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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

QPR vs Millwall

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–2

Match Timeline

15'
Massimo Luongo🔄
Substitution 1 → Casper De Norre
33'
Ryan Leonard🟨
Yellow Card
36'
Femi Azeez⚽
Normal Goal
39'
Jake Cooper🟨
Yellow Card
45+4'
Mihailo Ivanović⚽
Normal Goal
54'
Liam Morrison🔄
Substitution 1 → Amadou Salif Mbengue
54'
Harvey Vale🔄
Substitution 2 → Karamoko Dembélé
55'
Rhys Norrington-Davies🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Thierno Ballo🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Paul Smyth🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Paul Smyth🔄
Substitution 3 → Koki Saito
61'
Michael Frey🔄
Substitution 4 → Rumarn Burrell
72'
Jonathan Varane🔄
Substitution 5 → Kieran Morgan
74'
Thierno Ballo🔄
Substitution 2 → Alfie Doughty
75'
Femi Azeez🔄
Substitution 3 → Camiel Neghli
79'
Casper De Norre🔄
Substitution 4 → Luke Cundle
80'
Mihailo Ivanović🔄
Substitution 5 → Macaulay Langstaff
85'
Rumarn Burrell⚽
Normal Goal → Koki Saito
90+5'
Alfie Doughty🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal0
20Total Shots5
10Blocked Shots0
13Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox1
8Fouls13
8Corner Kicks3
3Offsides2
57Ball Possession43
2Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
431Total passes334
323Passes accurate210
75Passes %63
1.82expected_goals1.64
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonLost

London Derby Too Close To Call

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+5.0%

Alright boet, let's fire up the BBQ and break down this proper London derby! QPR and Millwall are neck and neck in the Championship table, separated by just one point. Both teams have been scoring at similar rates this season, but there's some interesting patterns here that…

Umery UnderdogWon

Millwall Ready to Bark at Loftus Road

The pickMillwall win

Chance
38%
Odds
2.88
Model EV
+9.4%

Oh, what a delightful Championship clash we have here! Two teams neck-and-neck in the table, but my eyes are firmly on the visitors - those brave Lions from Millwall who come in as the underdogs, and you know how much I love rooting for the little puppies! 🐾 Looking at the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

QPR

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Millwall

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

QPR at home vs Millwall away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+30Millwall
Venue edge
+36Millwall
Rating period
Match snapshot
QPR versus Millwall: long term Elo, before the match
QPRHomeRatingMillwallAway
Strength
1,517Overall1,546
1,479Match venue1,515
1,479At home1,529
1,498Away1,515
Attack & defence
1,473Attack1,426
1,531Defence1,569
1,450Home attack1,416
1,454Away attack1,423
1,522Home defence1,576
1,524Away defence1,574
Match profile
1,547Goal environment1,175
1,667Home goals1,377
1,380Away goals1,298
1,494Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,490Set-piece attack1,502
1,490Set-piece defence1,502
1,511Close games1,605
1,518Winning margin1,527

Match venue compares QPR at home with Millwall away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

QPRQPRUnknown

Starting XI

1Paul NardiG
3Jimmy DunneD
4Liam MorrisonD
5Steve CookD
18Rhys Norrington-DaviesD
20Harvey ValeM
40Jonathan VaraneM
24Nicolas MadsenM
11Paul SmythM
22Richard KoneF
12Michael FreyF

MillwallMillwallUnknown

Starting XI

15Max CrocombeG
18Ryan LeonardD
4Tristan CramaD
5Jake CooperD
3Zak SturgeD
21Massimo LuongoM
8Billy MitchellM
11Femi AzeezM
39Will SmallboneM
7Thierno BalloM
9Mihailo IvanovićF