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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Accrington ST vs Milton Keynes Dons

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

8'
Shaun Whalley🟨
Yellow Card
14'
Ben Wiles⚽
Normal Goal → Callum Paterson
45+4'
Aaron Collins⚽
Normal Goal → Jon Mellish
60'
Alex Henderson🔄
Substitution 1 → Charlie Caton
60'
Josh Woods🔄
Substitution 2 → Paddy Madden
62'
Liam Kelly🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Ben Wiles🔄
Substitution 1 → Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
65'
Aaron Collins🔄
Substitution 2 → Scott Hogan
66'
Devon Matthews🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Scott Hogan🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Connor O'Brien🔄
Substitution 3 → Charlie Brown
76'
Seamus Conneely🔄
Substitution 4 → Conor Grant
76'
Liam Kelly🔄
Substitution 3 → Jay Matete

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
12Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots3
4Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls14
2Corner Kicks3
1Offsides3
65Ball Possession35
2Yellow Cards2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
466Total passes252
323Passes accurate121
69Passes %48

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

The Stone Wall Meets The Wandering Force

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+6.8%

In the quiet of the league, a fortress stands. Built not on goals, but on silence. Accrington ST, it is. Concede only five in ten matches, they have. Six clean sheets, a wall of discipline. Yet, score they must, and only eight times in those ten games, they have. A balance…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Accrington ST

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Milton Keynes Dons

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Accrington ST at home vs Milton Keynes Dons away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+27Milton Keynes Dons
Venue edge
+27Accrington ST
Rating period
Match snapshot
Accrington ST versus Milton Keynes Dons: long term Elo, before the match
Accrington STHomeRatingMilton Keynes DonsAway
Strength
1,487Overall1,514
1,508Match venue1,481
1,508At home1,527
1,442Away1,481
Attack & defence
1,424Attack1,509
1,545Defence1,529
1,449Home attack1,495
1,421Away attack1,507
1,557Home defence1,554
1,502Away defence1,489
Match profile
1,667Goal environment1,665
1,670Home goals1,525
1,497Away goals1,640
1,496Possession1,497
Specialist ratings
1,499Set-piece attack1,479
1,499Set-piece defence1,480
1,511Close games1,479
1,484Winning margin1,529

Match venue compares Accrington ST at home with Milton Keynes Dons away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Accrington STAccrington STUnknown

Starting XI

13Oliver WrightG
2Donald LoveD
17Devon MatthewsD
14Benn WardD
38Connor O'BrienM
28Seamus ConneelyM
11Isaac SinclairM
30Isaac HeathM
7Shaun WhalleyF
10Alex HendersonF
39Josh WoodsF

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes DonsUnknown

Starting XI

1Craig MacGillivrayG
32Jack SandersD
25Curtis NelsonD
15Luke OffordD
6Liam KellyM
2Gethin JonesM
26Ben WilesM
8Alex GilbeyM
22Jon MellishM
10Aaron CollinsF
13Callum PatersonF