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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Fleetwood Town vs Milton Keynes Dons

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

24'
R. Coughlan⚽
Normal Goal → J. Bolton
37'
C. Paterson⚽
Normal Goal → B. Wiles
61'
G. Jones🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Nemane
61'
N. Mendez-Laing🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Hepburn-Murphy
67'
C. Nelson🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Collins
74'
J. Bolton🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Cirino
82'
W. Davies🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Devonport
82'
L. Kelly🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Crowley
82'
J. Sanders🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Offord
83'
M. Helm🔄
Substitution 3 → C. McLean
90'
R. Coughlan🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Morrison

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal9
10Total Shots15
1Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox5
7Fouls6
5Corner Kicks3
1Offsides0
43Ball Possession57
4Goalkeeper Saves2
335Total passes447
212Passes accurate340
63Passes %76

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyLost

Fleetwood Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Preview & Bet

The pickMilton Keynes Dons win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+26.8%

Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. When the numbers point clearly in one direction, I’m not hesitating. Fleetwood Town host Milton Keynes Dons in a League Two fixture that screams mathematical value on the away win market. Let’s break down the data. Milton Keynes Dons sit top of…

The Big "O"Lost

Fleetwood Town vs Milton Keynes Dons

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
63%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+19.7%

Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Milton Keynes Dons is shaping up to be a proper goal fest. As The Big O, I’m here for the action, and the numbers scream goals. Milton Keynes Dons are flying up the table, sitting pretty at number…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Fleetwood Town vs Milton Keynes Dons

The pickMilton Keynes Dons win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+17.0%

The path to victory, clear it is for Milton Keynes Dons, yet cautious you must be. Top of League Two they sit, with 85 points and a formidable record. Last ten matches, six victories they claim, two draws, two defeats. Scoring 1.8 goals per game, conceding but 0.9. Away from…

Mr SimpleLost

Fleetwood Town vs Milton Keynes Dons Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+10.2%

Right then, grab a pint and let’s talk football. It’s Fleetwood Town hosting Milton Keynes Dons at the end of the League Two season. We’re looking at a proper scrap, but the numbers point clearly to a goal-fest. Fleetwood have been a bit of a puzzle this season. Over their last…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fleetwood Town

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Milton Keynes Dons

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Fleetwood Town at home vs Milton Keynes Dons away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+133Milton Keynes Dons
Venue edge
+45Milton Keynes Dons
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fleetwood Town versus Milton Keynes Dons: long term Elo, before the match
Fleetwood TownHomeRatingMilton Keynes DonsAway
Strength
1,470Overall1,603
1,500Match venue1,545
1,500At home1,565
1,481Away1,545
Attack & defence
1,440Attack1,541
1,524Defence1,576
1,461Home attack1,493
1,433Away attack1,549
1,526Home defence1,587
1,540Away defence1,523
Match profile
1,477Goal environment1,682
1,520Home goals1,522
1,457Away goals1,660
1,503Possession1,494
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,514
1,494Set-piece defence1,514
1,492Close games1,543
1,456Winning margin1,620

Match venue compares Fleetwood Town at home with Milton Keynes Dons away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1:1

Starting XI

13J. LynchG
5F. PotterD
20H. NealM
22J. PowellM
9W. Davies5:1
4J. BoltonD
10M. HelmM
19R. CoughlanF
18H. HolgateD
6E. BondsM
16E. EnnisM

Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1:1

Starting XI

1C. MacGillivrayG
32J. SandersD
6L. KellyM
14J. TomlinsonM
11N. Mendez-LaingF
25C. NelsonD
8A. GilbeyM
13C. PatersonF
21M. EkpitetaD
26B. WilesM
2G. JonesM