Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 14:00
League Two
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

59'
Nelson Khumbeni🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Josh Austerfield🔄
Substitution 1 → Fabio Borini
73'
Lenni Rae Cirino🔄
Substitution 1 → Bradley Dack
74'
Ryan Graydon🔄
Substitution 2 → Kadeem Harris
75'
Adebola Oluwo🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Ronan Hale🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Ronan Hale🔄
Substitution 2 → Josh Andrews
90'
Haji Mnoga🔄
Substitution 3 → Cole Stockton
90'
Garath McCleary🔄
Substitution 3 → Conor Masterson

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots4
3Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox2
5Shots outsidebox2
8Fouls22
3Corner Kicks5
3Offsides2
60Ball Possession40
1Yellow Cards2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total passes259
299Passes accurate145
74Passes %56

Starting Lineups

Salford CitySalford City1:1

Starting XI

1Matthew YoungG
29Luke GarbuttD
8Jorge GrantM
26Ryan GraydonM
23Daniel UdohF
15Brandon CooperD
17Josh AusterfieldM
22Adebola OluwoD
18Matt ButcherM
19Haji MnogaD
45Rosaire LongeloM

GillinghamGillingham1:1

Starting XI

1Glenn MorrisG
3Max ClarkD
27Nelson KhumbeniM
32Lenni Rae CirinoM
38Ronan HaleF
5Andy SmithD
8Armani LittleM
12Sebastian Palmer-HouldenM
30Sam GaleD
7Garath McClearyM
2Remeao HuttonD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Salford City
Salford City
Form: L-W-W-L-W
Gillingham
Gillingham
Form: W-D-L-L-L
Record
7 W
0 D
3 L
2 W
2 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
0.8
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:2.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1547
Average
1482
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1612
↑ Momentum (+66)
1440
↓ Momentum (-42)
Expected Outcome
41%
Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1488
Attack
1424
1543
Defence
1488
Recent Form
1484
Attack
1431
1568
Defence
1436
Post-Match Changes
-4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Salford City vs Gillingham: Home Win Pick
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+17.8%
Confidence:7

Welcome to the big match at the venue! Salford City vs Gillingham, League Two, kicking off on 2026-04-11. As Pajimon, I'm here to tell you where the meat is, because what do you mean no meat? This preview is for the fans who love winning. Salford City is on fire at home. Look at the stats: in their last 5 home games, they have won 100% of them. That's 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses. They are averaging 1.80 goals scored per game at home and conceding just 0.40. Their last 10 games show a 70% win rate overall, but at home, they are untouchable. They sit 6th in the table with 73 points. Gillingham, on the other hand, is struggling. They are 17th with 49 points. In their last 4 away games, they only won 25% of them. Their away goal expectancy is just 0.57, while they concede 2.25 goals per game away. Their last 10 games show a 20% win rate. It's like they are eating vegetables when they want meat. WTF are vegetables? We want the win. Head-to-Head history shows Salford has a poor record at home against Gillingham (0 wins in 3 home games). But current form is king. Salford's ultra-short term strength is rising, while Gillingham's is falling. The goal expectancy for this match is Home 2.02, Away 0.57. That's a total of 2.59 goals, which suggests Over 2.5 might be close, but Salford's defense is too strong for Gillingham to score easily. The odds for a Salford City win are 1.57. While odds below 1.6 are risky, the edge here is real. Implied probability is 63.7%, but based on Salford's 100% home win rate and Gillingham's 25% away win rate, the actual probability is likely higher. We have multiple signals: league position gap (24 points), home form (5/5 wins), and goal stats. This is a solid pick. Key Points: - Salford City: 100% home win rate (last 5 games). - Gillingham: 25% away win rate (last 4 games). - Salford scores 1.80 goals at home, concedes 0.40. - Gillingham scores 0.75 goals away, concedes 2.25. - H2H home record is poor for Salford, but current form overrides it. - Recommended Bet: Salford City to Win. Summary: Based on the massive form gap and home dominance, the pick is Salford City to win.

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