Wed, 10 Dec 2025, 19:45
Full Time
1:0
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

2'
Jaden Philogene-Bidace
Normal Goal → Marcelino Núñez
61'
Bosun Lawal🔄
Substitution 1 → Tomáš Rigo
67'
Lamine Cissé🔄
Substitution 2 → Million Manhoef
67'
Divin Mubama🔄
Substitution 3 → Sam Gallagher
75'
Ivan Azón🔄
Substitution 1 → Chuba Akpom
75'
Sindre Walle Egeli🔄
Substitution 2 → Jack Clarke
75'
Jack Taylor🔄
Substitution 3 → Jens Cajuste
79'
Azor Matusiwa🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Marcelino Núñez🔄
Substitution 4 → Sammie Szmodics
84'
Jun-Ho Bae🔄
Substitution 4 → Róbert Boženík
84'
Steven​ N'Zonzi🔄
Substitution 5 → Ben Pearson
89'
Maksym Talovierov🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal2
16Total Shots6
6Blocked Shots3
9Shots insidebox3
7Shots outsidebox3
11Fouls11
3Corner Kicks4
4Offsides2
43Ball Possession57
1Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
413Total passes536
345Passes accurate445
84Passes %83
0.93expected_goals0.33
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

IpswichIpswich1:1

Starting XI

28Christian WaltonG
3Leif DavisD
14Jack TaylorM
11Jaden Philogene-BidaceM
31Ivan AzónF
4Cédric KipréD
5Azor MatusiwaM
32Marcelino NúñezM
26Dara O'SheaD
8Sindre Walle EgeliM
19Darnell FurlongD

Stoke CityStoke City1:1

Starting XI

1Viktor JohanssonG
3Aaron CresswellD
18Bosun LawalM
7Sorba ThomasM
9Divin MubamaF
16Ben WilmotD
15Steven​ N'ZonziM
10Jun-Ho BaeM
40Maksym TalovierovD
29Lamine CisséM
22Junior TchamadeuD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Ipswich
Ipswich
Form: W-D-L-W-D
Stoke City
Stoke City
Form: L-L-W-L-L
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
5 W
0 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1598
Average
1500
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1660
↑ Momentum (+62)
1524
↑ Momentum (+24)
Expected Outcome
45%
Home Win
29%
Draw
26%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1559
Attack
1441
1572
Defence
1574
Recent Form
1564
Attack
1465
1612
Defence
1583
Post-Match Changes
+8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Ipswich to Stoke the Fire at Home
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where the home team brings the meat and the away team brings the salads nobody eats! Ipswich sitting pretty in 4th with 31 points, just one ahead of Stoke in 6th, but these teams are going in opposite directions my bru. Ipswich just smashed the league leaders Coventry 3-0 at home - that's like beating the Springboks at Ellis Park, hey! They've been solid defensively too, only letting in 0.9 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 40% of their matches. Their recent form reads like a proper South African victory dance: 3-0 vs Coventry, 4-1 vs Swansea, 4-1 vs QPR. That's some serious attacking firepower right there! Stoke City? Ja, nee... they're more inconsistent than my mate's braai timing. They've got this weird thing going where they either win or lose - no draws in their last 10 games! And they just got hammered 4-0 by Sheffield United. That's like getting caught in a Cape Town storm without your jacket, my friend. Away from home they're leaking goals like a sieve - 1.6 per game on the road. When these two have met before, it's been tighter than a new pair of boots. Four games, one win each, two draws, and never more than 2 goals total. But Ipswich is looking sharp right now, averaging 15.8 shots per game compared to Stoke's 11.6. They're creating more chances and defending better. The stats don't lie - Ipswich has momentum, home advantage, and they just proved they can handle the best teams in the league. Stoke's traveling to Portman Road with their tails between their legs after that 4-0 hiding. Time to fire up the braai and celebrate another home win!

