn't be underestimated - they're winning 50% of their away matches and scoring 1.5 goals per game on their travels. That's the kind of form that can trouble even the staunchest home defenses. The head-to-head record does favor Cambridge historically, but that data is quite old and doesn't reflect the current realities of these two teams. What matters most is right now, and right now, Crewe is playing with more attacking freedom and confidence. At 3.20 odds, Crewe represents fantastic value for us underdog enthusiasts. The market is giving them about a 31% chance of victory, but given their attacking prowess and identical recent form, I believe their true chances are significantly higher. This is exactly the kind of situation where we find long-term value - backing the overlooked team when the odds are in our favor! So let's rally behind our underdog friends from Crewe and hope they can spoil the party at Cambridge's home ground!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Cambridge vs Crewe: Home Fortress vs Goal-Friendly Travellers
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.65
Expected Value:+7.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two clash between Cambridge United and Crewe. Two sides sitting pretty in mid-table, separated by just one point, but with very different styles of play. Cambridge have turned their place into a right proper fortress this season. Their home form is absolutely top-notch - 80% win rate in their last five at home, and get this, they're only letting in 0.4 goals per game on their own patch. That's tighter than a Scotsman at closing time! Recent results show they're keeping it clean at the back too, with 0-0 draws against Barnet and Salford, and a cracking 2-0 win at Barrow in their last outing. Crewe, on the other hand, are a bit more gung-ho. They love a goal, do the Railwaymen - averaging 1.8 per game over their last ten. But here's the rub: they're also letting them in at the other end, with only 20% clean sheets in that spell. Their recent games have been proper end-to-end stuff - that 3-3 draw with Chesterfield must have been some watch! When these two have met before, Cambridge have had the upper hand, winning five of the eight encounters. They've also never lost to Crewe at home in the stats we've got. The key battle here will be Cambridge's rock-solid home defence against Crewe's attack-minded approach on the road. Cambridge are keeping things tight at the back, while Crewe are shipping 1.25 goals per game away from home. Something's got to give, and my money's on it being a low-scoring affair. Both teams are on identical points-per-game runs (1.70), but Cambridge's home form gives them the edge in my book. They're grinding out results and keeping it tight, while Crewe are more of a rollercoaster ride. Key Points: - Cambridge are unbeaten at home in their last 5 games (4W-1D) - Cambridge concede just 0.4 goals per game at home - Crewe score 1.8 goals per game but only keep 20% clean sheets - Cambridge have won 5 of 8 head-to-head meetings - Crewe concede 1.25 goals per game away from home Looking at the odds, Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 looks the business. Cambridge's defensive record at home is immense, and while Crewe like to score, they're also generous at the back. I'm expecting a tight, tactical affair rather than a goal fest.

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