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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Leicester vs Derby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:1HT 2–1

Match Timeline

6'
Bobby Decordova-Reid⚽
Normal Goal → Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
9'
Rhian Brewster⚽
Normal Goal → Callum Elder
41'
Jordan James⚽
Normal Goal → Luke Thomas
51'
Hamza Choudhury🔄
Substitution 1 → Ricardo Pereira
65'
Jordan Ayew🔄
Substitution 2 → Silko Thomas
65'
Bobby Decordova-Reid🔄
Substitution 3 → Aaron Ramsey
67'
Rhian Brewster🔄
Substitution 1 → Corey Blackett-Taylor
67'
Ben Brereton Díaz🔄
Substitution 2 → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
69'
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku🔄
Substitution 4 → Jeremy Monga
69'
Aaron Ramsey🔄
Substitution 5 → Louis Page
73'
Bobby Clark🔄
Substitution 3 → Andreas Weimann
83'
Jordan James🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Ebou Adams🔄
Substitution 4 → Lewis Travis
89'
Callum Elder🔄
Substitution 5 → Kayden Jackson
90+6'
Kayden Jackson🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Liam Thompson🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal5
8Total Shots9
2Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls12
3Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
357Total passes437
269Passes accurate340
75Passes %78
0.68expected_goals0.69
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

East Midlands Derby: Goals Galore on the Cards

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.98
Model EV
+38.6%

Listen up, braai masters and football fanatics! We've got a proper East Midlands derby here with Leicester hosting Derby, and if the data is anything to go by, we're in for a lekker match with goals. Both teams are sitting on 31 points in the Championship, so there's everything…

The Big "O"Won

East Midlands Derby Primed for a Goal Glut

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+38.0%

The Championship serves up a festive East Midlands derby, and for those of us who crave excitement, this one has all the ingredients for a classic. Leicester and Derby are separated by just a single point in the table, but they're united in their inability to keep a clean sheet…

Umery UnderdogLost

Derby's Road Warriors Ready to Shock Leicester?

The pickDerby win

Chance
30%
Odds
3.90
Model EV
+17.0%

The Championship serves up an intriguing East Midlands derby as Leicester host Derby in a clash where the league table suggests little separates them. With just one point and three places between the sides, the bookmakers have installed Leicester as clear favourites at home. But…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Leicester

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Derby

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Leicester at home vs Derby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+34Leicester
Venue edge
+157Leicester
Rating period
Match snapshot
Leicester versus Derby: long term Elo, before the match
LeicesterHomeRatingDerbyAway
Strength
1,533Overall1,500
1,605Match venue1,448
1,605At home1,484
1,556Away1,448
Attack & defence
1,537Attack1,473
1,520Defence1,540
1,547Home attack1,428
1,537Away attack1,465
1,580Home defence1,566
1,531Away defence1,514
Match profile
1,642Goal environment1,515
1,588Home goals1,460
1,553Away goals1,555
1,509Possession1,469
Specialist ratings
1,486Set-piece attack1,493
1,487Set-piece defence1,493
1,514Close games1,486
1,532Winning margin1,503

Match venue compares Leicester at home with Derby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LeicesterLeicester1:1

Starting XI

1Jakub StolarczykG
33Luke ThomasD
6Jordan JamesM
10Stephy MavididiM
9Jordan AyewF
4Benjamin NelsonD
22Oliver SkippM
14Bobby Decordova-ReidM
5Caleb OkoliD
7Abdul Fatawu IssahakuM
17Hamza ChoudhuryD

DerbyDerby1:1

Starting XI

1Jacob Widell ZetterströmG
20Callum ElderD
42Bobby ClarkM
7Patrick AgyemangF
5Matthew ClarkeD
16Liam ThompsonM
10Rhian BrewsterF
28Dion SandersonD
32Ebou AdamsM
6Sondre Klingen LangåsD
25Ben Brereton DíazM