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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Blackburn vs Wrexham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–2

Match Timeline

11'
Sam Smith⚽
Normal Goal → Matty James
30'
Moussa Baradji🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Todd Cantwell🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Oliver Rathbone⚽
Normal Goal → Dan Scarr
45+1'
Sam Smith🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Ryan Hedges🔄
Substitution 1 → Harry Pickering
59'
Matthew Litherland🔄
Substitution 2 → Tom Atcheson
64'
George Dobson🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Lewis Miller🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Matty James🔄
Substitution 1 → Ben Sheaf
75'
Sondre Tronstad🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Axel Henriksson🔄
Substitution 3 → Nathan Dlamini
84'
Lewis O'Brien🔄
Substitution 2 → Liberato Cacace
87'
Oliver Rathbone🔄
Substitution 3 → Harry Ashfield

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots7
7Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox1
14Fouls10
4Corner Kicks8
2Offsides2
53Ball Possession47
4Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
444Total passes396
336Passes accurate286
76Passes %72
0.64expected_goals0.77
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

A Low-Scoring Affair, the Data Suggests

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+22.4%

A meeting of two sides separated by just five points, this is. Yet, a tale of contrasting forms it tells, especially on the road. Blackburn Rovers, in 18th place with 26 points from 22 games, find wins hard to come by, but defeats are also rare of late. Their last ten outings…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Blackburn

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Wrexham

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Blackburn at home vs Wrexham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+57Wrexham
Venue edge
+24Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Blackburn versus Wrexham: long term Elo, before the match
BlackburnHomeRatingWrexhamAway
Strength
1,481Overall1,538
1,465Match venue1,489
1,465At home1,536
1,499Away1,489
Attack & defence
1,415Attack1,500
1,566Defence1,518
1,443Home attack1,529
1,418Away attack1,461
1,520Home defence1,486
1,581Away defence1,532
Match profile
1,548Goal environment1,510
1,452Home goals1,528
1,597Away goals1,482
1,497Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,528Set-piece attack1,476
1,528Set-piece defence1,476
1,460Close games1,514
1,485Winning margin1,545

Match venue compares Blackburn at home with Wrexham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BlackburnBlackburnUnknown

Starting XI

1Aynsley PearsG
12Lewis MillerD
15Sean McLoughlinD
43George PrattD
40Matthew LitherlandM
24Moussa BaradjiM
6Sondre TronstadM
19Ryan HedgesM
10Todd CantwellF
18Axel HenrikssonF
23Yuki OhashiF

WrexhamWrexhamUnknown

Starting XI

1Arthur OkonkwoG
5Dominic HyamD
24Dan ScarrD
2Callum DoyleD
47Ryan LongmanM
15George DobsonM
37Matty JamesM
14George ThomasonM
20Oliver RathboneF
27Lewis O'BrienF
28Sam SmithF