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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Fleetwood Town vs Salford City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

21'
Harrison Neal🟨
Yellow Card
26'
Kelly N'Mai⚽
Normal Goal → Matthew Young
39'
Harrison Holgate🔄
Substitution 1 → Finley Potter
44'
Kelly N'Mai🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Lewis McCann🔄
Substitution 2 → Ethan Ennis
64'
Zech Medley🔄
Substitution 3 → Ryan Graydon
64'
Harrison Neal🔄
Substitution 4 → Mark Helm
67'
Kayden Hughes🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Ronan Coughlan🔄
Substitution 5 → Ched Evans
82'
Matthew Virtue-Thick⚽
Normal Goal
84'
Josh Austerfield🔄
Substitution 1 → Matt Butcher
84'
Daniel Udoh🔄
Substitution 2 → Fabio Borini

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal6
9Total Shots16
2Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox10
15Fouls15
2Corner Kicks6
1Offsides5
51Ball Possession49
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
278Total passes263
152Passes accurate174
55Passes %66

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Fleetwood Ready to Bark Louder Than Expected

The pickFleetwood Town win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.88
Model EV
+15.2%

Oh, what a delightful little matchup we have here! While the market might be looking towards Salford City as the favorites, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for Fleetwood Town at home. Let me tell you why these 'little puppies' might just surprise everyone!…

Mr CertaintyWon

Fleetwood vs Salford: BTTS Value Analysis

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

This League Two encounter presents an intriguing tactical battle between two sides separated by just three points in the table. Fleetwood Town enters this fixture in 13th position with 26 points, while Salford City sits eighth with 29 points, though both teams have shown similar…

Mr SimpleWon

Fleetwood vs Salford: BTTS Value on the Cards?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+7.1%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two tussle between Fleetwood and Salford. The Cod Army are sitting 13th with 26 points, while Salford are a few spots above in 8th with 29 points. On paper, Salford might have the edge, but football's not played on paper, is…

Value VinnyLost

Mathematical Edge Points to Fleetwood Home Value

The pickFleetwood Town win

Chance
41%
Odds
2.88
Model EV
+18.1%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The market has Salford as favorites despite their woeful away form, and that's where I smell value. Fleetwood's home record tells a clear story: 60% win rate in their last five at home, averaging 2.0 goals scored…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fleetwood Town

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Salford City

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Fleetwood Town at home vs Salford City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+35Salford City
Venue edge
+21Fleetwood Town
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fleetwood Town versus Salford City: long term Elo, before the match
Fleetwood TownHomeRatingSalford CityAway
Strength
1,482Overall1,517
1,550Match venue1,528
1,550At home1,503
1,454Away1,528
Attack & defence
1,480Attack1,490
1,493Defence1,491
1,492Home attack1,496
1,453Away attack1,497
1,542Home defence1,475
1,492Away defence1,529
Match profile
1,505Goal environment1,528
1,518Home goals1,530
1,487Away goals1,498
1,488Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,534
1,482Set-piece defence1,533
1,476Close games1,547
1,475Winning margin1,506

Match venue compares Fleetwood Town at home with Salford City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1:1

Starting XI

13Jay LynchG
32Kayden HughesD
20Harrison NealM
3Zech MedleyM
19Ronan CoughlanF
44Toby MullarkeyD
6Elliot BondsM
11James NorwoodF
18Harrison HolgateD
8Matthew Virtue-ThickM
14Lewis McCannM

Salford CitySalford City1:1

Starting XI

1Matthew YoungG
29Luke GarbuttD
8Jorge GrantM
14Kadeem HarrisM
23Daniel UdohF
22Adebola OluwoD
17Josh AusterfieldM
10Kelly N'MaiF
6Oliver TurtonD
21Kallum CesayM
19Haji MnogaM