Tue, 21 Oct 2025, 18:45
Full Time
0:3
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

24'
Alex Palmer🔄
Substitution 1 → Christian Walton
45+3'
Greg Docherty🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Sonny Carey
Normal Goal
55'
Macaulay Gillesphey
Normal Goal
62'
Kasey McAteer🔄
Substitution 2 → Jaden Philogene-Bidace
62'
Ivan Azón🔄
Substitution 3 → George Hirst
62'
Charlie Kelman🔄
Substitution 1 → Miles Leaburn
62'
Isaac Olaofe🔄
Substitution 2 → Tyreece Campbell
64'
Miles Leaburn
Normal Goal → Tyreece Campbell
75'
Jens Cajuste🔄
Substitution 4 → Jack Taylor
75'
Leif Davis🔄
Substitution 5 → Ben Johnson
78'
Kayne Ramsay🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Sonny Carey🔄
Substitution 3 → Harvey Knibbs
88'
Harvey Knibbs🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Greg Docherty🔄
Substitution 4 → Joe Rankin-Costello
90'
Conor Coventry🔄
Substitution 5 → Reece Burke

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal8
14Shots off Goal7
30Total Shots15
11Blocked Shots0
17Shots insidebox8
13Shots outsidebox7
7Fouls11
16Corner Kicks3
2Offsides2
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards3
5Goalkeeper Saves5
448Total passes226
376Passes accurate150
84Passes %66
2.19expected_goals1.43
1goals_prevented1

Starting Lineups

IpswichIpswich1:1

Starting XI

1Alex PalmerG
3Leif DavisD
12Jens CajusteM
47Jack ClarkeM
31Ivan AzónF
24Jacob GreavesD
32Marcelino NúñezM
29Chuba AkpomM
26Dara O'SheaD
20Kasey McAteerM
15Ashley YoungD

CharltonCharlton1:1

Starting XI

1Thomas KaminskiG
17Amari'i BellD
10Greg DochertyM
22Isaac OlaofeF
3Macaulay GillespheyD
6Conor CoventryM
23Charlie KelmanF
5Lloyd JonesD
14Sonny CareyM
2Kayne RamsayD
28James BreeD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Ipswich
Ipswich
Form: L-W-D-W-W
Charlton
Charlton
Form: W-L-D-W-W
Record
3 W
5 D
2 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1607
Good
1476
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1700
↑ Momentum (+93)
1509
↑ Momentum (+32)
Expected Outcome
49%
Home Win
28%
Draw
23%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1597
Attack
1445
1542
Defence
1526
Recent Form
1658
Attack
1463
1548
Defence
1541
Post-Match Changes
-19
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected as Ipswich Host Charlton
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+5.1%
Confidence:65

Alright, let's talk about what really matters in football - GOALS! And this fixture has all the ingredients for a proper goal-fest that'll get the blood pumping. Ipswich at home have been absolutely lethal, averaging a whopping 2.60 goals per game on their own patch. They've been putting on quite the show recently with results like 5-0 against Sheffield Utd, 3-1 vs Norwich, and a 2-2 thriller with Derby. The Big O loves this kind of entertainment! Now, Charlton roll into town, and here's where it gets interesting. On their travels, they've been about as solid as a chocolate teapot defensively, leaking 1.50 goals per away game. Their recent away reads like a concession stand menu: 2-0 at Preston, 3-1 at QPR, another 3-1 at Cambridge United. They're basically handing out goals like party favors! But let's not forget the history between these two - and oh boy, what history it is! Recent encounters have been absolute goal bonanzas: 6-0, 4-4, 4-0. That's not football, that's basketball! Out of 9 total meetings, 5 have gone over 2.5 goals, and when Ipswich are at home, they've won 60% of these matchups. The stats are screaming "OVER" in this one. Ipswich are averaging 1.60 goals overall while Charlton are conceding 1.20 per game. Neither side is particularly fond of clean sheets either - Ipswich have managed just one in their last 10 games, while Charlton's away form shows they're generous visitors. With goal expectancy sitting at 2.88 and both teams showing they can find the net (and concede them), this has all the makings of a classic Big O special. Life's too short for boring 0-0s, and this match promises anything but!

