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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Birmingham vs Southampton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

41'
Nathan Wood🟨
Yellow Card
48'
Caspar Jander🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Phil Neumann⚽
Normal Goal → Jack Robinson
58'
Tom Fellows🔄
Substitution 1 → Elias Jelert
58'
Jay Robinson🔄
Substitution 2 → Leo Scienza
68'
Adam Armstrong🔄
Substitution 3 → Cameron Archer
68'
Caspar Jander🔄
Substitution 4 → Cameron Bragg
69'
Kyogo Furuhashi🔄
Substitution 1 → Marvin Ducksch
69'
Jay Stansfield🔄
Substitution 2 → Lewis Koumas
71'
Cameron Archer⚽
Normal Goal → Elias Jelert
72'
Phil Neumann🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Patrick Roberts🔄
Substitution 3 → Marc Leonard
83'
Finn Azaz🔄
Substitution 5 → Kuryu Matsuki

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal3
20Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots5
11Shots insidebox9
9Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls15
2Corner Kicks5
1Offsides2
38Ball Possession62
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
346Total passes570
275Passes accurate495
79Passes %87
1.7expected_goals1.36
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Mr SimpleWon

Blues Host Saints in a Proper Boxing Day Banger

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.71
Model EV
+11.2%

Right then, let's get stuck into this Championship clash at St Andrew's. Birmingham, sitting 15th, welcome Southampton in 12th, and on paper, it's a proper mid-table scrap. But dig a little deeper, and this one's got goals written all over it. First up, the Blues at home…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Birmingham

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Southampton

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Birmingham at home vs Southampton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+84Southampton
Venue edge
+2Southampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Birmingham versus Southampton: long term Elo, before the match
BirminghamHomeRatingSouthamptonAway
Strength
1,455Overall1,538
1,523Match venue1,525
1,523At home1,592
1,367Away1,525
Attack & defence
1,444Attack1,557
1,511Defence1,504
1,493Home attack1,576
1,372Away attack1,524
1,571Home defence1,559
1,447Away defence1,485
Match profile
1,548Goal environment1,647
1,517Home goals1,588
1,532Away goals1,558
1,520Possession1,527
Specialist ratings
1,531Set-piece attack1,521
1,531Set-piece defence1,521
1,469Close games1,509
1,460Winning margin1,554

Match venue compares Birmingham at home with Southampton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BirminghamBirmingham1:1

Starting XI

25James BeadleG
41Eiran CashinD
8Seung-Ho PaikM
28Jay StansfieldM
9Kyogo FuruhashiF
6Jack RobinsonD
24Tomoki IwataM
18Willum Thor WillumssonM
5Phil NeumannD
16Patrick RobertsM
23Alfons SampstedD

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

31Gavin BazunuG
5Jack StephensD
3Ryan ManningM
10Finn AzazF
9Adam ArmstrongF
15Nathan WoodD
20Caspar JanderM
46Jay RobinsonF
6Taylor Harwood-BellisD
4Flynn DownesM
18Tom FellowsM