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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Newport County vs Accrington ST

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

2'
A. Henderson⚽
Normal Goal → S. Whalley
28'
D. Matthews🟨
Yellow Card
32'
C. Grant🟨
Yellow Card
35'
N. Opoku⚽
Normal Goal → H. Biggins
40'
C. O'Brien🟨
Yellow Card
45'
M. Smith🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Lloyd
45+1'
M. Spellman🟨
Yellow Card
51'
I. Sinclair⚽
Normal Goal → S. Whalley
56'
C. Grant🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Conneely
56'
C. O'Brien🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Sass
58'
B. Lloyd🟨
Yellow Card
65'
M. Spellman🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Crole
65'
N. Opoku🟨
Yellow Card
69'
N. Opoku🟥
Red Card
69'
N. Opoku🟨
Yellow Card
71'
A. Henderson🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Butterfield
80'
B. Kamwa🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Nyakuhwa
80'
A. Driscoll-Glennon🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Davies
80'
J. Thomas🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Jenkins
82'
P. Madden⚽
Normal Goal → I. Sinclair
84'
P. Madden🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Woods
90+2'
I. Heath⚽
Normal Goal → L. Butterfield
90+6'
F. Rawson🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
S. Conneely🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal4
9Total Shots12
0Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox3
7Fouls9
3Corner Kicks2
2Offsides2
56Ball Possession44
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
376Total passes301
258Passes accurate172
69Passes %57

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyLost

Defensive Duel: Value Lies Under the Goal Line

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+35.0%

The maths doesn't lie, and my calculator is practically vibrating with excitement for this League Two clash. On paper, this is a battle between the division's 23rd-placed side and a mid-table outfit, but the raw numbers tell a far more compelling story—one of defensive…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Newport County

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Accrington ST

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Newport County at home vs Accrington ST away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+120Accrington ST
Venue edge
+27Accrington ST
Rating period
Match snapshot
Newport County versus Accrington ST: long term Elo, before the match
Newport CountyHomeRatingAccrington STAway
Strength
1,356Overall1,476
1,418Match venue1,445
1,418At home1,495
1,367Away1,445
Attack & defence
1,419Attack1,404
1,432Defence1,551
1,425Home attack1,436
1,426Away attack1,410
1,465Home defence1,550
1,427Away defence1,517
Match profile
1,483Goal environment1,657
1,510Home goals1,668
1,473Away goals1,488
1,486Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,446Set-piece attack1,496
1,448Set-piece defence1,496
1,409Close games1,512
1,340Winning margin1,470

Match venue compares Newport County at home with Accrington ST away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Newport CountyNewport County1:1

Starting XI

28Jordan WrightG
3Anthony Driscoll-GlennonD
6Ciaran BrennanM
7Bobby KamwaM
24Nathaniel OpokuF
23Ryan DelaneyD
10Harrison BigginsM
4Matthew BakerD
8Matthew SmithM
12Joe ThomasD
21Michael SpellmanM

Accrington STAccrington ST1:1

Starting XI

13Oliver WrightG
17Devon MatthewsD
30Isaac HeathM
10Alex HendersonF
8Paddy MaddenF
5Farrend RawsonD
11Isaac SinclairM
7Shaun WhalleyF
2Donald LoveD
4Conor GrantM
38Connor O'BrienM