Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Oxford United vs Millwall

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

11'
T. Ballo⚽
Normal Goal → R. Leonard
35'
F. Azeez🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Neghli
45'
C. Brannagan⚽
Normal Goal → S. Mills
61'
D. Mazou-Sacko🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Mitchell
61'
L. Cundle🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Emakhu
62'
J. Currie🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Leigh
66'
J. Cooper⚽
Normal Goal
73'
W. Vaulks🔄
Substitution 2 → P. Placheta
73'
F. Krastev🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Harris
73'
W. Lankshear🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Prelec
82'
S. Mills🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Dembele
90'
P. Placheta⚽
Normal Goal
90+4'
R. Leonard🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Harding

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
14Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots2
4Shots insidebox8
10Shots outsidebox3
5Fouls14
5Corner Kicks8
0Offsides4
49Ball Possession51
2Goalkeeper Saves4
364Total passes380
242Passes accurate263
66Passes %69
0.63expected_goals2.36
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Millwall Look Too Strong For Struggling Oxford

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Ag man, this one looks pretty straightforward if you check the stats! Oxford United are sitting in 19th place with only 12 points from 12 games, while Millwall are flying high in 3rd with 23 points. That's a massive gap in quality right there. Looking at Oxford's recent form…

The Big "O"Won

Oxford vs Millwall: Goals Galore on the Cards?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.28
Model EV
+48.2%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm rubbing my hands together at this matchup! When I see Oxford United at home, I see goals - and lots of them leaking in at the wrong end for the home side. Let's break it down. Oxford's home form has been, shall we say, generous to neutrals…

Mr CertaintyLost

Millwall Set to Dominate Struggling Oxford

The pickMillwall win

Chance
67%
Odds
2.67
Model EV
+78.9%

This Championship clash presents a clear mismatch in form and quality. Millwall, sitting pretty in 3rd place with 23 points, travel to face an Oxford United side languishing in 19th with just 12 points. The gulf in class is evident in recent performances. Millwall have been…

Value VinnyLost

Millwall's Away Form Offers Clear Value at Oxford

The pickMillwall win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.45
Model EV
+47.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the numbers. The bookies have got this one wrong, and that's where I find my edge. Millwall sit third in the table with 23 points from 12 games, while Oxford languish in 19th with just 12 points. That's not just a gap - it's a chasm of…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Oxford United

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Millwall

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Oxford United at home vs Millwall away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+138Millwall
Venue edge
+21Millwall
Rating period
Match snapshot
Oxford United versus Millwall: long term Elo, before the match
Oxford UnitedHomeRatingMillwallAway
Strength
1,453Overall1,591
1,506Match venue1,526
1,506At home1,553
1,427Away1,526
Attack & defence
1,442Attack1,448
1,522Defence1,591
1,470Home attack1,427
1,437Away attack1,432
1,527Home defence1,597
1,494Away defence1,574
Match profile
1,483Goal environment1,170
1,497Home goals1,370
1,487Away goals1,300
1,485Possession1,492
Specialist ratings
1,439Set-piece attack1,496
1,441Set-piece defence1,496
1,450Close games1,627
1,455Winning margin1,580

Match venue compares Oxford United at home with Millwall away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Oxford UnitedOxford United1:1

Starting XI

1Jamie CummingG
26Jack CurrieD
4Will VaulksM
50Filip KrastevM
27Will LankshearF
3Ciaron BrownD
8Cameron BrannaganM
6Michał HelikD
14Brian De KeersmaeckerM
2Sam LongD
17Stanley MillsM

MillwallMillwall1:1

Starting XI

15Max CrocombeG
3Zak SturgeD
49Derek Mazou-SackoM
7Thierno BalloM
9Mihailo IvanovićF
5Jake CooperD
24Casper De NorreM
25Luke CundleM
4Tristan CramaD
11Femi AzeezM
18Ryan LeonardD