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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Milton Keynes Dons vs Chesterfield

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

6'
Adam Lewis🟨
Yellow Card
26'
Aaron Nemane🟨
Yellow Card
29'
Callum Paterson⚽
Normal Goal → Aaron Nemane
31'
Janoi Donacien🔄
Substitution 1 → Tom Naylor
44'
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy⚽
Normal Goal → Jon Mellish
46'
Adam Lewis🔄
Substitution 2 → Dylan Duffy
54'
Jack Sanders🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Jon Mellish🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Lee Bonis🔄
Substitution 3 → Will Grigg
66'
Ronan Darcy🔄
Substitution 4 → Freddie Ladapo
67'
Sam Curtis⚽
Normal Goal → Liam Mandeville
70'
Daniel Crowley🔄
Substitution 1 → Kane Thompson-Sommers
71'
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy🔄
Substitution 2 → Scott Hogan
76'
Jon Mellish🔄
Substitution 3 → Aaron Collins
76'
Sam Curtis🔄
Substitution 5 → Vontae Daley-Campbell
79'
Liam Kelly🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
Will Grigg⚽
Normal Goal → Liam Mandeville
90+4'
Will Grigg🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots9
2Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls7
4Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
33Ball Possession67
4Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
261Total passes538
176Passes accurate447
67Passes %83

Tipster previews (5)

Umery UnderdogLost

Can Chesterfield Continue Their MK Dons Hoodoo?

The pickChesterfield win

Chance
28%
Odds
3.90
Model EV
+9.2%

The New Year brings a fascinating League Two clash between two sides separated by just two points in the table, but with a historical narrative that defies the current form book. Fourth-placed Milton Keynes Dons host seventh-placed Chesterfield, and while the home side are the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Milton Keynes Dons

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Chesterfield

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Milton Keynes Dons at home vs Chesterfield away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+24Chesterfield
Venue edge
+50Milton Keynes Dons
Rating period
Match snapshot
Milton Keynes Dons versus Chesterfield: long term Elo, before the match
Milton Keynes DonsHomeRatingChesterfieldAway
Strength
1,513Overall1,536
1,529Match venue1,479
1,529At home1,544
1,481Away1,479
Attack & defence
1,503Attack1,524
1,534Defence1,528
1,488Home attack1,543
1,507Away attack1,466
1,563Home defence1,531
1,489Away defence1,519
Match profile
1,660Goal environment1,567
1,520Home goals1,555
1,640Away goals1,512
1,500Possession1,531
Specialist ratings
1,482Set-piece attack1,494
1,483Set-piece defence1,495
1,479Close games1,493
1,528Winning margin1,545

Match venue compares Milton Keynes Dons at home with Chesterfield away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes DonsUnknown

Starting XI

1Craig MacGillivrayG
2Gethin JonesD
32Jack SandersD
15Luke OffordD
16Aaron NemaneM
7Daniel CrowleyM
6Liam KellyM
24Connor Lemonheigh-EvansM
22Jon MellishM
29Rushian Hepburn-MurphyF
13Callum PatersonF

ChesterfieldChesterfieldUnknown

Starting XI

1Zac HemmingG
29Sam CurtisD
44Janoi DonacienD
26Sil SwinkelsD
3Adam LewisD
36Sammy BraybrookeM
8Ryan StirkM
7Liam MandevilleM
27Ronan DarcyM
28James BerryM
10Lee BonisF