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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Millwall vs Bristol City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

16'
Camiel Neghli⚽
Normal Goal
23'
Alfie Doughty🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Zak Sturge🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Tristan Crama🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Billy Mitchell🔄
Substitution 1 → Ryan Leonard
49'
Adam Randell⚽
Normal Goal → Ross McCrorie
55'
Raees Bangura-Williams🔄
Substitution 2 → Macaulay Langstaff
56'
Aidomo Emakhu🔄
Substitution 3 → Danny McNamara
66'
Robert Atkinson🔄
Substitution 1 → Neto Borges
66'
Sinclair Armstrong🔄
Substitution 2 → Emil Riis Jacobsen
73'
Zak Sturge🔄
Substitution 4 → Joe Bryan
73'
Alfie Doughty🔄
Substitution 5 → Thierno Ballo
81'
Macaulay Langstaff⚽
Normal Goal
83'
Thierno Ballo🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Neto Borges🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Scott Twine🔄
Substitution 3 → Yu Hirakawa

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal5
8Total Shots16
4Blocked Shots8
5Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox6
15Fouls8
1Corner Kicks8
0Offsides3
42Ball Possession58
4Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
346Total passes463
242Passes accurate367
70Passes %79
0.63expected_goals0.96
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Championship Clash: Tight Battle Expected at The Den

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.72
Model EV
+6.6%

Alright, let's braai this one! We've got a proper Championship showdown here with Millwall hosting Bristol City, and it's lekker tight in the table. Both sides are sitting on 36 points from 23 games, separated only by goal difference. This is a classic six-pointer between…

Umery UnderdogLost

Can the Robins Soar as Underdogs at The Den?

The pickBristol City win

Chance
36%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+11.6%

Hello, fellow underdog lovers! We have a fascinating Championship clash where the league table tells us these two sides are inseparable—both on 36 points—but the bookmakers have installed Millwall as slight favourites at home. That means our little puppy for this match is…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

The Den Awaits: A Battle of Equal Stature

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.72
Model EV
+11.8%

Level in the table, these two sides are. Thirty-six points each they possess, separated only by the distant echo of goal difference. At The Den they meet, where Millwall seeks home comfort, and Bristol City arrives with momentum from a victory over a giant. Yet, in the data, a…

Mr SimpleLost

Lions Host Robins in a Proper Mid-Table Tussle

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.72
Model EV
+3.2%

Alright, my football friends, pull up a stool. We've got a proper Championship scrap on our hands this Sunday night as Millwall welcome Bristol City to The Den. It's sixth versus seventh, both on 36 points, separated only by goal difference. That's the beauty of this league…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Millwall

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Bristol City

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Millwall at home vs Bristol City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+2Bristol City
Venue edge
+61Millwall
Rating period
Match snapshot
Millwall versus Bristol City: long term Elo, before the match
MillwallHomeRatingBristol CityAway
Strength
1,541Overall1,543
1,555Match venue1,493
1,555At home1,559
1,498Away1,493
Attack & defence
1,428Attack1,474
1,548Defence1,562
1,428Home attack1,498
1,421Away attack1,441
1,589Home defence1,573
1,532Away defence1,531
Match profile
1,175Goal environment1,705
1,368Home goals1,607
1,307Away goals1,598
1,487Possession1,485
Specialist ratings
1,508Set-piece attack1,510
1,508Set-piece defence1,510
1,635Close games1,526
1,511Winning margin1,548

Match venue compares Millwall at home with Bristol City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MillwallMillwall1:1

Starting XI

15Max CrocombeG
3Zak SturgeD
8Billy MitchellM
22Aidomo EmakhuM
9Mihailo IvanovićF
5Jake CooperD
14Alfie DoughtyM
31Raees Bangura-WilliamsM
6Caleb TaylorD
10Camiel NeghliM
4Tristan CramaD

Bristol CityBristol City1:1

Starting XI

1Max O'LearyG
5Robert AtkinsonD
3Cameron PringM
11Anis MehmetiF
30Sinclair ArmstrongF
16Robert DickieD
4Adam RandellM
10Scott TwineF
14Zak VynerD
12Jason KnightM
2Ross McCrorieM