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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Tranmere vs Accrington ST

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

29'
Donald Love🟨
Yellow Card
48'
Paddy Madden⚽
Normal Goal → Isaac Heath
51'
Lewis Warrington🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Luke Butterfield🟥
Red Card
69'
Alex Henderson🔄
Substitution 1 → Seamus Conneely
72'
Lewis Warrington🔄
Substitution 1 → Cameron Norman
72'
Nathan Smith🔄
Substitution 2 → Jason Lowe
72'
Stephan Negru🔄
Substitution 3 → Kristian Dennis
80'
Paddy Madden🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Cameron Norman🔄
Substitution 4 → Max Dickov
90+1'
Isaac Heath🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Josh Woods🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal4
18Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox10
6Shots outsidebox3
7Fouls10
7Corner Kicks1
1Offsides1
66Ball Possession34
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves2
452Total passes239
335Passes accurate145
74Passes %61

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Tranmere's Defence Leaking Like a Cheap Cooler Box

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+11.0%

Howzit boet! Grab a cold one and pull up a chair because we've got a proper League Two clash coming up on Tuesday night. Tranmere are hosting Accrington ST, and if you're looking for goals galore, you might want to check the braai instead of this fixture. Let's talk about the…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Shadows of the Past Cannot Hide Present Truth

The pickAccrington ST win

Chance
42%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+30.2%

Heavy, the weight of history sits upon this fixture. Eight times out of ten at this ground, victorious Tranmere have been against these opponents. But wise, the bettor must be, for the past, a guide it is, yet the present, live in it we must. Look closely at what unfolds before…

Value VinnyWon

Accrington at 3.10: A Mathematical Gift

The pickAccrington ST win

Chance
48%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+48.8%

The odds compilers have left the back door unlocked at Prenton Park, and I'm walking straight through it. Tuesday night's League Two fixture presents one of those delicious scenarios where market sentiment trails reality by several weeks, leaving us with a juicy +EV opportunity…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Tranmere

3W 0D 7L0.90 pts/game

Accrington ST

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Tranmere at home vs Accrington ST away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+84Accrington ST
Venue edge
+27Tranmere
Rating period
Match snapshot
Tranmere versus Accrington ST: long term Elo, before the match
TranmereHomeRatingAccrington STAway
Strength
1,420Overall1,504
1,472Match venue1,445
1,472At home1,520
1,410Away1,445
Attack & defence
1,468Attack1,426
1,454Defence1,563
1,438Home attack1,451
1,476Away attack1,417
1,506Home defence1,564
1,445Away defence1,519
Match profile
1,393Goal environment1,660
1,428Home goals1,668
1,465Away goals1,492
1,502Possession1,498
Specialist ratings
1,440Set-piece attack1,484
1,442Set-piece defence1,485
1,490Close games1,515
1,410Winning margin1,506

Match venue compares Tranmere at home with Accrington ST away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

TranmereTranmere1:1

Starting XI

33Marko MarošiG
3Patrick BroughD
11Omari PatrickM
32Zech ObieroF
29Joe IronsideF
5Nathan SmithD
25Lewis WarringtonM
7Charlie WhitakerF
28Stephan NegruD
8Sam FinleyM
26James PlantM

Accrington STAccrington ST1:1

Starting XI

13Oliver WrightG
3Freddie SassD
30Isaac HeathM
8Paddy MaddenF
39Josh WoodsF
5Farrend RawsonD
24Luke ButterfieldM
7Shaun WhalleyF
2Donald LoveD
10Alex HendersonM
38Connor O'BrienM