Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 12:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

17'
Sorba Thomas
Normal Goal
46'
Joel Ndala🔄
Substitution 1 → Kyle Joseph
46'
Darko Gyabi🔄
Substitution 2 → Mohamed Belloumi
48'
Semi Ajayi
Normal Goal → Mohamed Belloumi
68'
Ryan Giles🔄
Substitution 3 → Akin Famewo
69'
Róbert Boženík🔄
Substitution 1 → Divin Mubama
76'
Enis Destan🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Enis Destan🔄
Substitution 4 → John Lundstram
80'
Regan Slater🔄
Substitution 5 → Amir Hadžiahmetović
86'
Ben Pearson🔄
Substitution 2 → Steven​ N'Zonzi
86'
Million Manhoef🔄
Substitution 3 → Sam Gallagher
90'
Joe Gelhardt
Normal Goal → Mohamed Belloumi
90+6'
Bosun Lawal🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Matt Crooks🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal6
1Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox5
12Fouls15
7Corner Kicks8
6Offsides1
56Ball Possession44
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
392Total passes310
305Passes accurate209
78Passes %67
0.82expected_goals1.18
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Stoke CityStoke CityUnknown

Starting XI

1Viktor JohanssonG
22Junior TchamadeuD
26Ashley PhillipsD
18Bosun LawalD
3Aaron CresswellD
12Tatsuki SekoM
4Ben PearsonM
42Million ManhoefM
10Jun-Ho BaeM
7Sorba ThomasM
11Róbert BoženíkF

Hull CityHull CityUnknown

Starting XI

1Ivor PandurG
2Lewie CoyleD
6Semi AjayiD
15John EganD
3Ryan GilesD
21Joe GelhardtM
27Regan SlaterM
24Darko GyabiM
19Joel NdalaM
25Matt CrooksF
39Enis DestanF

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Stoke City
Stoke City
Form: W-L-L-W-W
Hull City
Hull City
Form: L-L-W-L-W
Record
5 W
2 D
3 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1514
Average
1486
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1563
↑ Momentum (+50)
1518
↑ Momentum (+32)
Expected Outcome
36%
Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1443
Attack
1470
1600
Defence
1491
Recent Form
1475
Attack
1497
1639
Defence
1442
Post-Match Changes
-14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Stoke City vs Hull City: Home Fortresses Meet Goal-Happy Visitors
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and break down this Championship clash! Stoke City sitting pretty in 2nd place with 30 points, welcoming Hull City who's lounging in 8th with 25 points. Both teams been averaging 1.70 points per game over their last 10, but that's where the similarities end, hey! Stoke's been a proper fortress at home this season - 75% win rate and banging in 2.25 goals per game on their own patch! Their defense at home is tighter than a new pair of boots, letting in just 0.5 goals per game. They've kept clean sheets in half their recent matches, including that beaut 3-0 smashing of Charlton in their last outing. But they've had some wobbles too, like that 0-1 loss to league leaders Coventry and a 2-1 defeat at Leicester. Hull City, on the other hand, are like that mate who can't decide if he's coming or going! Away from home, they're scoring for fun (2.0 goals per game) but leaking goals like a sieve (1.75 conceded per game). Their recent form's been a bit dodgy though - back-to-back losses to Ipswich (0-2) and QPR (2-3) won't have the traveling fans feeling too chuffed. Only 20% clean sheets in their last 10 tells you everything about their defensive issues, ja. The head-to-head's interesting - Stoke dominates overall with 5 wins from 8 meetings, but at home against Hull they've only won 25% of the time! Last time these two met, Stoke nicked it 2-1. Looking at the stats, Stoke's home attack (2.25 goals per game) against Hull's away defense (1.75 conceded per game) has got my mouth watering! Both teams tend to score when Hull's around - 70% of their recent games have seen both teams find the net. Stoke's more conservative at home though, with only 30% both teams scored in their recent matches. The odds makers have Stoke as favorites at 1.67, which makes sense given their league position and home form. But I'm looking at the goals market here - over 2.5 goals at 1.80 looks tasty given Stoke's home firepower and Hull's defensive generosity away from home. Key Points: - Stoke City 2nd in table vs Hull City 8th - Stoke's home form: 75% win rate, 2.25 goals scored per game - Hull's away form: 50% win rate but 1.75 goals conceded per game - Recent form: Stoke beat Charlton 3-0, Hull lost 0-2 to Ipswich - Head-to-head: Stoke dominates overall but poor home record vs Hull - Both teams score in 70% of Hull's recent games vs 30% for Stoke at home Time to make a call! I'm backing the goals here - Stoke's potent home attack against Hull's leaky away defense spells goals, goals, goals!

