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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Wrexham vs Watford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–2

Match Timeline

21'
Josh Windass⚽
Normal Goal → Matty James
30'
Mamadou Doumbia⚽
Normal Goal → Othmane Maamma
38'
Kieffer Moore🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Othmane Maamma⚽
Normal Goal
45'
Josh Windass🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Marc Bola🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Max Alleyne🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Matty James🔄
Substitution 1 → Ben Sheaf
62'
Lewis O'Brien🔄
Substitution 2 → Nathan Broadhead
73'
Luca Kjerrumgaard🔄
Substitution 1 → Vivaldo
73'
Othmane Maamma🔄
Substitution 2 → Giorgi Chakvetadze
78'
George Dobson🔄
Substitution 3 → Ryan Hardie
78'
James McClean🔄
Substitution 4 → Ryan Barnett
81'
Giorgi Chakvetadze🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Mamadou Doumbia🟨
Yellow Card
83'
James Abankwah🔄
Substitution 3 → Kévin Keben Biakolo
89'
Edo Kayembe🔄
Substitution 4 → Moussa Sissoko
90'
Dominic Hyam🔄
Substitution 5 → Oliver Rathbone
90+2'
Oliver Rathbone⚽
Normal Goal
90+3'
Imrân Louza🟨
Yellow Card
90+9'
Hector Kyprianou🟨
Yellow Card
90+10'
Ben Sheaf🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots12
4Blocked Shots6
11Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls9
7Corner Kicks1
5Offsides1
51Ball Possession49
3Yellow Cards6
1Goalkeeper Saves1
439Total passes432
323Passes accurate326
74Passes %75
1.18expected_goals0.71
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

The Big "O"Won

Goal Gluttony Guaranteed at the Racecourse?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Well hello, goal-hungry friends! The Big O is here, and my senses are tingling. A Championship clash between Wrexham and Watford might not scream 'goal-fest' at first glance, but let me tell you, the data is singing a beautiful, high-scoring song. I live for matches where the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Wrexham

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Watford

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Wrexham at home vs Watford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+42Wrexham
Venue edge
+103Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Wrexham versus Watford: long term Elo, before the match
WrexhamHomeRatingWatfordAway
Strength
1,526Overall1,484
1,514Match venue1,411
1,514At home1,565
1,501Away1,411
Attack & defence
1,469Attack1,477
1,546Defence1,513
1,502Home attack1,490
1,463Away attack1,443
1,503Home defence1,573
1,539Away defence1,476
Match profile
1,490Goal environment1,678
1,510Home goals1,588
1,480Away goals1,590
1,486Possession1,510
Specialist ratings
1,453Set-piece attack1,494
1,454Set-piece defence1,494
1,518Close games1,474
1,527Winning margin1,493

Match venue compares Wrexham at home with Watford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WrexhamWrexham1:1

Starting XI

1Arthur OkonkwoG
2Callum DoyleD
37Matty JamesM
7James McCleanM
10Josh WindassF
5Dominic HyamD
27Lewis O'BrienM
19Kieffer MooreF
4Max CleworthD
15George DobsonM
47Ryan LongmanM

WatfordWatford1:1

Starting XI

1Egil SelvikG
16Marc BolaD
39Edo KayembeM
9Luca KjerrumgaardF
3Max AlleyneD
5Hector KyprianouM
20Mamadou DoumbiaF
6Matthew PollockD
10Imrân LouzaM
25James AbankwahD
42Othmane MaammaM