Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 19:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

30'
Adam Armstrong
Normal Goal → Shea Charles
33'
Anis Mehmeti
Normal Goal
53'
Emil Riis Jacobsen🔄
Substitution 1 → Sinclair Armstrong
57'
Scott Twine
Normal Goal
64'
Scott Twine
Normal Goal
65'
Ryan Fraser🔄
Substitution 1 → Tom Fellows
65'
Welington🔄
Substitution 2 → Ryan Manning
66'
Cameron Archer🔄
Substitution 3 → Jay Robinson
70'
Radek Vitek🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Scott Twine🔄
Substitution 2 → Leo Pecover
72'
Mark Sykes🔄
Substitution 3 → Ross McCrorie
78'
Caspar Jander🔄
Substitution 4 → Damion Downs
83'
Taylor Harwood-Bellis🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Robert Atkinson🔄
Substitution 4 → Haydon Roberts
90'
Anis Mehmeti🔄
Substitution 5 → Yu Hirakawa
90+5'
Tom Fellows🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal6
13Total Shots14
1Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox10
6Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls11
2Corner Kicks3
0Offsides3
33Ball Possession67
1Yellow Cards2
6Goalkeeper Saves1
260Total passes530
174Passes accurate446
67Passes %84
1.63expected_goals2.18
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Bristol CityBristol City1:1

Starting XI

23Radek VitekG
5Robert AtkinsonD
21Neto BorgesM
11Anis MehmetiF
18Emil Riis JacobsenF
16Robert DickieD
14Zak VynerM
10Scott TwineF
19George TannerD
4Adam RandellM
17Mark SykesM

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

1Alex McCarthyG
6Taylor Harwood-BellisD
34WelingtonM
13Leo ScienzaF
19Cameron ArcherF
15Nathan WoodD
20Caspar JanderM
9Adam ArmstrongF
12Ronnie EdwardsD
24Shea CharlesM
26Ryan FraserM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Bristol City
Bristol City
Form: W-L-D-D-L
Southampton
Southampton
Form: D-D-W-D-L
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:0.6
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1546
Average
1576
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1531
↓ Momentum (-15)
1583
↑ Momentum (+7)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
33%
Draw
36%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1481
Attack
1549
1534
Defence
1550
Recent Form
1488
Attack
1523
1526
Defence
1551
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Robins vs Saints: Draw Special on the Cards?
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.40
Expected Value:+19.0%
Confidence:65

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this Championship clash! Bristol City sitting pretty in 6th with 16 points, while Southampton are down in 14th with just 12 points from their opening 10 games. But don't let those league positions fool you - this one's trickier than a boerewors roll without sauce! Bristol City have been proper Jekyll and Hyde recently. They smashed Hull City 4-2 at home, which was brilliant stuff, but then they went and lost 1-2 to QPR and 1-3 to Oxford United on their own patch. That's not the form of a team pushing for the playoffs, is it? They did grab a decent 0-1 win at Norwich in their last outing, but their home form has been about as consistent as the English weather. Now Southampton, these lads just LOVE a draw, seriously! Six draws from 10 games - they're the draw specialists of the Championship. Recent results show 0-0 with Swansea, 1-1 with Derby, and 1-1 with Middlesbrough. They did show some bite with a 1-2 away win at Sheffield Utd, and they're actually scoring more goals away from home (1.67 per game) than Bristol City are scoring at home (1.40). When these two have met before, it's been proper tight affairs. Bristol City won the last home meeting 3-1, but Southampton have taken the points in both away encounters. With both teams averaging around 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, we're not exactly talking about a goal fest here. The stats are screaming DRAW at me. Southampton's draw rate is sitting at 60% in their last 10 games, and Bristol City have been drawing plenty too (4 in their last 10). With both teams struggling to find consistent winning form, this has stalemate written all over it.

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📝 Match Preview

Robins vs Saints: Both Teams to Find the Net?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+8.6%
Confidence:65

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between Bristol City and Southampton. The Robins are sitting pretty in 6th with 16 points, while the Saints are struggling a bit down in 14th with just 12. But don't let that table position fool you - this could be closer than you think. Bristol City have been a bit of a mixed bag recently. They've only won 3 of their last 10 games, though they did just nick a 1-0 win away at Norwich. The worry for the home fans is their form at their own gaff - only 20% win rate at home recently, and they're shipping 1.6 goals per game on their own patch. They've had some right shockers at home too, like that 1-3 beating against Oxford United. Still, they can score, averaging 1.4 goals at home. Southampton, meanwhile, have become the draw specialists of the Championship - 5 draws in their last 10! They're not winning much but they're proper hard to beat. Their away form's actually better than Bristol City's home form - 33% win rate on their travels and they're banging in 1.67 goals per game away from home. They just kept a clean sheet in a 0-0 draw with Swansea, which shows they can defend when they want to. When these two have met before, it's been Southampton who've had the edge overall (2 wins to 1), but Bristol City did win their only home meeting. Looking at the stats, both teams are scoring and conceding around 1.2 goals per game. Bristol City's home games are averaging 3 goals per game, and Southampton's away games are seeing 3.17 goals per game. That tells me we're likely to see some action at both ends. The key thing for me is that 70% of Southampton's recent games have seen both teams score, and 50% of Bristol City's have too. With both teams needing the points and neither being solid defensively, I reckon we'll see goals from both sides. Key Points: - Bristol City's home form is dodgy (20% win rate, 1.6 goals conceded per game) - Southampton are draw specialists but score well away from home (1.67 goals/game) - 70% of Southampton's recent games have seen both teams score - Both teams average around 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game - Head-to-head favors Southampton overall but Bristol City won their only home meeting Given the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides and their scoring records, I'm backing both teams to get on the scoresheet. The odds of 1.67 look decent value for what looks like an open game where both sides should create chances.

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