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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Coventry vs Watford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time3:1HT 3–0

Match Timeline

3'
B. Thomas-Asante⚽
Normal Goal → T. Sakamoto
7'
J. Allen⚽
Normal Goal
42'
T. Sakamoto⚽
Normal Goal
44'
James Abankwah🟥
Red Card
45+1'
M. Sissoko🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Pollock
45+3'
Mamadou Doumbia🟨
Yellow Card
46'
E. Kayembe🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Kyprianou
52'
B. Thomas🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Woolfenden
62'
Luke Woolfenden🟨
Yellow Card
64'
K. Baah🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Irankunda
65'
M. Doumbia🔄
Substitution 4 → V. Semedo
69'
I. Louza
Penalty
73'
H. Wright🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Simms
73'
E. Mason-Clark🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Eccles
76'
Milan van Ewijk🟨
Yellow Card
82'
M. van Ewijk🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Kesler-Hayden
85'
Liam Kitching🟨
Yellow Card
85'
R. Vata🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Ince
90+2'
Nestory Irankunda🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots13
3Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox5
10Fouls8
5Corner Kicks6
3Offsides4
55Ball Possession45
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
6Goalkeeper Saves0
456Total passes372
394Passes accurate315
86Passes %85
1.31expected_goals2.76
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Coventry to Continue Dominant Home Form

The pickCoventry win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.45
Model EV
+8.8%

Ag man, this one looks like a braai where you know the meat's going to be good! Coventry are absolutely firing on all cylinders this season, sitting top of the table unbeaten with 25 points. They've been scoring goals for fun - 27 in their last 10 games, including some absolute…

Mr CertaintyWon

Coventry's Home Fortress vs Watford's Travel Woes

The pickCoventry win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.45
Model EV
+8.8%

The data presents a compelling case for Coventry's home dominance against a Watford side struggling on the road. Coventry sit atop the Championship table with an impeccable record of 7 wins and 4 draws from 11 games, demonstrating remarkable consistency throughout the season…

Mr SimpleWon

Coventry's Goal Fest Continues?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+13.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Coventry are absolutely flying at the top of the Championship, still unbeaten after 11 games and scoring goals like they're going out of fashion. We're talking 27 goals in their last 10 matches - that's nearly 2.7 per game! At…

Value VinnyWon

Coventry's Mathematical Edge vs Watford

The pickCoventry win

Chance
73%
Odds
1.45
Model EV
+5.9%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Coventry sits atop the Championship with an unbeaten record (7W-4D-0L), and their recent form is nothing short of spectacular. They've scored 27 goals in 10 games while conceding just 7, averaging 2.7 goals for and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Coventry

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Watford

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Coventry at home vs Watford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+162Coventry
Venue edge
+182Coventry
Rating period
Match snapshot
Coventry versus Watford: long term Elo, before the match
CoventryHomeRatingWatfordAway
Strength
1,618Overall1,455
1,586Match venue1,404
1,586At home1,557
1,539Away1,404
Attack & defence
1,571Attack1,436
1,574Defence1,523
1,550Home attack1,471
1,530Away attack1,420
1,582Home defence1,572
1,528Away defence1,491
Match profile
1,527Goal environment1,660
1,505Home goals1,583
1,522Away goals1,577
1,503Possession1,502
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,484
1,506Set-piece defence1,484
1,546Close games1,457
1,647Winning margin1,453

Match venue compares Coventry at home with Watford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CoventryCoventry1:1

Starting XI

19Carl RushworthG
3Jay DasilvaD
6Matt GrimesM
10Ephron Mason-ClarkM
11Haji WrightF
15Liam KitchingD
8Jamie AllenM
23Brandon Thomas-AsanteM
4Bobby ThomasD
7Tatsuhiro SakamotoM
27Milan van EwijkD

WatfordWatford1:1

Starting XI

1Egil SelvikG
16Marc BolaD
39Edo KayembeM
11Rocco VataM
20Mamadou DoumbiaF
25James AbankwahD
10Imrân LouzaM
34Kwadwo BaahM
17Moussa SissokoF
4Kévin Keben BiakoloD
2Jeremy NgakiaD