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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Gillingham vs Cambridge United

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

10'
Louis Appéré⚽
Normal Goal → James Gibbons
65'
Elliott Nevitt🔄
Substitution 1 → Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
65'
Ethan Coleman🔄
Substitution 2 → Bradley Dack
67'
James Brophy🔄
Substitution 1 → Shane McLoughlin
67'
Liam Bennett🔄
Substitution 2 → Ben Purrington
72'
Max Clark⚽
Normal Goal
72'
Robbie McKenzie
Missed Penalty
79'
Sullay Kaikai🔄
Substitution 3 → Elias Kachunga
80'
Louis Appéré🔄
Substitution 4 → Shayne Lavery
85'
Aaron Rowe🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal1
17Total Shots4
4Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox3
8Shots outsidebox1
9Fouls12
6Corner Kicks5
2Offsides2
54Ball Possession46
1Yellow Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
314Total passes277
183Passes accurate153
58Passes %55

Tipster previews (4)

Value VinnyLost

Cambridge's Steel to Expose Gillingham's Home Woes

The pickCambridge United win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+17.9%

The numbers don't lie, and they're painting a brutally clear picture for this Boxing Day clash. Gillingham, sitting 12th, welcome 8th-placed Cambridge United, but the four-point gap in the table massively undersells the chasm in current form. For a value hunter like me, this is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Gillingham

1W 6D 3L0.90 pts/game

Cambridge United

4W 6D 0L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Gillingham at home vs Cambridge United away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+66Cambridge United
Venue edge
+31Gillingham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Gillingham versus Cambridge United: long term Elo, before the match
GillinghamHomeRatingCambridge UnitedAway
Strength
1,487Overall1,553
1,523Match venue1,492
1,523At home1,559
1,469Away1,492
Attack & defence
1,432Attack1,461
1,548Defence1,595
1,420Home attack1,466
1,422Away attack1,455
1,592Home defence1,591
1,533Away defence1,555
Match profile
1,270Goal environment1,447
1,390Home goals1,492
1,380Away goals1,455
1,483Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,553
1,505Set-piece defence1,552
1,504Close games1,531
1,484Winning margin1,558

Match venue compares Gillingham at home with Cambridge United away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GillinghamGillinghamUnknown

Starting XI

25Jake TurnerG
2Remeao HuttonD
5Andy SmithD
30Sam GaleD
3Max ClarkD
14Robbie McKenzieM
8Armani LittleM
6Ethan ColemanM
20Elliott NevittM
11Aaron RoweM
9Josh AndrewsF

Cambridge UnitedCambridge UnitedUnknown

Starting XI

1Jake EastwoodG
2Liam BennettD
26James GibbonsD
23Mamadou JobeD
6Kelland WattsD
15Adam MayorD
7James BrophyM
38George HoddleM
17Pelly Ruddock MpanzuM
11Sullay KaikaiM
9Louis AppéréF