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📝 Match Preview

Ipswich vs Stoke City: Low-Scoring Affair Expected
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+37.5%
Confidence:72

This Championship clash between two closely matched sides presents a fascinating tactical battle. Ipswich sits fourth with 31 points, while Stoke City occupies sixth position with 30 points, highlighting just how little separates these teams in the standings. Ipswich's recent form shows resilience with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from their last 10 matches, accumulating 1.80 points per game. Their defensive record stands out, conceding only 0.90 goals per game while keeping 4 clean sheets. Notably, they secured an impressive 3-0 victory against league leaders Coventry in their most recent outing, demonstrating their capability against top opposition. Stoke City presents a more volatile profile with 5 wins and 5 losses from their last 10 matches, showing no draws during this period. Their away form particularly concerns me, with only 1.0 goals scored per game on the road but 1.6 goals conceded. Recent results include a heavy 4-0 defeat to Sheffield United and a 2-1 home loss to Hull City, suggesting inconsistency. The head-to-head record between these sides is remarkably tight and consistently low-scoring. All four previous meetings have produced under 2.5 goals, with three ending in draws or narrow victories. The most recent encounter finished 0-0, reinforcing the pattern of cautious, defensive encounters. Ipswich's home record shows they average exactly 1.0 goal per game at their own ground, while Stoke's away form mirrors this with 1.0 goal scored per game on their travels. Both teams maintain 40% clean sheet rates, further supporting the expectation of a tight, defensive contest. Given the historical patterns, current defensive records, and the importance of this fixture for both teams' playoff ambitions, I anticipate another low-scoring affair where defensive organization takes precedence over attacking ambition.

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📝 Match Preview

Ipswich vs Stoke: Tight affair on the cards?
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+14.6%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between two sides who are practically neck and neck in the table. Ipswich sitting pretty in 4th with 31 points, Stoke breathing down their neck in 6th with 30 - this is what you call a proper six-pointer! Ipswich have been looking decent lately, haven't they? Five wins, three draws, and only two losses in their last ten. That 3-0 hammering of Coventry was absolutely massive - top of the table they were, and Ipswich just tore them apart! They've also shown they can score for fun when they want, putting four past both Swansea and QPR. Defensively they're solid as a rock too - only nine goals conceded in ten games with four clean sheets to boot. Stoke, on the other hand, are proper Jekyll and Hyde. Five wins, five losses, and absolutely no draws whatsoever! It's all or nothing with them. But here's the worry - they just got hammered 4-0 by Sheffield United and lost 1-2 to Hull. Their away form's a bit dodgy too, only scoring one goal per game on their travels while letting in 1.60. Now here's the interesting bit - these two have only met four times ever, and every single game has been tight as a drum. One win each, two draws, and get this - NOT ONE match has gone over 2.5 goals! Last time they met it finished 0-0. Ipswich will be buzzing after that Coventry result, but Stoke got absolutely stuffed last time out. You've got to wonder about their confidence, especially away from home. Looking at the stats, both teams are decent defensively, and the head-to-head history screams "low-scoring affair". Ipswich score most games, but Stoke struggle away from home. Given how tight these encounters usually are, I'm expecting another cagey one. Key Points: - Just 1 point separates these teams in the Championship table - Ipswich coming off a massive 3-0 win against league leaders Coventry - Stoke got hammered 4-0 in their last outing - confidence might be low - Head-to-head history shows all 4 previous meetings had under 2.5 goals - Stoke have no draws in their last 10 matches (5W, 5L) - Ipswich have the better defensive record (0.90 vs 1.20 goals conceded per game) - Stoke struggle away from home, scoring only 1.00 goals per game This has all the makings of a tight, tactical battle rather than a goal fest. Both sides know what's at stake, and when you look at the history between them, it's always been cagey. Ipswich have the home advantage and better recent form, but Stoke are unpredictable and could easily bounce back from that Sheffield United hammering.

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