Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Portsmouth vs Millwall

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time3:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

22'
Zak Swanson⚽
Normal Goal → Josh Murphy
38'
Zak Sturge🔄
Substitution 1 → Joe Bryan
45+4'
Regan Poole🟨
Yellow Card
45+4'
Danny McNamara🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Tristan Crama⚽
Own Goal
55'
Derek Mazou-Sacko🔄
Substitution 2 → Daniel Kelly
62'
Adrian Segecic🔄
Substitution 1 → Callum Lang
62'
Danny McNamara🔄
Substitution 3 → Wes Harding
62'
Alfie Doughty🔄
Substitution 4 → Aidomo Emakhu
63'
Macaulay Langstaff🔄
Substitution 5 → Luke Cundle
66'
Zak Swanson🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Joe Bryan🟥
Red Card
69'
Zak Swanson🔄
Substitution 2 → Jordan Williams
72'
Mihailo Ivanović⚽
Normal Goal → Aidomo Emakhu
80'
Andre Dozzell🔄
Substitution 3 → Marlon Pack
80'
Florian Bianchini🔄
Substitution 4 → Conor Chaplin
81'
Thierno Ballo🔄
Substitution 6 → Camiel Neghli
89'
Jordan Williams⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots7
5Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls12
3Corner Kicks4
3Offsides3
51Ball Possession49
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
332Total passes329
235Passes accurate221
71Passes %67
0.93expected_goals0.5
-2goals_prevented-2

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Millwall to Dominate Struggling Pompey

The pickMillwall win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+70.3%

Ag man, this one looks pretty straightforward if you look at the numbers! Portsmouth are having a proper tough time of it, sitting 20th in the table with only 14 points from 15 games. They've managed just one win in their last ten matches - that's shocking stuff! Their recent…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

The Force Of Form Guides Millwall's Path

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

In the grand theater of the Championship, the force of form speaks clearly. Portsmouth, languishing in 20th place with but 14 points from 15 games, welcomes a Millwall side sitting comfortably in 6th with 25 points. Eleven points separate these teams - a chasm that reflects…

Mr SimpleLost

Millwall to extend perfect Pompey record

The pickMillwall win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+52.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down at Fratton Park. On paper, this looks about as one-sided as they come, but sometimes the numbers don't tell the whole story... except in this case, they're screaming one thing loud and clear! Portsmouth are having a right old…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Portsmouth

1W 3D 6L0.60 pts/game

Millwall

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Portsmouth at home vs Millwall away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+122Millwall
Venue edge
+11Millwall
Rating period
Match snapshot
Portsmouth versus Millwall: long term Elo, before the match
PortsmouthHomeRatingMillwallAway
Strength
1,440Overall1,562
1,501Match venue1,512
1,501At home1,550
1,402Away1,512
Attack & defence
1,419Attack1,444
1,510Defence1,561
1,434Home attack1,426
1,436Away attack1,431
1,572Home defence1,595
1,446Away defence1,546
Match profile
1,520Goal environment1,178
1,465Home goals1,368
1,555Away goals1,310
1,499Possession1,491
Specialist ratings
1,509Set-piece attack1,504
1,509Set-piece defence1,504
1,447Close games1,615
1,432Winning margin1,540

Match venue compares Portsmouth at home with Millwall away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PortsmouthPortsmouth1:1

Starting XI

1Nicolas SchmidG
22Zak SwansonD
18Márk KosznovszkyM
23Josh MurphyM
9Colby BishopF
5Regan PooleD
21Andre DozzellM
10Adrian SegecicM
4Josh KnightD
11Florian BianchiniM
24Terry DevlinD

MillwallMillwall1:1

Starting XI

15Max CrocombeG
3Zak SturgeD
24Casper De NorreM
14Alfie DoughtyM
9Mihailo IvanovićF
6Caleb TaylorD
49Derek Mazou-SackoM
17Macaulay LangstaffM
4Tristan CramaD
7Thierno BalloM
2Danny McNamaraD