Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 19:45
Full Time
1:1
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

26'
Cédric Kipré🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Azor Matusiwa🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Ivan Azón🔄
Substitution 1 → Jens Cajuste
46'
Jack Taylor🔄
Substitution 2 → Marcelino Núñez
49'
Leif Davis🟨
Yellow Card
50'
Taylor Gardner-Hickman🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Adam Forshaw🔄
Substitution 1 → Sidnei Tavares
68'
Kasey McAteer🔄
Substitution 3 → Jaden Philogene-Bidace
68'
Chuba Akpom🔄
Substitution 4 → George Hirst
71'
Ryoya Morishita🔄
Substitution 2 → Moussa Baradji
71'
Taylor Gardner-Hickman🔄
Substitution 3 → Todd Cantwell
76'
Andri Guðjohnsen
Normal Goal → George Pratt
78'
Andri Guðjohnsen🔄
Substitution 4 → Makhtar Gueye
78'
Ryan Hedges🔄
Substitution 5 → Dion De Neve
80'
Azor Matusiwa🔄
Substitution 5 → Sindre Walle Egeli
90+4'
Sindre Walle Egeli
Normal Goal → Jack Clarke

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal4
14Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots5
8Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox5
12Fouls11
9Corner Kicks3
2Offsides3
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
314Total passes387
234Passes accurate306
75Passes %79
1.4expected_goals0.51
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

BlackburnBlackburn1:1

Starting XI

1Aynsley PearsG
43George PrattD
19Ryan HedgesM
25Ryoya MorishitaF
11Andri GuðjohnsenF
15Sean McLoughlinD
5Taylor Gardner-HickmanM
23Yuki OhashiF
12Lewis MillerD
28Adam ForshawM
2Ryan AlebiosuM

IpswichIpswich1:1

Starting XI

28Christian WaltonG
3Leif DavisD
5Azor MatusiwaM
47Jack ClarkeM
31Ivan AzónF
4Cédric KipréD
14Jack TaylorM
29Chuba AkpomM
26Dara O'SheaD
20Kasey McAteerM
15Ashley YoungD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Blackburn
Blackburn
Form: D-L-W-L-W
Ipswich
Ipswich
Form: L-W-D-W-D
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1450
Average
1587
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1389
↓ Momentum (-61)
1631
↑ Momentum (+44)
Expected Outcome
23%
Home Win
27%
Draw
50%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1437
Attack
1545
1538
Defence
1554
Recent Form
1429
Attack
1535
1529
Defence
1572
Post-Match Changes
+2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected as Ipswich's Attack Visits Vulnerable Blackburn
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.10
Expected Value:+11.3%
Confidence:65

Now THIS is what I'm talking about! When The Big O sees a matchup like this, my senses start tingling. We've got Ipswich rolling into town with an away attack that's been absolutely scintillating - averaging 2.40 goals per game on the road! That's not just good, that's filthily good for us Over lovers. Let's break it down: Ipswich has been putting on shooting galleries away from home, with recent results showing 4-1 thrashings of both Swansea and QPR. They're not just winning, they're putting on shows! Meanwhile, Blackburn has been playing host to some pretty entertaining football themselves - conceding 1.60 goals per game at home. Their recent home reads like a goal bonanza waiting to happen: 0-1 vs QPR, 1-2 vs Derby, 2-1 vs Southampton. The net is getting plenty of action at Ewood Park! The goal expectancy is sitting at a juicy 3.10 total goals, and honestly, that feels conservative to me. When you have an away side that's averaging nearly 2.5 goals per trip facing a home defense that's been as welcoming as an open door, we're in for a treat. Both teams have been finding the net in 60% of their recent matches, and with Ipswich's away form (60% win rate on the road) combined with Blackburn's defensive generosity, I'm expecting fireworks. This isn't just a bet - this is an invitation to goal glory! The odds of 2.10 for Over 2.5 goals look mighty tasty to The Big O. We're getting value on what should be an absolute goal-fest. Ipswich has shown they can score in bunches, and Blackburn's home record suggests they'll contribute to the party too.

