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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Milton Keynes Dons vs Fleetwood Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

37'
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing
Penalty
56'
Marvin Ekpiteta🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Ronan Coughlan🔄
Substitution 1 → Ryan Graydon
61'
Ethan Ennis🔄
Substitution 2 → Zech Medley
62'
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Aaron Nemane⚽
Normal Goal
70'
Aaron Nemane🔄
Substitution 1 → Gethin Jones
70'
Nathaniel Méndez-Laing🔄
Substitution 2 → Aaron Collins
70'
Matthew Virtue-Thick🔄
Substitution 3 → Elliot Bonds
70'
Will Davies🔄
Substitution 4 → Ched Evans
72'
Ched Evans⚽
Normal Goal → Ryan Graydon
82'
Joseph Tomlinson🔄
Substitution 3 → Jon Mellish
85'
Kane Thompson-Sommers🔄
Substitution 4 → Will Collar

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal2
19Total Shots8
8Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox3
6Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls14
6Corner Kicks2
2Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
2Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
340Total passes333
231Passes accurate222
68Passes %67

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

MK Dons Home Fortress vs Fleetwood's Travel Woes

The pickMilton Keynes Dons win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Right then, let's get down to business with this League Two clash! MK Dons are sitting pretty in 4th place with 29 points, while Fleetwood are lagging behind in 11th on 26 points. But the table doesn't tell the whole story here, my bru. When you look at the recent form, both…

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Expected When MK Dons Host Fleetwood

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+7.3%

Get ready for some serious fireworks at Stadium MK as two of League Two's most attack-minded teams collide! The Big O is getting excited just looking at these numbers - we've got a recipe for absolute goal chaos here. Milton Keynes Dons have been treating their home fans to some…

Umery UnderdogWon

Fleetwood Ready to Bark Against MK Dons

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Oh, what a delightful treat we have here! While everyone's looking at the league table and seeing Milton Keynes Dons sitting pretty in 4th place, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for Fleetwood Town! Let me tell you why these little puppies from Lancashire might…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Wisdom of the Force: MK Dons vs Fleetwood

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

In the grand tapestry of League Two, two forces converge. Milton Keynes Dons, sitting fourth with 29 points, welcome Fleetwood Town, three places behind with 26. The table shows them close, but the Force reveals deeper truths. Recent form tells an interesting story. MK Dons have…

Value VinnyWon

BTTS Value in MK Dons vs Fleetwood Clash

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality of this League Two encounter. While MK Dons sit 4th in the table and Fleetwood occupy 11th, the recent form tells a different story - Fleetwood actually boast superior points per game over their last 10 matches…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Milton Keynes Dons

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Fleetwood Town

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Milton Keynes Dons at home vs Fleetwood Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+2Fleetwood Town
Venue edge
+43Milton Keynes Dons
Rating period
Match snapshot
Milton Keynes Dons versus Fleetwood Town: long term Elo, before the match
Milton Keynes DonsHomeRatingFleetwood TownAway
Strength
1,496Overall1,498
1,507Match venue1,465
1,507At home1,550
1,495Away1,465
Attack & defence
1,501Attack1,484
1,511Defence1,497
1,493Home attack1,492
1,501Away attack1,454
1,545Home defence1,542
1,486Away defence1,497
Match profile
1,658Goal environment1,503
1,527Home goals1,518
1,632Away goals1,485
1,500Possession1,488
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,489
1,492Set-piece defence1,489
1,475Close games1,492
1,509Winning margin1,490

Match venue compares Milton Keynes Dons at home with Fleetwood Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes DonsUnknown

Starting XI

1Craig MacGillivrayG
32Jack SandersD
21Marvin EkpitetaD
15Luke OffordD
16Aaron NemaneM
20Kane Thompson-SommersM
6Liam KellyM
8Alex GilbeyM
14Joseph TomlinsonM
11Nathaniel Méndez-LaingF
13Callum PatersonF

Fleetwood TownFleetwood TownUnknown

Starting XI

13Jay LynchG
16Ethan EnnisD
44Toby MullarkeyD
18Harrison HolgateD
32Kayden HughesD
14Lewis McCannD
8Matthew Virtue-ThickM
20Harrison NealM
10Mark HelmM
19Ronan CoughlanF
9Will DaviesF