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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

30'
Will Wright🟨
Yellow Card
36'
Alex Gilbey⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Aaron Collins
47'
Daniel Crowley🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Junior Hoilett🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Ollie Clarke⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Aaron Drinan
60'
Daniel CrowleyπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Scott Hogan
63'
Junior HoilettπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Fletcher Holman
63'
Tom NicholsπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Billy Bodin
68'
Ryan TafazolliπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Ollie Palmer
71'
Liam KellyπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Curtis Nelson
71'
Gethin JonesπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
78'
Ollie ClarkeπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Filozofe Mabete
79'
Marvin Ekpiteta⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Scott Hogan
88'
Aaron CollinsπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal5
12Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox3
6Fouls12
4Corner Kicks6
1Offsides1
54Ball Possession46
2Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
332Total passes292
196Passes accurate155
59Passes %53

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

MK Dons Too Hot for Struggling Swindon

The pickMilton Keynes Dons win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.45
Model EV
+10.3%

Howzit boet! Grab a cold one and pull up a chair by the braai because we've got a lekker League Two clash coming up on Saturday. Swindon Town host Milton Keynes Dons in what looks like a proper mismatch on paper, and I'm here to tell you why the visitors are the only team worth…

Mr SimpleWon

Goal Glut on the Cards as Promotion Rivals Clash

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+14.7%

Alright, settle in with your pint, because we've got a proper promotion six-pointer down in Wiltshire this Saturday. Swindon Town are hosting Milton Keynes Dons in a clash that could shake up the automatic promotion spots, and if the numbers are anything to go by, we’re in for a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Swindon Town

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Milton Keynes Dons

7W 3D 0L2.40 pts/game

Per game

Swindon Town at home vs Milton Keynes Dons away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within League Two

Overall edge
+69Milton Keynes Dons
Venue edge
+11Swindon Town
Rating period
Match snapshot
Swindon Town versus Milton Keynes Dons: long term Elo, before the match
Swindon TownHomeRatingMilton Keynes DonsAway
Strength
1,524Overall1,593
1,545Match venue1,535
1,545At home1,556
1,497Away1,535
Attack & defence
1,530Attack1,548
1,523Defence1,558
1,541Home attack1,495
1,510Away attack1,553
1,527Home defence1,579
1,508Away defence1,507
Match profile
1,832Goal environment1,687
1,635Home goals1,527
1,697Away goals1,660
1,513Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,504Set-piece attack1,518
1,504Set-piece defence1,517
1,481Close games1,521
1,531Winning margin1,616

Match venue compares Swindon Town at home with Milton Keynes Dons away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Swindon TownSwindon Town1:1

Starting XI

1Connor RipleyG
26Jake Thomas BattyD
18Gavin KilkennyM
30Junior HoilettF
17Ryan TafazolliD
7Tom NicholsM
23Aaron DrinanF
22Jamie Knight-LebelD
8Ollie ClarkeM
44Darren OldakerF
5Will WrightD

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1:1

Starting XI

1Craig MacGillivrayG
15Luke OffordD
22Jon MellishM
8Alex GilbeyF
10Aaron CollinsF
32Jack SandersD
7Daniel CrowleyM
26Ben WilesF
21Marvin EkpitetaD
6Liam KellyM
2Gethin JonesM