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📝 Match Preview

Ipswich To Continue Away Form Against Struggling Blackburn
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.99
Expected Value:+29.3%

Right then, let's get down to business! This one looks pretty straightforward if you ask me. Blackburn are sitting in 18th place with just 20 points from 17 games, while Ipswich are cruising in 8th with 27 points. There's a clear gap in quality here, and the recent form tells the same story. Blackburn's recent form is all over the show - 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in their last 10. The worrying thing for them is their home form. They've only won 1 of their last 5 at home, losing 3! They've been shipping goals too, conceding 1.60 per game at home. Look at their recent home results: lost 0-1 to QPR, 1-2 to Derby, and 1-3 to Sheffield Utd. Not exactly fortress-like, is it? Now Ipswich, that's a different story altogether. They've picked up 5 wins from their last 10 games and are averaging 1.70 points per game. Their away form is particularly impressive - 60% win rate on the road and scoring 2.40 goals per game away from home! They've put some proper teams to the sword recently: 4-1 at Swansea, 4-1 at QPR, and 2-0 at Hull City. That's serious attacking firepower. The stats back this up too. Ipswich are averaging 17.3 shots per game compared to Blackburn's 12.8, they have more possession (57.9% vs 49.6%), and their pass accuracy is much better (81.9% vs 71.6%). When you're creating more chances and keeping the ball better, you're going to score more goals. Head-to-head, Ipswich have the edge with 4 wins to Blackburn's 2 in 8 meetings. Even at Blackburn's place, Ipswich have won 1 of the 4 meetings. Both teams tend to score in their games (60% for both sides), but with Ipswich's away attack averaging 2.40 goals and Blackburn's home defense conceding 1.60, I'm leaning towards the visitors here. The odds have Ipswich at 1.99, which looks pretty decent value considering their form, attacking stats, and Blackburn's defensive struggles at home. Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet, and this looks like one of those times. Key Points: - Blackburn struggling at home with only 20% win rate in last 5 home games - Ipswich excellent away form with 60% win rate and 2.40 goals per game - Ipswich superior attacking stats: 17.3 shots vs Blackburn's 12.8 per game - Blackburn conceding 1.60 goals per game at home - Ipswich in much better league position (8th vs 18th) - Both teams score in 60% of recent games for both sides Summary: Ipswich are in much better form and have been scoring freely away from home. Blackburn's home form is poor and they're conceding regularly. The visitors look like solid value at 1.99 to continue their strong away run.

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📝 Match Preview

Ipswich To Continue Away Day Joy
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.99
Expected Value:+9.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between Blackburn and Ipswich. On paper, this looks like a tale of two teams heading in opposite directions, doesn't it? Blackburn are sitting 18th in the table with just 20 points from 17 games - that's proper relegation form, mate. Only 6 wins all season and a measly 2 draws tells you everything you need to know about their consistency. They're either winning or losing, no in-between. Their recent form shows a bit of life with 4 wins in their last 10, but dig deeper and it's not pretty. They just drew 1-1 with Wrexham, lost 0-1 at home to QPR, and here's the real worry - their home form is absolutely shocking. Only 20% win rate at home recently, conceding 1.6 goals per game on their own patch. That's not good enough for a team that wants to climb the table. Ipswich, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 8th with 27 points. Much more consistent with 7 wins and 6 draws. Their recent form is solid too - 5 wins in their last 10, including that brilliant 4-1 smashing of Swansea away. They did lose 2-1 at Oxford in their last game, but everyone has off days, don't they? The real story here is Ipswich's away form. They're winning 60% of their away games and scoring an incredible 2.4 goals per game on the road. That's some serious firepower. They're averaging more shots (17.3 vs 12.8), more possession (57.9% vs 49.6%), and better pass accuracy (81.9% vs 71.6%). They're just playing better football, simple as that. Head-to-head, Ipswich have the edge too with 4 wins to Blackburn's 2 in 8 meetings. Last time out it finished 0-1 to the away side, which tells its own story. Both teams tend to score in their games (60% for both sides), and given Ipswich's away attacking prowess and Blackburn's defensive struggles at home, we could be in for a few goals here. The odds have Ipswich as 1.99 to win, which looks about right to me. They're the better team, in better form, and Blackburn are struggling badly at home. Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet, and this looks like one of those times. **Key Points:** - Blackburn struggling in 18th with poor home form (20% win rate) - Ipswich flying high in 8th with excellent away form (60% win rate) - Ipswich scoring 2.4 goals per game away from home - Head-to-head favors Ipswich (4 wins vs 2) - Both teams score in 60% of recent games **Summary:** Ipswich are playing much better football and have been brilliant on the road this season. Blackburn's home form is woeful, and I can't see them turning it around against a team as potent as Ipswich away from home. The away win at 1.99 looks solid value here.