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📝 Match Preview

Charlton's Hidden Value Against Ipswich
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:7.50
Expected Value:+35.0%
Confidence:65

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes will be on Ipswich as the home favorites, my little underdog radar is beeping excitedly for Charlton. Let me tell you why these visitors might just have the bark to match their bite! First off, here's a fascinating little nugget - Charlton actually sits HIGHER than Ipswich in the Championship table! That's right, our underdog pups are 9th with 15 points, while the home side trails in 12th with just 13 points. Yet the bookmakers have priced Charlton at a whopping 7.50 to win. Talk about overlooking the little guy! Looking at recent form, both teams have been quite similar over their last 10 matches - each grabbing 3 wins in that period. But here's where it gets interesting: Charlton just bounced back with a confidence-boosting 2-1 victory over Sheffield Wednesday, while Ipswich stumbled to a 2-1 defeat against Middlesbrough. Momentum matters, folks! Now, I'll admit, Ipswich has been formidable at home this season, scoring 2.6 goals per game at their own den. And Charlton's away record? Well, it's been a bit ruff with only 0.67 goals per game on the road. But remember, we're looking for value where others see none! The head-to-head history shows some absolute thrillers - remember that 4-4 draw and 6-0 thriller? These matches can explode into goal fests, and Charlton has shown they can find the net even in tough away days. What really makes my tail wag is the combination of Charlton's superior league position, their recent win, and those generous odds. Sometimes the market gets too focused on home advantage and forgets to look at the bigger picture. This feels like one of those times where the underdog is being underestimated despite actually performing better this season. Sometimes you have to look beyond the surface stats and see the real story. Charlton might be the underdog on paper, but in the Championship table, they're the top dog in this matchup!

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📝 Match Preview

Ipswich vs Charlton: Home Fortresses vs Travel Troubles
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+16.0%
Confidence:65

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between Ipswich and Charlton. The lads from Portman Road are sitting 12th with 13 points from 9 games, while Charlton are just above them in 9th with 15 points from 10 matches. But don't let that table position fool you - this one's all about home advantage. Ipswich have been proper decent at home this season, winning 60% of their matches on their own patch and banging in 2.6 goals per game. They've put three past Norwich and two past Portsmouth recently, and even had a cracking 5-0 win over Sheffield United. Their home form is the real deal, mate. Charlton, on the other hand, have been shocking on their travels. Just one win in six away games, scoring a measly 0.67 goals per game away from home. They've lost to Preston and Cambridge United on the road recently, and even their wins have been tight affairs. The head-to-head tells a similar story - Ipswich have won 3 of their 5 home meetings against Charlton. And while that 6-0 thrashing was a while back, it shows what can happen when these two meet on Ipswich's patch. Looking at the stats, Ipswich are averaging 15.8 shots per game with 4.9 on target, while Charlton are only managing 12.8 shots with 3.8 on target. The Tractor Boys are also seeing more of the ball (57.7% vs 43.9%) and are much more accurate in front of goal (30.4% vs 27.9%). Both teams have been conceding though - Ipswich let in 1.1 per game, Charlton 1.2. And with Ipswich scoring for fun at home while Charlton do manage to nick the odd goal away from home, both teams getting on the scoresheet looks pretty likely. The bookies have Ipswich as clear favorites at 1.50, which makes sense given their home form. But the real value might be in both teams scoring at 2.00 - Ipswich's home games have seen both teams score 70% of the time, and Charlton's away games have seen both teams score 50% of the time. Key Points: - Ipswich are strong at home: 60% win rate, 2.6 goals per game - Charlton struggle away: 16.67% win rate, 0.67 goals per game - Both teams have decent BTTS records (70% and 50% respectively) - Ipswich dominate the head-to-head at home (3-1-1 record) - Goal expectancy suggests 2.05 goals for Ipswich, 0.83 for Charlton The Verdict: Ipswich should win this, but both teams to score offers better value at 2.00. Ipswich will likely score a couple at home, while Charlton might just nick one despite their poor away form.

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