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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Barnet vs Bristol Rovers

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time4:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

15'
Adam Senior⚽
Normal Goal → Ryan Glover
29'
Josh McEachran🟨
Yellow Card
30'
Nnamdi Ofoborh⚽
Normal Goal
39'
Cieran Slicker🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Luke Thomas🔄
Substitution 1 → Frederick Issaka
46'
Tom Lockyer🔄
Substitution 2 → Shaqai Forde
60'
Anthony Hartigan🔄
Substitution 1 → Callum Stead
62'
Josh McEachran🔄
Substitution 3 → Callum Morton
70'
Idris Kanu🔄
Substitution 2 → Oliver Hawkins
70'
Britt Assombalonga🔄
Substitution 3 → Rhys Browne
78'
Mark Shelton
Penalty
81'
Mark Shelton🔄
Substitution 4 → Ben Winterburn
81'
Ryan Glover🔄
Substitution 5 → Joe Hugill
84'
Oliver Hawkins🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Callum Stead⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal5
20Total Shots10
5Blocked Shots2
14Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls12
9Corner Kicks5
1Offsides4
47Ball Possession53
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
357Total passes406
277Passes accurate306
78Passes %75

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Barnet to sink struggling Rovers at home

The pickBarnet win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+6.8%

Right then, let's get down to business with this League Two clash! Barnet hosting Bristol Rovers, and honestly, this looks like a mismatch based on recent form. Barnet have been solid lately, unbeaten in their last 8 games with 5 draws and 3 wins. They've been grinding out…

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Expected as Barnet Hosts Leaky Rovers

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
53%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+3.4%

The Big O is getting excited about this one! We've got a home team that knows how to find the net and an away side that's been more generous than Santa Claus at the back. Let's dive into the goal potential! Barnet have been treating their home fans to some proper goal-fests…

Value VinnyWon

Barnet's Home Advantage vs Rovers' Away Woes

The pickBarnet win

Chance
67%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+5.2%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality here. Barnet sit comfortably mid-table with 25 points, while Bristol Rovers are languishing near the relegation zone with just 17 points. The form gap is stark: Barnet are averaging 1.40 points per game over their…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Barnet

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Bristol Rovers

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Barnet at home vs Bristol Rovers away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+16Barnet
Venue edge
+17Bristol Rovers
Rating period
Match snapshot
Barnet versus Bristol Rovers: long term Elo, before the match
BarnetHomeRatingBristol RoversAway
Strength
1,472Overall1,455
1,458Match venue1,474
1,458At home1,556
1,447Away1,474
Attack & defence
1,437Attack1,429
1,536Defence1,508
1,435Home attack1,454
1,429Away attack1,475
1,529Home defence1,592
1,516Away defence1,483
Match profile
1,527Goal environment1,503
1,467Home goals1,478
1,560Away goals1,525
1,519Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,571Set-piece attack1,528
1,569Set-piece defence1,527
1,475Close games1,518
1,478Winning margin1,424

Match venue compares Barnet at home with Bristol Rovers away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BarnetBarnet1:1

Starting XI

29Cieran SlickerG
25Nikola TavaresD
23Kane SmithM
15Ryan GloverF
27Britt AssombalongaF
4Daniele CollingeD
18Anthony HartiganM
11Idris KanuF
5Adam SeniorD
28Nnamdi OfoborhM
19Mark SheltonM

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1:1

Starting XI

1Luke SouthwoodG
6Clinton MolaD
3Jack SparkesM
11Luke ThomasF
12Tom LockyerD
14Joel CotterillM
29Fabrizio CavegnF
35Kacper ŁopataD
20Josh McEachranM
22Kamil ContehM
4Taylor MooreM