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📝 Match Preview

Ipswich's Away Force Meets Blackburn's Home Struggles
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.99
Expected Value:+9.4%

In the grand tapestry of the Championship, two paths diverge on this winter's eve. One team seeks redemption upon their home soil, while another carries the momentum of travels well-taken. Much to ponder, this match reveals. Blackburn, sitting eighteenth in the standings with but twenty points from seventeen journeys, find themselves at a crossroads. Their recent form tells a tale of inconsistency - four victories, two draws, and four defeats in their last ten encounters. The home fortress has become porous, with only one victory in their last five contests on familiar ground. Conceding 1.6 goals per home match speaks of defensive vulnerabilities that wise observers cannot ignore. Ipswich, meanwhile, occupy the eighth position with twenty-seven points, their path illuminated by superior form. Five wins, two draws, and three losses in their last ten games show a team finding rhythm. Away from home, they transform into a formidable force - victorious in three of their last five travels, scoring an impressive 2.4 goals per away match. Their attacking prowess, averaging 1.7 goals overall, contrasts sharply with Blackburn's 1.1. The recent results paint a clearer picture. Blackburn's 1-1 draw with Wrexham and 0-1 home defeat to QPR reveal ongoing struggles. Ipswich, despite a recent 2-1 setback at Oxford United, demonstrated their quality with a 2-0 victory at Hull City and a stunning 4-1 triumph at Swansea. In the balance of forces, Ipswich holds advantages in possession (57.9% vs 49.6%), pass accuracy (81.9% vs 71.6%), and shot conversion. Their away form, particularly the goal-scoring exploits, suggests they carry the greater momentum into this contest. Remember, young padawan: form is temporary, but class reveals itself over time. The numbers speak of one team rising while another seeks foundation. **Key Points:** - Ipswich boast superior away form with 60% win rate in last 5 away games - Blackburn struggle at home with only 20% win rate in last 5 home matches - Ipswich score 2.4 goals per away game vs Blackburn conceding 1.6 at home - Ipswich lead head-to-head 4-2-2 overall - Ipswich average 1.70 PPG vs Blackburn's 1.40 PPG - Ipswich dominate possession (57.9% vs 49.6%) and pass accuracy (81.9% vs 71.6%) The path of wisdom points toward the visitors, whose form and attacking prowess suggest they shall overcome the home side's defensive frailties.

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📝 Match Preview

Ipswich Away Form Makes Them Clear Favorites
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.99
Expected Value:+35.3%

This Championship fixture presents a clear mismatch based on current form and venue performance. Blackburn sit 18th in the table with just 20 points from 17 games, while Ipswich occupy 8th position with 27 points from their 17 matches. The most telling statistic is the contrast between Blackburn's home form and Ipswich's away performances. Blackburn have been woeful on their own patch, winning only 20% of their last 5 home games (1W-1D-3L) and conceding an alarming 1.6 goals per game at home. Their recent home results include defeats to QPR (0-1), Derby (1-2), Sheffield United (1-3), and Coventry (0-2), highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Ipswich have been exceptional on the road, boasting a 60% win rate away from home (3W-0D-2L in last 5 away games) and scoring an impressive 2.4 goals per game away. Their attacking prowess was evident in recent away victories at Swansea (4-1) and QPR (4-1). While they did suffer a 2-1 loss at Oxford United in their last away fixture, the overall away trend remains strongly positive. The head-to-head record slightly favors Ipswich with 4 wins to Blackburn's 2 in 8 meetings. Blackburn's home record against Ipswich stands at 2W-1D-1L, but current form suggests this historical advantage may not hold. Statistical analysis shows Ipswich averaging 1.70 points per game compared to Blackburn's 1.40, with the visitors also superior in goals scored (1.70 vs 1.10) and goals conceded (1.10 vs 1.20). The goal expectancy model further reinforces Ipswich's advantage, rating them as clear favorites. Given Blackburn's defensive frailties at home and Ipswich's potent away attack, the visitors appear well-positioned to secure all three points.

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📝 Match Preview

Mathematical Value Found in BTTS Market
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what the numbers tell us. Blackburn sit 18th with a dismal home record - just one win in their last five at Ewood Park, conceding 1.6 goals per game on their own patch. Meanwhile, Ipswich are flying high in 8th, boasting an impressive 60% win rate on their travels and averaging 2.4 goals scored away from home. The statistical picture is crystal clear: Blackburn's home defense is porous (1.60 goals conceded per game), while Ipswich's away attack is potent (2.40 goals scored per game). Both teams have found the net in 60% of their recent matches, creating a perfect mathematical setup for both teams to score. Blackburn's recent form shows they can score against decent opposition - they netted twice against Leicester and Preston away from home. Ipswich, despite their recent loss to Oxford United, have been scoring freely on the road with four goals against both QPR and Swansea. The goal expectancy model projects 1.10 goals for Blackburn and 2.00 for Ipswich, averaging 3.10 total goals. This aligns perfectly with the attacking and defensive profiles we're seeing. The bookmakers have priced BTTS Yes at 1.90, implying a 52.63% probability. Given that both teams score in 60% of their recent matches, combined with Blackburn's leaky home defense and Ipswich's prolific away attack, we're looking at clear mathematical value here. The head-to-head record shows three of eight meetings have seen both teams score, but the current form and statistical trends paint a different picture for this encounter.

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