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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Hull City vs Middlesbrough

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:4HT 0–4

Match Timeline

9'
David Strelec⚽
Normal Goal → Morgan Whittaker
32'
Alexander Gilbert⚽
Normal Goal → Tommy Conway
35'
Morgan Whittaker⚽
Normal Goal → Alexander Gilbert
44'
Riley McGree⚽
Normal Goal → Alex Bangura
46'
Kyle Joseph🔄
Substitution 1 → Mohamed Belloumi
46'
Amir Hadžiahmetović🔄
Substitution 2 → Charlie Hughes
58'
Regan Slater🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Joe Gelhardt
Penalty
65'
Enis Destan🔄
Substitution 3 → Liam Millar
68'
Tommy Conway🔄
Substitution 1 → Samuel Silvera
68'
Alex Bangura🔄
Substitution 2 → George Edmundson
74'
Joe Gelhardt🔄
Substitution 4 → Darko Gyabi
75'
Regan Slater🔄
Substitution 5 → Babajide David Akintola
79'
Morgan Whittaker🔄
Substitution 3 → Sverre Nypan
79'
David Strelec🔄
Substitution 4 → Mamadou Kaly Sene
86'
Riley McGree🔄
Substitution 5 → Delano Burgzorg

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal2
5Total Shots10
1Blocked Shots3
4Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox5
17Fouls11
2Corner Kicks5
2Offsides2
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
400Total passes491
311Passes accurate412
78Passes %84
1.04expected_goals1.29
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Hull City Ready to Bounce Back Against Boro

The pickHull City win

Chance
45%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+44.0%

Right then, let's get down to business! Hull City host Middlesbrough in what looks like a proper cracker of a match. Now, I know what you're thinking - Boro are sitting pretty in 2nd place while Hull are down in 8th, but hold your horses my bru, there's more to this story than…

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Expected When Hull Hosts Boro

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm getting excited about this Championship clash! When I look at Hull City vs Middlesbrough, I see goals, goals, and more goals - exactly what I love to see! Let's talk about Hull first. These boys have been absolute goal machines recently…

Umery UnderdogLost

Hull City Ready to Bark Against Boro

The pickHull City win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+12.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While the league table might suggest Middlesbrough should have the upper hand sitting pretty in 2nd place, I'm here to tell you why our little puppies at Hull City have every chance to upset the odds! Let's look at the recent form…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+16.9%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what the numbers tell us. The market has Middlesbrough as clear favorites at 2.15, but a deeper dive reveals some mathematical inconsistencies that create value opportunities. First, consider the form discrepancy. Hull City are averaging…

Mr SimpleWon

Boro's Away Blues vs Hull's Goal Fest

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this little cracker down at Hull. On paper, you've got second-placed Middlesbrough rolling into town, but don't let that table position fool you, guv. Boro have been proper shocking on their travels lately - just one win in their last five…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Hull City

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Middlesbrough

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Hull City at home vs Middlesbrough away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+47Middlesbrough
Venue edge
+15Middlesbrough
Rating period
Match snapshot
Hull City versus Middlesbrough: long term Elo, before the match
Hull CityHomeRatingMiddlesbroughAway
Strength
1,508Overall1,555
1,486Match venue1,500
1,486At home1,583
1,493Away1,500
Attack & defence
1,509Attack1,480
1,494Defence1,558
1,470Home attack1,491
1,492Away attack1,501
1,499Home defence1,580
1,517Away defence1,516
Match profile
1,562Goal environment1,392
1,520Home goals1,295
1,542Away goals1,597
1,491Possession1,518
Specialist ratings
1,475Set-piece attack1,528
1,476Set-piece defence1,527
1,503Close games1,552
1,510Winning margin1,551

Match venue compares Hull City at home with Middlesbrough away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Hull CityHull City1:1

Starting XI

1Ivor PandurG
3Ryan GilesD
27Regan SlaterM
22Kyle JosephM
39Enis DestanF
15John EganD
20Amir HadžiahmetovićM
25Matt CrooksM
6Semi AjayiD
21Joe GelhardtM
2Lewie CoyleD

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1:1

Starting XI

31Solomon BrynnG
24Alex BanguraD
8Riley McGreeM
9Tommy ConwayF
3Matt TargettD
14Alexander GilbertM
13David StrelecF
5Alfie JonesD
7Hayden HackneyM
2Callum BrittainD
11Morgan WhittakerM