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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Stoke City vs Swansea

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

17'
Liam Cullen🟨
Yellow Card
27'
Sorba Thomas🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Ben Pearson⚽
Normal Goal
44'
Ben Pearson🟨
Yellow Card
53'
Marko Stamenić🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Gonçalo Franco🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Marko Stamenić🔄
Substitution 1 → Josh Key
59'
Ronald🔄
Substitution 2 → Zeidane Inoussa
60'
Sorba Thomas⚽
Normal Goal → Jun-Ho Bae
71'
Ji-sung Eom🔄
Substitution 3 → Melker Widell
71'
Liam Cullen🔄
Substitution 4 → Malick Yalcouyé
72'
Róbert Boženík🔄
Substitution 1 → Sam Gallagher
77'
Žan Vipotnik⚽
Normal Goal → Melker Widell
82'
Ben Pearson🔄
Substitution 2 → Steven​ N'Zonzi
83'
Tatsuki Seko🔄
Substitution 3 → Bosun Lawal
83'
Gonçalo Franco🔄
Substitution 5 → Adam Idah
85'
Junior Tchamadeu🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Melker Widell🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal5
10Total Shots14
0Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox9
2Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls14
6Corner Kicks7
4Offsides3
41Ball Possession59
3Yellow Cards4
4Goalkeeper Saves3
285Total passes420
201Passes accurate357
71Passes %85
0.63expected_goals1.14
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Stoke to Braai the Swans at Home

The pickStoke City win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Lekker! We've got a proper Championship clash here, and I'm smelling braai weather for Stoke City. Forget the veggies, let's talk football and winning bets. Stoke sitting pretty in 8th with 30 points, while Swansea are down in 18th with just 23. That table doesn't lie, my…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Stoke City

4W 0D 6L1.20 pts/game

Swansea

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Stoke City at home vs Swansea away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+20Stoke City
Venue edge
+41Stoke City
Rating period
Match snapshot
Stoke City versus Swansea: long term Elo, before the match
Stoke CityHomeRatingSwanseaAway
Strength
1,488Overall1,468
1,500Match venue1,459
1,500At home1,502
1,452Away1,459
Attack & defence
1,434Attack1,449
1,577Defence1,515
1,441Home attack1,475
1,413Away attack1,436
1,585Home defence1,538
1,536Away defence1,505
Match profile
1,333Goal environment1,532
1,413Home goals1,480
1,420Away goals1,552
1,514Possession1,513
Specialist ratings
1,521Set-piece attack1,502
1,520Set-piece defence1,502
1,468Close games1,476
1,503Winning margin1,461

Match venue compares Stoke City at home with Swansea away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Stoke CityStoke City1:1

Starting XI

1Viktor JohanssonG
17Eric BocatD
4Ben PearsonM
7Sorba ThomasM
11Róbert BoženíkF
16Ben WilmotD
12Tatsuki SekoM
10Jun-Ho BaeM
26Ashley PhillipsD
42Million ManhoefM
22Junior TchamadeuD

SwanseaSwansea1:1

Starting XI

22Lawrence VigourouxG
14Josh TymonD
6Marko StamenićM
10Ji-sung EomM
9Žan VipotnikF
15Cameron BurgessD
17Gonçalo FrancoM
20Liam CullenM
5Ben CabangoD
35RonaldM
30Ethan GalbraithD