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected as Stoke's Firepower Meets Hull's Away Leaks
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+4.4%
Confidence:65

The Big O is getting excited about this Championship clash at Stoke, and for good reason! We've got a perfect storm brewing for goals, goals, and more goals. Stoke City have been absolutely lethal at home this season, averaging 2.25 goals per game on their own patch. They've put on some real shows recently - that 5-1 demolition of Bristol City was exactly the kind of explosive performance that gets my heart racing! Their home form is solid with a 75% win rate, and while they've had some tight ones like 1-0 victories, the attacking potential is clearly there. Now let's talk about Hull City on the road - this is where things get really interesting for us over enthusiasts! Hull's away games are averaging a whopping 3.75 goals per match. They're scoring freely (2.00 per game away) but more importantly, they're conceding at will (1.75 per game away). Their recent away reads like a goal-fest: 3-2 at QPR, 2-0 at Norwich, 3-2 at Birmingham. This team simply doesn't do boring away days! The stats tell a compelling story - Hull's BTTS rate sits at 70%, meaning they love getting involved in end-to-end action. When you combine Stoke's home attacking prowess with Hull's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, we've got all the ingredients for a thriller. Head-to-head history shows these teams aren't shy about finding the net either, with 50% of recent meetings going over 2.5 goals. The Poisson goal expectancy of 3.25 total goals suggests we're in for some serious action. The Big O sees real value here. Stoke might be tight defensively at home overall, but against a Hull side that concedes nearly two goals per away game, we could see those floodgates open. This has all the makings of the kind of exciting, high-scoring encounter that makes football betting so much fun!

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📝 Match Preview

Hull City Ready to Bite Back Against Stoke
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:4.75
Expected Value:+33.0%

Oh, what a delightful Championship clash we have here! While everyone's looking at Stoke City sitting pretty in 2nd place, my underdog senses are tingling about our visitors from Hull. Let me tell you why the little puppies might just have their day! Now, I know what you're thinking - Stoke's been fantastic at home with that 75% win rate and scoring 2.25 goals per game on their own patch. Their recent 3-0 thumping of Charlton shows they're no pushovers. But here's where it gets interesting for us underdog lovers! Historically, Stoke has struggled against Hull at home. Can you believe it? Only 1 win in 4 home meetings! That's just a 25% home win rate against these specific opponents. Sometimes the numbers tell a story that goes against the obvious narrative. And our Hull friends, despite those recent back-to-back losses, have been scoring for fun away from home - 2 goals per game on their travels! They've got that attacking spirit that could trouble Stoke's defense. Plus, both teams have been performing identically over their last 10 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses each), so the form gap isn't as big as the league table suggests. The market has Stoke at 1.67, but I'm looking at Hull at 4.75 and seeing potential value. Those odds might be overreacting to Stoke's league position and underestimating Hull's historical advantage in this specific fixture. Sometimes the underdog just has a team's number, and this might be one of those cases! Hull's been involved in some thrillers too - 70% of their recent games have seen both teams score, which suggests they'll come here to play their football rather than just defend. That attacking mindset could be exactly what's needed to unlock this historical puzzle.

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📝 Match Preview

Stoke vs Hull: Goal Value Alert
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+11.6%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming value in the goals market for this Championship clash. Stoke City, sitting pretty in 2nd place, have been formidable at home with a 75% win rate and an impressive 2.25 goals per game at their own ground. Their defensive record at home is stellar too - just 0.50 goals conceded per game. Hull City arrive with contrasting statistics. While they sit 8th and boast a respectable 50% away win rate, their defensive frailties on the road are concerning - shipping 1.75 goals per away game. However, they do find the net regularly away from home, averaging 2.00 goals per game. Recent form tells an interesting story. Stoke demolished Charlton 3-0 and Bristol City 5-1 at home, while Hull's travels include a 3-2 loss at QPR and a 2-0 win at Norwich. Both teams are averaging 1.70 points per game over their last 10 matches, but their styles suggest goals. The goal expectancy data shows Home 2.00, Away 1.25 - that's 3.25 expected goals. Yet the market has Over 2.5 at just 1.80. That's where the value lies. Stoke's home attack (2.25) meets Hull's leaky away defense (1.75 conceded), while Hull's away attack (2.00) faces Stoke's normally solid home defense (0.50 conceded). Something's got to give, and the mathematics points toward goals. The head-to-head record shows Stoke historically dominates, but their home record specifically against Hull is surprisingly poor. However, current form trumps historical anomalies in my book. Both teams are scoring freely, and the defensive mismatches create a perfect storm for goals.

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