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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Newport County vs Grimsby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

45+3'
A. Cook🟨
Yellow Card
61'
N. Opoku
Missed Penalty → N. Opoku
67'
G. D. Turi🔄
Substitution 1 → G. McEachran
68'
H. Biggins🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Nyakuhwa
68'
L. Shephard🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Thomas
74'
H. Rodgers🟨
Yellow Card
74'
C. Vernam
Missed Penalty → C. Vernam
79'
S. Sprangler🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Jarvis
80'
G. Garner🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Driscoll-Glennon
81'
E. Khouri🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Walker
81'
J. Kabia🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Burns
82'
C. Vernam🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Sellars-Fleming
89'
N. Opoku🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Crole
90+5'
A. Driscoll-Glennon🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal5
10Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots6
5Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls9
7Corner Kicks12
2Offsides2
43Ball Possession57
0Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
270Total passes341
157Passes accurate244
58Passes %72

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Grimsby's Road Warriors to Feast on Struggling Newport

The pickGrimsby win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.88
Model EV
+12.8%

Listen up, braai masters and football fanatics! We've got a proper mismatch on our hands this weekend in League Two. Grimsby, sitting pretty in 9th and hunting the playoffs, travel to face a Newport County side rooted in the relegation zone. This isn't just a game; it's a form…

Mr CertaintyWon

Grimsby's Iron Curtain to Silence Newport

The pickBTTS No

Chance
70%
Odds
2.07
Model EV
+44.9%

The data presents a stark contrast as Newport County, languishing in 23rd place with just 20 points, host a Grimsby side sitting comfortably in 9th with 44 points. This isn't just a table mismatch; it's a clash between one of the league's most out-of-form attacks and one of its…

Mr SimpleWon

Grimsby's Rock-Solid Defence to Silence Newport?

The pickBTTS No

Chance
65%
Odds
2.07
Model EV
+34.5%

Right then, let's have a look at this League Two matchup. Newport County are propping up the table, and it's not hard to see why. They've only managed two wins in their last ten, and while they've shown a bit of fight at home – beating Chesterfield and Crewe recently – they're…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Newport County

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Grimsby

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Newport County at home vs Grimsby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+202Grimsby
Venue edge
+129Grimsby
Rating period
Match snapshot
Newport County versus Grimsby: long term Elo, before the match
Newport CountyHomeRatingGrimsbyAway
Strength
1,331Overall1,533
1,407Match venue1,536
1,407At home1,471
1,359Away1,536
Attack & defence
1,408Attack1,460
1,401Defence1,544
1,424Home attack1,419
1,416Away attack1,497
1,449Home defence1,531
1,413Away defence1,520
Match profile
1,493Goal environment1,472
1,518Home goals1,435
1,475Away goals1,537
1,490Possession1,529
Specialist ratings
1,445Set-piece attack1,535
1,447Set-piece defence1,535
1,409Close games1,554
1,301Winning margin1,529

Match venue compares Newport County at home with Grimsby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Newport CountyNewport County1:1

Starting XI

28Jordan WrightG
17Thomas DaviesD
6Ciaran BrennanM
19Gerard GarnerM
24Nathaniel OpokuF
23Ryan DelaneyD
5Sven SpranglerM
4Matthew BakerD
10Harrison BigginsM
18Liam ShephardD
21Michael SpellmanM

GrimsbyGrimsby1:1

Starting XI

31Jackson SmithG
16Reece StauntonD
15Géza Dávid TuriM
30Charles VernamM
39Andy CookF
17Cameron McJannettD
8Evan KhouriM
21Tyrell WarrenD
4Kieran GreenM
5Harvey RodgersD
9Jaze KabiaM