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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Shrewsbury vs Notts County

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

-5'
Oliver Norburn🟨
Yellow Card
30'
Anthony Scully🔄
Substitution 1 → Tommy McDermott
54'
Taylor Perry⚽
Normal Goal
57'
Harald Tangen🔄
Substitution 1 → Lee Ndlovu
58'
Jodi Jones🔄
Substitution 2 → Maziar Kouhyar
58'
Nick Tsaroulla🔄
Substitution 3 → Beck-Ray Enoru
63'
Beck-Ray Enoru🟨
Yellow Card
71'
George Lloyd🔄
Substitution 2 → Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi
71'
Thomas Sang🔄
Substitution 3 → Nick Freeman
75'
Tom Iorpenda🔄
Substitution 4 → Tyrese Hall
76'
Iwan Morgan🔄
Substitution 4 → Malvind Benning
76'
Oliver Norburn🔄
Substitution 5 → Jack Hinchy
90+5'
Jacob Bedeau🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Lewis Macari🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal6
1Shots off Goal3
10Total Shots13
4Blocked Shots4
7Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls11
6Corner Kicks7
5Offsides0
27Ball Possession73
0Yellow Cards4
6Goalkeeper Saves4
222Total passes615
110Passes accurate521
50Passes %85

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Notts County To Keep Promotion Push Alive At Shrewsbury

The pickNotts County win

Chance
50%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+10.0%

Howzit my bru! Tuesday night football in League Two is what we live for - perfect excuse to fire up the braai, crack a cold one, and watch some proper footy. This week we've got Shrewsbury hosting Notts County, and let me tell you, the Magpies are looking lekker at the moment…

Value VinnyWon

Shrewsbury's 3.20 Price Defies the Mathematics

The pickShrewsbury win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+21.6%

League Two's fourth-placed Notts County travel to 19th-placed Shrewsbury on Tuesday, and the odds compilers have done something that makes my calculator overheat—they've priced the home side at 3.20. Let me tell you why that's Christmas come early for value hunters. The table…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Shrewsbury

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Notts County

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Shrewsbury at home vs Notts County away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+148Notts County
Venue edge
+52Shrewsbury
Rating period
Match snapshot
Shrewsbury versus Notts County: long term Elo, before the match
ShrewsburyHomeRatingNotts CountyAway
Strength
1,445Overall1,593
1,595Match venue1,543
1,595At home1,544
1,413Away1,543
Attack & defence
1,412Attack1,494
1,515Defence1,585
1,470Home attack1,510
1,404Away attack1,506
1,616Home defence1,559
1,480Away defence1,549
Match profile
1,423Goal environment1,855
1,447Home goals1,640
1,477Away goals1,715
1,473Possession1,520
Specialist ratings
1,519Set-piece attack1,529
1,518Set-piece defence1,528
1,517Close games1,548
1,418Winning margin1,603

Match venue compares Shrewsbury at home with Notts County away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ShrewsburyShrewsbury1:1

Starting XI

1Matthew CoxG
25Josh RuffelsD
30Kevin BerkoeM
11Anthony ScullyF
19Iwan MorganF
5William BoyleD
14Taylor PerryM
9George LloydF
2Luca HooleD
10Thomas SangM
20Ismeal KabiaM

Notts CountyNotts County1:1

Starting XI

31James BelshawG
4Jacob BedeauD
10Jodi JonesM
11Conor GrantF
19Matthew DennisF
5Matthew PlattD
27Harald TangenM
14Tom IorpendaF
28Lewis MacariD
8Oliver NorburnM
25Nick TsaroullaM