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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Bristol Rovers vs Crewe

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time2:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

17'
Alfie Pond⚽
Normal Goal
30'
Lewis Billington🟨
Yellow Card
33'
Ellis Harrison🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Ellis Harrison🔄
Substitution 1 → Fabrizio Cavegn
46'
Kane Thompson-Sommers🔄
Substitution 2 → Tommy Leigh
46'
Yusuf Akhamrich🔄
Substitution 3 → Ryan De Havilland
62'
Jack Powell🔄
Substitution 1 → Calum Agius
62'
Conor Thomas🔄
Substitution 2 → Max Sanders
63'
Josh March🔄
Substitution 3 → Omar Bogle
73'
Tommi O'Reilly🔄
Substitution 4 → Jack Lankester
78'
Richard Smallwood🔄
Substitution 4 → Luke Thomas
84'
Max Sanders🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Tommy Leigh⚽
Normal Goal → Joel Senior
90+2'
Tommy Leigh⚽
Normal Goal
90+5'
James Connolly🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Clinton Mola🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Kofi Balmer🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Omar Bogle🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal1
14Total Shots14
7Blocked Shots10
5Shots insidebox10
9Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls13
7Corner Kicks7
2Offsides4
57Ball Possession43
3Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves0
357Total passes265
252Passes accurate165
71Passes %62

Tipster previews (2)

PajimonLost

Crewe Look Lekker Value Against Struggling Rovers

The pickCrewe win

Chance
40%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and fire up the braai because we've got a lekker League Two clash coming up on Saturday afternoon. Bristol Rovers are hosting Crewe in what looks like a classic case of the bookies getting a bit too excited about home advantage, if you ask me…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bristol Rovers

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Crewe

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Bristol Rovers at home vs Crewe away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+99Crewe
Venue edge
+28Bristol Rovers
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bristol Rovers versus Crewe: long term Elo, before the match
Bristol RoversHomeRatingCreweAway
Strength
1,423Overall1,523
1,520Match venue1,492
1,520At home1,530
1,440Away1,492
Attack & defence
1,443Attack1,462
1,492Defence1,551
1,478Home attack1,491
1,439Away attack1,420
1,550Home defence1,528
1,485Away defence1,569
Match profile
1,517Goal environment1,668
1,495Home goals1,667
1,522Away goals1,502
1,506Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,492
1,496Set-piece defence1,493
1,450Close games1,507
1,418Winning margin1,530

Match venue compares Bristol Rovers at home with Crewe away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1:1

Starting XI

13Brad YoungG
3Jack SparkesD
14Kane Thompson-SommersM
19Ellis HarrisonF
5Alfie KilgourD
6Clinton MolaM
27Joe QuigleyF
17Kofi BalmerD
36Richard SmallwoodM
2Joel SeniorD
10Yusuf AkhamrichM

CreweCrewe1:1

Starting XI

41Ian LawlorG
25Alfie PondD
3Reece HutchinsonM
17Matúš HolíčekF
24Josh MarchF
5Mickey DemetriouD
23Jack PowellM
26Tommi O'ReillyF
18James ConnollyD
8Conor ThomasM
2Lewis BillingtonM